SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 16-Oct-2019 4:29 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

97°F at Alice/Intl, TX
97°F at Mcallen/Miller Intl, TX

Low Temp

13°F at Big Piney Amos, WY

Precipitation

3.11in at Galveston, TX

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Monday,
October 14, 2019

High Temp

82°F at Imperial/Muni, NE

Low Temp

21°F at Alliance/Muni, NE

Precipitation

No Precipitation Reported for NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 16-Oct-2019 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight

Partly Cloudy
Low: 36°

Wednesday

Mostly Sunny
High: 60°

Wednesday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 38°

Thursday

Mostly Sunny
High: 71°

Thursday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 53°

Friday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 73°

Friday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 48°

Saturday

Mostly Sunny
High: 70°

Saturday
night

Mostly Clear
Low: 46°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 16-Oct-2019 3:45am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Cloudy

Cloudy

Lo 36 °F ↑

Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 55 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 39 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 70 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy

Mostly Cloudy

Lo 53 °F

Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 77 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers

Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 49 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny

Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny

Hi 70 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 48 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-16-19 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-16-19	34 ↑		36	57		60	40		38	70		71	53		53	77		73	49		48	69		70
10-15-19	46 ↑	44.4°F	50	57 ↓	62.7 °F	62	34		39	56		64	41		39	69		72	52		54	73		76
10-14-19	31 ↑	57.8°F	31	69	76.1 °F	65	45 ↑	44.4°F	44	57	62.7 °F	57	34		35	57		63	41		39	70		71
10-13-19	33	75.7°F	29	58	78.7 °F	57	34	57.8°F	32	69	76.1 °F	66	44	44.4°F	42	59	62.7 °F	56	35		35	57		61
10-12-19	31	75.7°F	27	59	78.7 °F	57	31 ↑	75.7°F	33	58	78.7 °F	58	35	57.8°F	32	67	76.1 °F	65	43	44.4°F	42	58	62.7 °F	57
10-11-19	31 ↑	75.7°F	34	44	78.7 °F	43	29 ↑	75.7°F	28	59	78.7 °F	57	33	75.7°F	33	58	78.7 °F	56	35	57.8°F	32	65	76.1 °F	67
10-10-19	55 ↑	36.5°F	56	61 ↓	60.3 °F	65	33	75.7°F	38	44	78.7 °F	40	31	75.7°F	30	59	78.7 °F	52	33	75.7°F	34	58	78.7 °F	55
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	1		1	1		1	0		0	1		0	0		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	16.7		16.7	20.0		20.0			0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	29.8		31.5	14.8		15.9	31.7		30.9	17.6		19.4	27.7		29.2	13.3		16.8	22.3		23.3	12.2		12.8
Net Error	-23.1		-23.1	-14.5		-14.4	-31.5		-30.9	-17.6		-19.4	-27.7		-29.2	-13.3		-16.8	-22.3		-23.3	-12.2		-12.8
Std Dev	19.6		19.6	11.7		12.7	25.3		24.5	13.3		14.3	27.6		28.6	12.5		15.4	22.3		23.3	12.2		12.8

