Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 18-Jun-2019 11:00 pm

Rest of
tonight
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 65°
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 75°
Wednesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 61°
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 84°
Thursday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 65°
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 86°
Friday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 68°
Saturday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 82°
Saturday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 66°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 19-Jun-2019 1:36am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Lo 60 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy

Hi 76 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 59 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 84 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 64 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 86 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 64 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny
Chance Showers And TStorms then Mostly Sunny

Hi 82 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 61 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 62 ↑   64 76 ↓   74 60   61 76   66 58   56 85   81 63   64 83   83
06-17-19 60 52.9°F 63 81 77.8 °F 76 62   62 78   69 61   62 76   69 58   56 83   78
06-16-19 61 52.9°F 60 85 77.8 °F 82 61 52.9°F 60 81 77.8 °F 82 61   61 77   83 61   63 79   67
06-15-19 65 52.9°F 66 88 77.8 °F 84 63 52.9°F 65 83 77.8 °F 83 58 52.9°F 59 78 77.8 °F 78 58   57 77   77
06-14-19 62 52.9°F 62 82 77.8 °F 77 64 52.9°F 63 87 77.8 °F 85 62 52.9°F 64 82 77.8 °F 79 58 52.9°F 57 78 77.8 °F 73
06-13-19 48 ↑ 68.5°F 48 76 84.5 °F 77 60 52.9°F 56 81 77.8 °F 76 63 52.9°F 65 86 77.8 °F 86 61 52.9°F 63 82 77.8 °F 77
06-12-19 55 50.6°F 55 72 75.8 °F 72 49 68.5°F 51 76 84.5 °F 76 58 52.9°F 57 82 77.8 °F 72 64 52.9°F 63 87 77.8 °F 86
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 1
% Succ     0.0     33.3     0.0     20.0     0.0 25.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 10.2   10.7 6.2   4.1 11.2   10.0 5.9   5.4 7.4   8.4 4.2   3.9 8.1   8.1 4.5   4.6
Net Error 3.4   3.9 2.1   -0.6 3.4   3.0 2.5   1.3 7.4   8.4 4.2   1.0 8.1   8.1 4.5   0.9
Std Dev 6.2   6.2 3.5   2.8 7.2   6.5 4.2   3.5 6.5   7.3 4.2   3.8 8.1   8.1 4.5   4.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 62 ↑   68 76 ↓   60 62   69 80   57 59   81 85   64 64   82 85   68
06-17-19 60 77.8 °F 78 81 52.9°F 64 63   70 76   63 61   70 78   56 59   79 85   60
06-16-19 61 77.8 °F 82 85 52.9°F 60 61 77.8 °F 82 83 52.9°F 60 62   81 78   61 61   66 78   58
06-15-19 65 77.8 °F 85 88 52.9°F 65 63 77.8 °F 83 84 52.9°F 60 60 77.8 °F 78 80 52.9°F 57 60   78 78   62
06-14-19 62 ↑ 77.8 °F 76 83 52.9°F 63 65 77.8 °F 85 88 52.9°F 64 62 77.8 °F 79 83 52.9°F 57 58 77.8 °F 73 78 52.9°F 52
06-13-19 48 ↑ 77.8 °F 77 78 52.9°F 56 59 77.8 °F 76 82 52.9°F 64 63 77.8 °F 86 87 52.9°F 62 62 77.8 °F 76 83 52.9°F 54
06-12-19 54 75.8 °F 72 70 48.0°F 50 47 77.8 °F 76 76 52.9°F 56 59 77.8 °F 71 80 52.9°F 62 64 77.8 °F 86 86 52.9°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 2
% Succ     50.0     16.7     40.0     0.0     50.0     0.0     33.3     66.7
Ave Error 19.1   3.0 28.8   7.6 18.8   4.0 29.7   7.9 16.8   4.1 29.6   6.6 16.5   4.9 29.4   4.4
Net Error -19.1   0.9 28.8   7.6 -18.8   2.6 29.7   7.9 -16.8   0.7 29.6   6.6 -16.5   0.5 29.4   3.8
Std Dev 9.5   2.7 12.2   4.4 12.4   3.0 18.9   5.2 14.6   4.1 25.7   5.9 16.5   4.9 29.4   4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 76 ↓   69 62   61 80   70 59   58 85   83 64   64 85   85 64   70
06-17-19 81 88.3 °F 78 63 66.4°F 64 76   68 61   60 78   62 59   52 85   74 62   61
06-16-19 85 77.8 °F 81 61 52.9°F 61 83 88.3 °F 77 62 66.4°F 63 78   78 61   61 78   65 59   57
06-15-19 88 77.8 °F 85 63 52.9°F 64 84 77.8 °F 81 60 52.9°F 59 80 88.3 °F 80 60 66.4°F 59 78   74 61   62
06-14-19 83 85.9 °F 76 65 66.6°F 62 88 77.8 °F 84 62 52.9°F 62 83 77.8 °F 79 58 52.9°F 56 78 88.3 °F 76 58 66.4°F 53
06-13-19 78 84.5 °F 75 59 60.2°F 54 82 85.9 °F 77 63 66.6°F 61 87 77.8 °F 85 62 52.9°F 62 83 77.8 °F 78 57 52.9°F 54
06-12-19 73 77.8 °F 69 47 52.9°F 46 76 84.5 °F 74 59 60.2°F 54 80 85.9 °F 71 64 66.6°F 61 86 77.8 °F 84 62 52.9°F 59
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1
% Succ     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     25.0     0.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 6.5   8.2 5.1   6.6 6.8   8.0 5.1   6.1 7.2   7.9 5.8   6.3 7.9   6.2 7.2   6.9
Net Error -0.7   -4.7 1.0   -0.2 -0.3   -4.3 1.4   0.0 0.1   -3.7 1.3   -0.2 1.0   -2.0 1.6   -2.1
Std Dev 3.4   4.1 3.9   3.8 4.6   5.8 3.8   4.2 6.2   6.8 5.0   5.5 7.9   6.2 7.2   6.9

