SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 17-May-2025 3:41 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

109°F at Faith Ranch Airport, TX

Low Temp

18°F at Wolf Creek Pass, CO

Precipitation

2.80in at Hettinger Municipal Ap, ND

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Thursday,
May 15, 2025

High Temp

83°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

39°F at Bravo (pine Bluffs), NE

Precipitation

0.71in at Valentine Miller Field Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 17-May-2025 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight

Partly Cloudy
Low: 51°

Saturday

Mostly Sunny
High: 71°

Saturday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 45°

Sunday

Partly Cloudy
High: 71°

Sunday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 56°

Monday

Fog a.m.
High: 80°

Monday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 60°

Tuesday

Thunder storm
High: 61°

Tuesday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 39°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 17-May-2025 1:35am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 48 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 76 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 48 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Chance Rain Showers

Chance Rain Showers

Hi 77 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Lo 60 °F

Monday

Monday: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Hi 80 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Lo 53 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Hi 63 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 44 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-17-25 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-17-25	48		51	76		71	48		45	77		71	60		56	80		80	53		60	63		61
05-16-25	56	54.2°F	58	77	75.1 °F	72	47		53	76		72	48		45	79		61	61		46	82		81
05-15-25	62	60.9°F	67	82	81.3 °F	79	56	54.2°F	61	79	75.1 °F	75	49		51	79		73	53		45	81		72
05-14-25	62	73.6°F	66	92	90.1 °F	88	61	60.9°F	65	82	81.3 °F	80	56	54.2°F	58	81	75.1 °F	76	52		52	81		75
05-13-25	58	70.4°F	61	90	88.9 °F	86	62	73.6°F	62	95	90.1 °F	87	61	60.9°F	63	80	81.3 °F	78	55	54.2°F	58	80	75.1 °F	72
05-12-25	57	69.1°F	60	89	88.5 °F	86	57	70.4°F	60	90	88.9 °F	88	62	73.6°F	66	92	90.1 °F	89	61	60.9°F	64	82	81.3 °F	76
05-11-25	57	67.0°F	61	88	88.9 °F	91	56	69.1°F	59	86	88.5 °F	83	57	70.4°F	60	89	88.9 °F	83	63	73.6°F	59	92	90.1 °F	82
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	6		0	2		0	2		3	2		0	3		2	2		0	2		0
% Succ	33.3		0.0	100.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	40.0		60.0	50.0		0.0	75.0		50.0	66.7		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	8.2		7.0	1.2		2.5	8.0		8.6	2.6		2.2	6.7		6.0	2.3		2.8	3.8		7.2	2.5		5.5
Net Error	-7.2		-3.7	0.9		-1.8	-7.2		-4.2	1.6		-2.2	-5.8		-3.0	1.7		-2.4	-3.2		-2.6	2.5		-5.5
Std Dev	5.8		3.4	0.7		1.1	7.0		6.0	2.2		1.8	6.3		5.3	2.7		2.6	3.8		7.2	2.5		5.5

