SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 15-Apr-2021 4:59 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

94°F at Ocala Jim Taylor Field, FL

Low Temp

10°F at Berthoud Pass, CO
10°F at Yellowstone Lake, WY

Precipitation

4.41in at New Iberia Airport - Acadiana Regional, LA

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Tuesday,
April 13, 2021

High Temp

58°F at Lincoln Airport, NE
58°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE
58°F at Hebron Municipal Ap, NE

Low Temp

18°F at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE
18°F at Chadron Municipal Ap, NE

Precipitation

0.03in at Fremont Municipal Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Thursday, 15-Apr-2021 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight

Partly Cloudy
Low: 35°

Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 54°

Thursday
night
Cloudy

Cloudy
Low: 38°

Friday

Rain and Snow
High: 41°

Friday
night

Rain and Snow
Low: 34°

Saturday

Rain and Snow
High: 40°

Saturday
night
Cloudy

Cloudy
Low: 32°

Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 56°

Sunday
night

Mostly Clear
Low: 38°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 15-Apr-2021 4:35am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Widespread Frost

Widespread Frost

Lo 28 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Widespread Frost then Partly Sunny

Widespread Frost then Partly Sunny

Hi 54 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers

Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers

Lo 39 °F ↑

Friday

Friday: Rain Showers

Rain Showers

Hi 47 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Rain Showers

Rain Showers

Lo 39 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy

Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy

Hi 54 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 35 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 61 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 39 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-15-21 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-15-21	29 ↑		35	54		54	39 ↑		38	48		41	38		34	53		40	34		32	61		56
04-14-21			34	<55	57.4 °F	53	<35		32	55		50	>35		36	>45		39	>35		32	<55		41
04-13-21	61	38.8°F	36	33 ↑	60.2 °F	54	57	33.4°F	33	33	57.4 °F	49	55		32	36		52	57		37	41		40
04-12-21	41	33.4°F	41	60	57.4 °F	56	34 ↑	38.8°F	37	57	60.2 °F	52	34	33.4°F	33	55	57.4 °F	49	35		34	57		48
04-11-21	<35	45.3°F	38	>65	73.4 °F	66	>35	33.4°F	41	>55	57.4 °F	57	35	38.8°F	35	55	60.2 °F	51	35	33.4°F	31	>55	57.4 °F	52
04-10-21	<45	33.4°F	43	<65	57.4 °F	57	35	45.3°F	38	70	73.4 °F	67	>35	33.4°F	39	>55	57.4 °F	55	35	38.8°F	34	>55	60.2 °F	53
04-09-21	<45	45.7°F	42	65	66.7 °F	62	<45	33.4°F	41	<65	57.4 °F	53	>35	45.3°F	40	>65	73.4 °F	66	40	33.4°F	42	>55	57.4 °F	53
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	1		2	0		2	0		1	1		1	0		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	16.7		33.3			40.0			20.0	25.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	30.8		6.2	36.6		4.1	21.1		4.9	29.2		5.6	20.8		3.8	34.6		6.9	4.0		5.3	58.3		5.7
Net Error	-18.9		0.7	-35.8		-4.1	-11.7		1.1	-29.2		-5.6	-20.5		-1.0	-34.6		-6.9	1.5		0.5	-58.3		-5.7
Std Dev	23.3		4.3	28.3		3.0	16.2		4.2	25.3		4.5	20.6		3.7	34.0		6.0	4.0		5.3	58.3		5.7