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	64 ↑		80	80		63	67		81	87		72	70		86	87		72	72		89	89		70
09-07-19	60	78.7 °F	82	82	64.7°F	63	63		80	79		63	65		85	86		71	70		88	87		72
09-06-19	65 ↑	85.5 °F	91	84	64.9°F	64	62 ↑	78.7 °F	84	84	64.7°F	65	63		75	80		61	66		85	87		70
09-05-19	65 ↑	96.4 °F	95	94 ↓	69.5°F	66	65 ↑	85.5 °F	87	85	64.9°F	62	62	78.7 °F	84	82	64.7°F	64	64		77	80		64
09-04-19	55 ↑	81.3 °F	84	81	65.5°F	60	65	96.4 °F	93	93	69.5°F	64	66	85.5 °F	86	87	64.9°F	60	63	78.7 °F	79	83	64.7°F	63
09-03-19	71 ↑	83.0 °F	92	87 ↓	55.9°F	62	56 ↑	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	59	65	96.4 °F	93	92	69.5°F	65	65	85.5 °F	86	86	64.9°F	60
09-02-19	66	90.0 °F	89	89	76.3°F	71	72	83.0 °F	89	88	55.9°F	59	57	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	62	65	96.4 °F	94	89	69.5°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1
% Succ			33.3			33.3			20.0			20.0			25.0			25.0			66.7			33.3
Ave Error	22.2		3.8	20.0		3.8	21.0		4.0	22.1		3.7	23.0		3.2	19.4		3.4	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4
Net Error	-22.2		3.0	20.0		-1.8	-21.0		2.6	22.1		-2.3	-23.0		1.5	19.4		-3.4	-22.5		-0.5	19.6		-4.4
Std Dev	10.9		2.9	9.8		2.4	14.2		2.8	14.1		2.9	20.1		3.0	16.8		3.2	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	80		80	67		64	87		82	70		72	87		92	72		72	89		89	71		72
09-07-19	82	78.7 °F	82	63	63.8°F	65	79		80	65		67	86		83	70		71	87		88	70		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	85.5 °F	94	65 ↑	63.9°F	67	85	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	64	82		82	64		64	80		79	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	60	93	85.5 °F	94	66	63.9°F	65	87	78.7 °F	86	63	63.8°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	59	92	85.5 °F	93	65	63.9°F	63	86	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	59
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	88	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	91.1 °F	89	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	85.5 °F	92	63	63.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	83	69	69.1°F	65	90	83.0 °F	88	74	55.9°F	74	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	5		1	1		0	3		2	1		0	4		2	0		0	2		1
% Succ	16.7		33.3	83.3		16.7	20.0		0.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		0.0	100.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	4.2		3.6	3.2		5.6	4.8		5.5	4.6		5.7	5.1		4.9	0.7		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4
Net Error	1.8		2.9	2.6		2.4	3.5		4.7	3.7		3.1	2.4		3.9	-0.1		-0.4	1.5		5.8	-4.4		-3.4
Std Dev	3.0		2.9	5.8		5.3	3.9		4.0	3.9		4.9	4.7		4.4	0.6		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		81	63		65	79		78	65		64	86		82	70		70	87		86	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	84	62 ↑	63.9°F	60	84		81	63		62	80		72	66		61	87		84	68		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	83.0 °F	96	65 ↑	55.9°F	67	85	85.5 °F	87	62	63.9°F	65	82		82	64		64	80		78	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	83	65	65.5°F	63	93	83.0 °F	93	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	64	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	64	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	60
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	87	72	55.9°F	71	88 ↓	91.1 °F	88	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	85	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	89	74	55.9°F	73	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	85	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	4		0	2		1	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7	66.7		0.0	40.0		20.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.3		3.4	4.7		7.1	4.2		4.9	6.3		6.9	4.0		3.8	2.7		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2
Net Error	1.4		2.9	3.7		4.2	2.6		3.6	5.3		5.1	1.3		2.8	1.9		1.9	0.1		4.4	-1.8		-0.4
Std Dev	3.9		4.5	6.0		5.2	4.4		4.2	5.4		5.3	3.7		3.7	2.5		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		78	63		63	79		80	65		65	86		83	70		70	87		87	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	85	62 ↑	63.9°F	62	84		81	63		63	80		71	66		62	87		81	68		70
09-05-19	94	83.0 °F	95	65 ↑	55.9°F	69	85	85.5 °F	88	62	63.9°F	64	82		84	64		66	80		80	65		67
09-04-19	81 ↓	81.3 °F	82	65	65.5°F	62	93	83.0 °F	94	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	63	83		81	62		64
09-03-19	87 ↓	83.0 °F	90	56 ↑	55.9°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	65	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	61
09-02-19	90 ↓	83.0 °F	90	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	83.0 °F	88	57	55.9°F	60	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	64