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	64 ↑		80	80		63	67		81	87		72	70		86	87		72	72		89	89		70
09-07-19	60	78.7 °F	82	82	64.7°F	63	63		80	79		63	65		85	86		71	70		88	87		72
09-06-19	65 ↑	85.5 °F	91	84	64.9°F	64	62 ↑	78.7 °F	84	84	64.7°F	65	63		75	80		61	66		85	87		70
09-05-19	65 ↑	96.4 °F	95	94 ↓	69.5°F	66	65 ↑	85.5 °F	87	85	64.9°F	62	62	78.7 °F	84	82	64.7°F	64	64		77	80		64
09-04-19	55 ↑	81.3 °F	84	81	65.5°F	60	65	96.4 °F	93	93	69.5°F	64	66	85.5 °F	86	87	64.9°F	60	63	78.7 °F	79	83	64.7°F	63
09-03-19	71 ↑	83.0 °F	92	87 ↓	55.9°F	62	56 ↑	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	59	65	96.4 °F	93	92	69.5°F	65	65	85.5 °F	86	86	64.9°F	60
09-02-19	66	90.0 °F	89	89	76.3°F	71	72	83.0 °F	89	88	55.9°F	59	57	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	62	65	96.4 °F	94	89	69.5°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1
% Succ			33.3			33.3			20.0			20.0			25.0			25.0			66.7			33.3
Ave Error	22.2		3.8	20.0		3.8	21.0		4.0	22.1		3.7	23.0		3.2	19.4		3.4	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4
Net Error	-22.2		3.0	20.0		-1.8	-21.0		2.6	22.1		-2.3	-23.0		1.5	19.4		-3.4	-22.5		-0.5	19.6		-4.4
Std Dev	10.9		2.9	9.8		2.4	14.2		2.8	14.1		2.9	20.1		3.0	16.8		3.2	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	80		80	67		64	87		82	70		72	87		92	72		72	89		89	71		72
09-07-19	82	78.7 °F	82	63	63.8°F	65	79		80	65		67	86		83	70		71	87		88	70		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	85.5 °F	94	65 ↑	63.9°F	67	85	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	64	82		82	64		64	80		79	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	60	93	85.5 °F	94	66	63.9°F	65	87	78.7 °F	86	63	63.8°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	59	92	85.5 °F	93	65	63.9°F	63	86	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	59
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	88	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	91.1 °F	89	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	85.5 °F	92	63	63.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	83	69	69.1°F	65	90	83.0 °F	88	74	55.9°F	74	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	5		1	1		0	3		2	1		0	4		2	0		0	2		1
% Succ	16.7		33.3	83.3		16.7	20.0		0.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		0.0	100.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	4.2		3.6	3.2		5.6	4.8		5.5	4.6		5.7	5.1		4.9	0.7		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4
Net Error	1.8		2.9	2.6		2.4	3.5		4.7	3.7		3.1	2.4		3.9	-0.1		-0.4	1.5		5.8	-4.4		-3.4
Std Dev	3.0		2.9	5.8		5.3	3.9		4.0	3.9		4.9	4.7		4.4	0.6		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		81	63		65	79		78	65		64	86		82	70		70	87		86	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	84	62 ↑	63.9°F	60	84		81	63		62	80		72	66		61	87		84	68		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	83.0 °F	96	65 ↑	55.9°F	67	85	85.5 °F	87	62	63.9°F	65	82		82	64		64	80		78	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	83	65	65.5°F	63	93	83.0 °F	93	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	64	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	64	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	60
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	87	72	55.9°F	71	88 ↓	91.1 °F	88	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	85	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	89	74	55.9°F	73	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	85	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	4		0	2		1	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7	66.7		0.0	40.0		20.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.3		3.4	4.7		7.1	4.2		4.9	6.3		6.9	4.0		3.8	2.7		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2
Net Error	1.4		2.9	3.7		4.2	2.6		3.6	5.3		5.1	1.3		2.8	1.9		1.9	0.1		4.4	-1.8		-0.4
Std Dev	3.9		4.5	6.0		5.2	4.4		4.2	5.4		5.3	3.7		3.7	2.5		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		78	63		63	79		80	65		65	86		83	70		70	87		87	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	85	62 ↑	63.9°F	62	84		81	63		63	80		71	66		62	87		81	68		70
09-05-19	94	83.0 °F	95	65 ↑	55.9°F	69	85	85.5 °F	88	62	63.9°F	64	82		84	64		66	80		80	65		67
09-04-19	81 ↓	81.3 °F	82	65	65.5°F	62	93	83.0 °F	94	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	63	83		81	62		64
09-03-19	87 ↓	83.0 °F	90	56 ↑	55.9°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	65	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	61
09-02-19	90 ↓	83.0 °F	90	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	83.0 °F	88	57	55.9°F	60	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	64