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	64 ↑		80	80		63	67		81	87		72	70		86	87		72	72		89	89		70
09-07-19	60	78.7 °F	82	82	64.7°F	63	63		80	79		63	65		85	86		71	70		88	87		72
09-06-19	65 ↑	85.5 °F	91	84	64.9°F	64	62 ↑	78.7 °F	84	84	64.7°F	65	63		75	80		61	66		85	87		70
09-05-19	65 ↑	96.4 °F	95	94 ↓	69.5°F	66	65 ↑	85.5 °F	87	85	64.9°F	62	62	78.7 °F	84	82	64.7°F	64	64		77	80		64
09-04-19	55 ↑	81.3 °F	84	81	65.5°F	60	65	96.4 °F	93	93	69.5°F	64	66	85.5 °F	86	87	64.9°F	60	63	78.7 °F	79	83	64.7°F	63
09-03-19	71 ↑	83.0 °F	92	87 ↓	55.9°F	62	56 ↑	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	59	65	96.4 °F	93	92	69.5°F	65	65	85.5 °F	86	86	64.9°F	60
09-02-19	66	90.0 °F	89	89	76.3°F	71	72	83.0 °F	89	88	55.9°F	59	57	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	62	65	96.4 °F	94	89	69.5°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1
% Succ			33.3			33.3			20.0			20.0			25.0			25.0			66.7			33.3
Ave Error	22.2		3.8	20.0		3.8	21.0		4.0	22.1		3.7	23.0		3.2	19.4		3.4	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4
Net Error	-22.2		3.0	20.0		-1.8	-21.0		2.6	22.1		-2.3	-23.0		1.5	19.4		-3.4	-22.5		-0.5	19.6		-4.4
Std Dev	10.9		2.9	9.8		2.4	14.2		2.8	14.1		2.9	20.1		3.0	16.8		3.2	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	80		80	67		64	87		82	70		72	87		92	72		72	89		89	71		72
09-07-19	82	78.7 °F	82	63	63.8°F	65	79		80	65		67	86		83	70		71	87		88	70		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	85.5 °F	94	65 ↑	63.9°F	67	85	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	64	82		82	64		64	80		79	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	60	93	85.5 °F	94	66	63.9°F	65	87	78.7 °F	86	63	63.8°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	59	92	85.5 °F	93	65	63.9°F	63	86	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	59
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	88	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	91.1 °F	89	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	85.5 °F	92	63	63.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	83	69	69.1°F	65	90	83.0 °F	88	74	55.9°F	74	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	5		1	1		0	3		2	1		0	4		2	0		0	2		1
% Succ	16.7		33.3	83.3		16.7	20.0		0.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		0.0	100.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	4.2		3.6	3.2		5.6	4.8		5.5	4.6		5.7	5.1		4.9	0.7		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4
Net Error	1.8		2.9	2.6		2.4	3.5		4.7	3.7		3.1	2.4		3.9	-0.1		-0.4	1.5		5.8	-4.4		-3.4
Std Dev	3.0		2.9	5.8		5.3	3.9		4.0	3.9		4.9	4.7		4.4	0.6		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		81	63		65	79		78	65		64	86		82	70		70	87		86	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	84	62 ↑	63.9°F	60	84		81	63		62	80		72	66		61	87		84	68		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	83.0 °F	96	65 ↑	55.9°F	67	85	85.5 °F	87	62	63.9°F	65	82		82	64		64	80		78	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	83	65	65.5°F	63	93	83.0 °F	93	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	64	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	64	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	60
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	87	72	55.9°F	71	88 ↓	91.1 °F	88	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	85	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	89	74	55.9°F	73	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	85	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	4		0	2		1	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7	66.7		0.0	40.0		20.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.3		3.4	4.7		7.1	4.2		4.9	6.3		6.9	4.0		3.8	2.7		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2
Net Error	1.4		2.9	3.7		4.2	2.6		3.6	5.3		5.1	1.3		2.8	1.9		1.9	0.1		4.4	-1.8		-0.4
Std Dev	3.9		4.5	6.0		5.2	4.4		4.2	5.4		5.3	3.7		3.7	2.5		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		78	63		63	79		80	65		65	86		83	70		70	87		87	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	85	62 ↑	63.9°F	62	84		81	63		63	80		71	66		62	87		81	68		70
09-05-19	94	83.0 °F	95	65 ↑	55.9°F	69	85	85.5 °F	88	62	63.9°F	64	82		84	64		66	80		80	65		67
09-04-19	81 ↓	81.3 °F	82	65	65.5°F	62	93	83.0 °F	94	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	63	83		81	62		64
09-03-19	87 ↓	83.0 °F	90	56 ↑	55.9°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	65	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	61
09-02-19	90 ↓	83.0 °F	90	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	83.0 °F	88	57	55.9°F	60	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	64