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 76 ↓   74 62   62 80   71 59   59 85   82 64   65 85   84 64   70
06-17-19 81 88.3 °F 85 63 66.4°F 66 76   69 61   62 78   64 59   53 85   76 62   62
06-16-19 85 77.8 °F 85 61 52.9°F 64 83 88.3 °F 80 62 66.4°F 64 78   79 61   62 78   65 59   57
06-15-19 88 77.8 °F 85 63 52.9°F 63 84 77.8 °F 83 60 52.9°F 59 80 88.3 °F 81 60 66.4°F 58 78   75 61   62
06-14-19 83 85.9 °F 77 65 66.6°F 62 88 77.8 °F 84 62 52.9°F 61 83 77.8 °F 79 58 52.9°F 56 78 88.3 °F 76 58 66.4°F 53
06-13-19 78 84.5 °F 80 59 60.2°F 60 82 85.9 °F 82 63 66.6°F 67 87 77.8 °F 87 62 52.9°F 64 83 77.8 °F 79 57 52.9°F 55
06-12-19 73 77.8 °F 73 47 52.9°F 47 76 84.5 °F 75 59 60.2°F 56 80 85.9 °F 72 64 66.6°F 63 86 77.8 °F 86 62 52.9°F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0 20.0   20.0     25.0     0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 6.5   6.0 5.1   5.4 6.8   6.6 5.1   4.2 7.2   7.9 5.8   6.6 7.9   7.2 7.2   7.5
Net Error -0.7   -1.2 1.0   1.7 -0.3   -2.1 1.4   1.6 0.1   -2.7 1.3   0.6 1.0   -1.0 1.6   -1.4
Std Dev 3.4   3.1 3.9   4.8 4.6   4.3 3.8   3.4 6.2   6.8 5.0   5.7 7.9   7.2 7.2   7.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 76 ↓   77 62   63 80   71 59   59 85   82 64   65 85   84 64   71
06-17-19 81 88.3 °F 86 63 66.4°F 66 76   70 61   64 78   72 59   59 85   82 62   67
06-16-19 85 77.8 °F 87 61 52.9°F 65 83 88.3 °F 81 62 66.4°F 64 78   75 61   61 78   68 59   56
06-15-19 84 77.8 °F 80 62 52.9°F 61 84 77.8 °F 81 60 52.9°F 59 81 88.3 °F 81 61 66.4°F 60 77   78 61   64
06-14-19 83 77.8 °F 83 65 52.9°F 67 88 77.8 °F 87 62 52.9°F 64 83 77.8 °F 80 58 52.9°F 57 78 88.3 °F 76 58 66.4°F 55
06-13-19 78 77.8 °F 84 59 52.9°F 65 82 77.8 °F 82 63 52.9°F 67 87 77.8 °F 87 62 52.9°F 63 83 77.8 °F 78 57 52.9°F 59
06-12-19 73 77.8 °F 74 47 52.9°F 49 76 77.8 °F 77 59 52.9°F 56 80 77.8 °F 74 64 52.9°F 63 86 77.8 °F 87 62 52.9°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0     16.7 20.0   20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 5.2   4.8 7.5   8.5 5.5   4.9 7.4   7.4 6.0   5.6 7.7   7.7 7.9   7.2 7.2   8.9
Net Error 1.1   2.8 4.4   7.0 2.7   1.7 5.6   6.4 2.3   0.1 5.0   4.5 1.0   -1.0 1.6   1.3
Std Dev 3.2   3.1 4.1   5.7 4.1   3.9 4.9   5.5 5.2   4.9 6.7   6.7 7.9   7.2 7.2   8.9