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	82	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	86	74	55.9°F	71	86	83.0 °F	87	56	55.9°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		1	2		0	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		0.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.4		5.0	4.6		6.8	4.6		4.8	6.3		6.6	3.5		4.3	2.7		4.7	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8
Net Error	2.9		3.9	3.8		4.3	4.2		4.8	5.4		4.8	3.3		4.3	2.0		2.0	0.1		4.1	-1.8		0.6
Std Dev	4.0		4.5	6.0		6.0	4.6		4.4	5.4		5.3	3.1		4.2	2.5		4.4	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		64	64		78	79		65	66		81	87		69	70		86	88		72	72		88
09-06-19	84 ↓	63.9°F	62	61	85.5 °F	81	81		63	62		71	78		62	65		81	87		70	68		85
09-05-19	94	55.9°F	71	65 ↑	83.0 °F	88	85	63.9°F	65	62	85.5 °F	84	84		66	64		80	81		67	66		84
09-04-19	82 ↓	65.5°F	62	65	81.3 °F	92	93	55.9°F	65	63	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	63	62	85.5 °F	81	83		64	64		76
09-03-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	60	55 ↑	83.0 °F	84	80	65.5°F	61	63	81.3 °F	93	93	55.9°F	65	66	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	61	62	85.5 °F	74
09-02-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	72	71 ↑	83.0 °F	88	86 ↓	55.9°F	59	53	83.0 °F	84	81	65.5°F	61	64	81.3 °F	92	91	55.9°F	64	64	83.0 °F	87
09-01-19	82	69.1°F	68	67	84.8 °F	87	89	55.9°F	71	73	83.0 °F	87	87	55.9°F	60	57	83.0 °F	84	78	65.5°F	62	61	81.3 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			33.3			16.7			20.0			40.0			25.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	26.0		7.0	19.4		4.7	27.2		6.6	20.4		4.2	26.5		4.7	21.0		4.8	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4
Net Error	26.0		4.8	-19.4		3.2	27.2		4.8	-20.4		3.6	26.5		2.0	-21.0		2.6	23.2		0.6	-20.9		1.7
Std Dev	13.4		6.4	9.5		3.5	18.8		5.0	13.0		4.5	23.0		4.4	18.2		4.2	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		80	66		66	87		81	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	63.9°F	64	81	85.5 °F	79	62 ↑		63	78		76	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		89
09-05-19	65 ↑	65.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	90	62	63.9°F	67	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	64	93	83.0 °F	92	63 ↑	65.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	85	62	63.9°F	62	83	85.5 °F	81	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	56.3°F	61	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	61	93	83.0 °F	94	66	65.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	87	62	63.9°F	61	81	85.5 °F	78
09-02-19	71 ↑	73.0°F	73	86 ↓	90.0 °F	89	53 ↑	56.3°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	65.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	69.1°F	67	89	84.8 °F	87	73 ↑	73.0°F	71	87	90.0 °F	86	57	56.3°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	93
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	0		1	2		2	1		1	3		2	0		0	2		0	0		0
% Succ	50.0		33.3			16.7	40.0		40.0	20.0		20.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	2.9		3.7	7.5		5.2	2.9		2.8	7.0		7.0	2.9		2.5	8.5		7.5	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6
Net Error	0.1		3.0	-2.8		-1.5	-0.0		2.0	-3.0		-2.6	2.0		1.0	-4.5		-2.5	0.7		0.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	3.1		3.4	4.3		3.2	2.7		2.4	5.5		5.7	2.6		2.1	7.9		6.7	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		83	66		68	87		83	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	67.2°F	62	81	85.5 °F	81	62 ↑		63	78		75	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		88
09-05-19	65 ↑	67.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	88	62	67.2°F	65	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	93	63 ↑	67.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	62	83	85.5 °F	82	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	68.7°F	60	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	95	66	67.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	61	81	85.5 °F	77
09-02-19	71 ↑	69.4°F	74	86 ↓	90.0 °F	90	53 ↑	68.7°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	67.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	55.9°F	68	89	83.0 °F	88	73 ↑	69.4°F	71	87	90.0 °F	87	57	68.7°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	0		1	0		1	1		1	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0			16.7			20.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	7.3		6.9	7.8		5.7	7.1		4.1	7.0		6.8	6.5		5.0	8.5		7.5	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3
Net Error	-0.0		2.3	-2.5		-0.7	-2.9		-1.1	-3.0		-2.0	-2.5		-3.5	-4.5		-2.5	-1.1		-1.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	5.1		3.3	4.4		3.9	4.8		3.0	5.5		5.7	5.7		4.4	7.9		6.8	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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