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	82	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	86	74	55.9°F	71	86	83.0 °F	87	56	55.9°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		1	2		0	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		0.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.4		5.0	4.6		6.8	4.6		4.8	6.3		6.6	3.5		4.3	2.7		4.7	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8
Net Error	2.9		3.9	3.8		4.3	4.2		4.8	5.4		4.8	3.3		4.3	2.0		2.0	0.1		4.1	-1.8		0.6
Std Dev	4.0		4.5	6.0		6.0	4.6		4.4	5.4		5.3	3.1		4.2	2.5		4.4	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		64	64		78	79		65	66		81	87		69	70		86	88		72	72		88
09-06-19	84 ↓	63.9°F	62	61	85.5 °F	81	81		63	62		71	78		62	65		81	87		70	68		85
09-05-19	94	55.9°F	71	65 ↑	83.0 °F	88	85	63.9°F	65	62	85.5 °F	84	84		66	64		80	81		67	66		84
09-04-19	82 ↓	65.5°F	62	65	81.3 °F	92	93	55.9°F	65	63	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	63	62	85.5 °F	81	83		64	64		76
09-03-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	60	55 ↑	83.0 °F	84	80	65.5°F	61	63	81.3 °F	93	93	55.9°F	65	66	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	61	62	85.5 °F	74
09-02-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	72	71 ↑	83.0 °F	88	86 ↓	55.9°F	59	53	83.0 °F	84	81	65.5°F	61	64	81.3 °F	92	91	55.9°F	64	64	83.0 °F	87
09-01-19	82	69.1°F	68	67	84.8 °F	87	89	55.9°F	71	73	83.0 °F	87	87	55.9°F	60	57	83.0 °F	84	78	65.5°F	62	61	81.3 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			33.3			16.7			20.0			40.0			25.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	26.0		7.0	19.4		4.7	27.2		6.6	20.4		4.2	26.5		4.7	21.0		4.8	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4
Net Error	26.0		4.8	-19.4		3.2	27.2		4.8	-20.4		3.6	26.5		2.0	-21.0		2.6	23.2		0.6	-20.9		1.7
Std Dev	13.4		6.4	9.5		3.5	18.8		5.0	13.0		4.5	23.0		4.4	18.2		4.2	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		80	66		66	87		81	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	63.9°F	64	81	85.5 °F	79	62 ↑		63	78		76	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		89
09-05-19	65 ↑	65.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	90	62	63.9°F	67	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	64	93	83.0 °F	92	63 ↑	65.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	85	62	63.9°F	62	83	85.5 °F	81	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	56.3°F	61	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	61	93	83.0 °F	94	66	65.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	87	62	63.9°F	61	81	85.5 °F	78
09-02-19	71 ↑	73.0°F	73	86 ↓	90.0 °F	89	53 ↑	56.3°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	65.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	69.1°F	67	89	84.8 °F	87	73 ↑	73.0°F	71	87	90.0 °F	86	57	56.3°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	93
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	0		1	2		2	1		1	3		2	0		0	2		0	0		0
% Succ	50.0		33.3			16.7	40.0		40.0	20.0		20.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	2.9		3.7	7.5		5.2	2.9		2.8	7.0		7.0	2.9		2.5	8.5		7.5	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6
Net Error	0.1		3.0	-2.8		-1.5	-0.0		2.0	-3.0		-2.6	2.0		1.0	-4.5		-2.5	0.7		0.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	3.1		3.4	4.3		3.2	2.7		2.4	5.5		5.7	2.6		2.1	7.9		6.7	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		83	66		68	87		83	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	67.2°F	62	81	85.5 °F	81	62 ↑		63	78		75	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		88
09-05-19	65 ↑	67.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	88	62	67.2°F	65	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	93	63 ↑	67.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	62	83	85.5 °F	82	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	68.7°F	60	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	95	66	67.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	61	81	85.5 °F	77
09-02-19	71 ↑	69.4°F	74	86 ↓	90.0 °F	90	53 ↑	68.7°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	67.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	55.9°F	68	89	83.0 °F	88	73 ↑	69.4°F	71	87	90.0 °F	87	57	68.7°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	0		1	0		1	1		1	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0			16.7			20.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	7.3		6.9	7.8		5.7	7.1		4.1	7.0		6.8	6.5		5.0	8.5		7.5	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3
Net Error	-0.0		2.3	-2.5		-0.7	-2.9		-1.1	-3.0		-2.0	-2.5		-3.5	-4.5		-2.5	-1.1		-1.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	5.1		3.3	4.4		3.9	4.8		3.0	5.5		5.7	5.7		4.4	7.9		6.8	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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