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 73 ↓   64 60   70 76   60 59   83 84   64 64   84 86   71 64   85
06-17-19 83 ↓ 66.4°F 65 62 ↑ 88.3 °F 70 76 ↓   64 60   71 76   59 58   83 85   67 63   79
06-16-19 87 52.9°F 67 60 77.8 °F 80 81 66.4°F 65 62 88.3 °F 75 78   61 61   67 76   56 58   80
06-15-19 82 ↓ 52.9°F 67 61 77.8 °F 83 85 52.9°F 63 61 77.8 °F 82 81 66.4°F 62 61 88.3 °F 79 77   65 61   73
06-14-19 83 52.9°F 68 65 77.8 °F 85 88 52.9°F 65 63 77.8 °F 79 83 52.9°F 58 58 77.8 °F 75 78 66.4°F 55 58 88.3 °F 75
06-13-19 78 60.2°F 62 60 84.5 °F 81 82 52.9°F 66 64 77.8 °F 87 87 52.9°F 63 62 77.8 °F 78 82 52.9°F 58 58 77.8 °F 75
06-12-19 73 ↓ 52.9°F 48 48 77.8 °F 77 76 60.2°F 56 60 84.5 °F 75 81 52.9°F 63 63 77.8 °F 87 86 52.9°F 62 61 77.8 °F 79
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
% Succ     33.3     16.7     20.0     20.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 24.6   8.6 21.3   6.2 25.3   8.2 19.2   7.5 26.7   7.4 19.4   5.4 24.6   8.5 22.3   5.8
Net Error 24.6   6.5 -21.3   -1.3 25.3   5.9 -19.2   -1.6 26.7   5.2 -19.4   -0.7 24.6   0.9 -22.3   -5.0
Std Dev 12.0   6.8 10.0   5.9 17.6   6.3 12.8   6.3 23.9   6.6 17.3   5.1 24.6   8.5 22.3   5.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 60   63 76   70 59   58 84   83 64   63 86   85 64   68 82   81
06-17-19 62 ↑ 66.4°F 64 76 ↓ 88.3 °F 69 60   61 76   67 58   57 85   82 63   65 83   79
06-16-19 60 52.9°F 67 81 77.8 °F 80 62 66.4°F 65 78 88.3 °F 75 61   63 76   69 58   57 83   77
06-15-19 61 52.9°F 67 85 77.8 °F 83 61 52.9°F 61 81 77.8 °F 81 61 66.4°F 60 77 88.3 °F 79 61   63 79   69
06-14-19 65 52.9°F 69 88 77.8 °F 85 63 52.9°F 65 83 77.8 °F 79 58 52.9°F 58 78 77.8 °F 75 58 66.4°F 55 77 88.3 °F 75
06-13-19 60 60.2°F 61 82 84.5 °F 78 64 52.9°F 64 87 77.8 °F 87 62 52.9°F 63 82 77.8 °F 80 58 52.9°F 60 78 77.8 °F 78
06-12-19 48 52.9°F 50 76 77.8 °F 77 60 60.2°F 56 81 84.5 °F 78 63 52.9°F 63 86 77.8 °F 86 61 52.9°F 64 82 77.8 °F 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2
% Succ 16.7   16.7 16.7   16.7 20.0   20.0     20.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 6.1   8.4 6.2   6.9 6.8   7.4 6.3   6.7 7.4   7.9 6.0   5.6 7.2   9.9 5.2   4.6
Net Error 3.0   6.6 0.7   -2.0 4.9   5.1 0.8   -1.2 4.7   4.7 0.3   -0.4 1.6   2.3 -2.3   -4.3
Std Dev 4.4   6.9 4.4   6.1 4.7   5.8 4.6   5.9 6.5   6.9 5.8   5.2 7.2   9.9 5.2   4.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-19 60   65 76   75 59   61 84   84 64   65 86   86 64   68 82   82
06-17-19 62 ↑ 66.4°F 67 76 ↓ 88.3 °F 71 60   63 76   67 58   57 85   82 63   65 83   80
06-16-19 60 52.9°F 65 81 77.8 °F 77 62 66.4°F 64 78 88.3 °F 73 61   62 76   68 58   56 83   75
06-15-19 61 52.9°F 62 85 77.8 °F 83 61 52.9°F 60 81 77.8 °F 81 61 66.4°F 60 77 88.3 °F 79 61   63 79   70
06-14-19 65 52.9°F 70 88 77.8 °F 88 63 52.9°F 66 83 77.8 °F 82 58 52.9°F 59 78 77.8 °F 77 58 66.4°F 55 77 88.3 °F 77
06-13-19 62 52.9°F 62 82 77.8 °F 79 64 52.9°F 63 87 77.8 °F 87 62 52.9°F 62 82 77.8 °F 81 58 52.9°F 59 78 77.8 °F 79
06-12-19 48 71.4°F 49 76 75.8 °F 77 60 52.9°F 55 81 77.8 °F 77 63 52.9°F 64 86 77.8 °F 86 61 52.9°F 64 82 77.8 °F 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2
% Succ     16.7 16.7   50.0     0.0     20.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 10.7   11.7 6.2   6.0 8.2   7.0 6.2   6.5 7.4   8.2 6.0   5.4 7.2   9.5 5.2   4.2
Net Error 1.4   4.3 2.1   -0.0 6.4   6.0 2.1   0.1 4.7   5.0 0.3   0.3 1.6   1.9 -2.3   -3.3
Std Dev 5.5   7.1 4.2   6.2 5.5   5.6 4.6   6.0 6.5   7.1 5.8   5.1 7.2   9.5 5.2   4.2

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.