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	82	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	86	74	55.9°F	71	86	83.0 °F	87	56	55.9°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		1	2		0	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		0.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.4		5.0	4.6		6.8	4.6		4.8	6.3		6.6	3.5		4.3	2.7		4.7	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8
Net Error	2.9		3.9	3.8		4.3	4.2		4.8	5.4		4.8	3.3		4.3	2.0		2.0	0.1		4.1	-1.8		0.6
Std Dev	4.0		4.5	6.0		6.0	4.6		4.4	5.4		5.3	3.1		4.2	2.5		4.4	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		64	64		78	79		65	66		81	87		69	70		86	88		72	72		88
09-06-19	84 ↓	63.9°F	62	61	85.5 °F	81	81		63	62		71	78		62	65		81	87		70	68		85
09-05-19	94	55.9°F	71	65 ↑	83.0 °F	88	85	63.9°F	65	62	85.5 °F	84	84		66	64		80	81		67	66		84
09-04-19	82 ↓	65.5°F	62	65	81.3 °F	92	93	55.9°F	65	63	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	63	62	85.5 °F	81	83		64	64		76
09-03-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	60	55 ↑	83.0 °F	84	80	65.5°F	61	63	81.3 °F	93	93	55.9°F	65	66	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	61	62	85.5 °F	74
09-02-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	72	71 ↑	83.0 °F	88	86 ↓	55.9°F	59	53	83.0 °F	84	81	65.5°F	61	64	81.3 °F	92	91	55.9°F	64	64	83.0 °F	87
09-01-19	82	69.1°F	68	67	84.8 °F	87	89	55.9°F	71	73	83.0 °F	87	87	55.9°F	60	57	83.0 °F	84	78	65.5°F	62	61	81.3 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			33.3			16.7			20.0			40.0			25.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	26.0		7.0	19.4		4.7	27.2		6.6	20.4		4.2	26.5		4.7	21.0		4.8	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4
Net Error	26.0		4.8	-19.4		3.2	27.2		4.8	-20.4		3.6	26.5		2.0	-21.0		2.6	23.2		0.6	-20.9		1.7
Std Dev	13.4		6.4	9.5		3.5	18.8		5.0	13.0		4.5	23.0		4.4	18.2		4.2	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		80	66		66	87		81	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	63.9°F	64	81	85.5 °F	79	62 ↑		63	78		76	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		89
09-05-19	65 ↑	65.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	90	62	63.9°F	67	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	64	93	83.0 °F	92	63 ↑	65.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	85	62	63.9°F	62	83	85.5 °F	81	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	56.3°F	61	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	61	93	83.0 °F	94	66	65.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	87	62	63.9°F	61	81	85.5 °F	78
09-02-19	71 ↑	73.0°F	73	86 ↓	90.0 °F	89	53 ↑	56.3°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	65.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	69.1°F	67	89	84.8 °F	87	73 ↑	73.0°F	71	87	90.0 °F	86	57	56.3°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	93
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	0		1	2		2	1		1	3		2	0		0	2		0	0		0
% Succ	50.0		33.3			16.7	40.0		40.0	20.0		20.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	2.9		3.7	7.5		5.2	2.9		2.8	7.0		7.0	2.9		2.5	8.5		7.5	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6
Net Error	0.1		3.0	-2.8		-1.5	-0.0		2.0	-3.0		-2.6	2.0		1.0	-4.5		-2.5	0.7		0.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	3.1		3.4	4.3		3.2	2.7		2.4	5.5		5.7	2.6		2.1	7.9		6.7	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		83	66		68	87		83	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	67.2°F	62	81	85.5 °F	81	62 ↑		63	78		75	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		88
09-05-19	65 ↑	67.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	88	62	67.2°F	65	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	93	63 ↑	67.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	62	83	85.5 °F	82	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	68.7°F	60	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	95	66	67.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	61	81	85.5 °F	77
09-02-19	71 ↑	69.4°F	74	86 ↓	90.0 °F	90	53 ↑	68.7°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	67.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	55.9°F	68	89	83.0 °F	88	73 ↑	69.4°F	71	87	90.0 °F	87	57	68.7°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	0		1	0		1	1		1	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0			16.7			20.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	7.3		6.9	7.8		5.7	7.1		4.1	7.0		6.8	6.5		5.0	8.5		7.5	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3
Net Error	-0.0		2.3	-2.5		-0.7	-2.9		-1.1	-3.0		-2.0	-2.5		-3.5	-4.5		-2.5	-1.1		-1.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	5.1		3.3	4.4		3.9	4.8		3.0	5.5		5.7	5.7		4.4	7.9		6.8	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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