Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 27-Jan-2021 05:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 14°
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 29°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 15°
Friday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 48°
Friday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 39°
Saturday

Overcast
Overcast
High: 43°
Saturday
night
Cloudy
Cold!
Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 30°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 41°
Sunday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 22°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 27-Jan-2021 6:35pm CST

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 9 °F ↑
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 32 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 19 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 38 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 30 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Freezing Rain then Rain
Chance Freezing Rain then Rain

Hi 39 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Rain And Snow
Chance Rain And Snow

Lo 26 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 34 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 18 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-27-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-27-21 7 ↑   12 22   19 7 ↑   14 33   29 19   16 37   47 30   37 39   42
01-26-21 14 ↑ 14.0°F 14 19 24.6 °F 17 8 ↑   10 19   21 6   5 31   29 18   18 38   48
01-25-21 25 ↑ 17.6°F 26 28 27.5 °F 29 15 ↑ 14.0°F 17 22 24.6 °F 18 15   11 24   21 7   9 28   27
01-24-21 25 ↑ 27.1°F 25 33 ↓ 30.7 °F 39 22 17.6°F 21 30 27.5 °F 25 17 14.0°F 15 25 24.6 °F 18 15   14 26   17
01-23-21 >45 28.7°F 20 20 31.0 °F 36 <35 27.1°F 26 <25 30.7 °F 35 35 17.6°F 28 25 27.5 °F 31 35 14.0°F 21 17 24.6 °F 25
01-22-21 21 ↑ 19.1°F 24 33 31.6 °F 35 21 ↑ 28.7°F 23 33 31.0 °F 35 25 27.1°F 26 33 30.7 °F 30 20 17.6°F 26 28 27.5 °F 30
01-21-21 23 ↑ 28.1°F 23 48 ↓ 53.4 °F 50 22 ↑ 19.1°F 20 35 31.6 °F 31 22 28.7°F 21 35 31.0 °F 30 26 27.1°F 23 34 30.7 °F 31
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 2 1 2 1 0 1 2
% Succ 33.3   16.7 33.3   16.7 20.0   40.0 20.0   20.0     50.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 7.5   4.9 4.4   4.9 8.6   2.8 8.2   3.6 7.3   5.1 2.3   3.0 8.2   6.5 3.8   1.1
Net Error -4.4   -0.4 -3.0   1.2 -5.3   0.1 -5.1   -0.3 2.9   0.7 1.1   -1.2 7.4   3.8 -1.3   1.1
Std Dev 10.2   3.7 3.9   3.1 10.6   2.0 11.9   2.7 6.7   4.8 2.2   3.1 8.2   6.5 3.8   1.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 64 ↑   80 80   63 67   81 87   72 70   86 87   72 72   89 89   70
09-07-19 60 78.7 °F 82 82 64.7°F 63 63   80 79   63 65   85 86   71 70   88 87   72
09-06-19 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 91 84 64.9°F 64 62 ↑ 78.7 °F 84 84 64.7°F 65 63   75 80   61 66   85 87   70
09-05-19 65 ↑ 96.4 °F 95 94 ↓ 69.5°F 66 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 87 85 64.9°F 62 62 78.7 °F 84 82 64.7°F 64 64   77 80   64
09-04-19 55 ↑ 81.3 °F 84 81 65.5°F 60 65 96.4 °F 93 93 69.5°F 64 66 85.5 °F 86 87 64.9°F 60 63 78.7 °F 79 83 64.7°F 63
09-03-19 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 92 87 ↓ 55.9°F 62 56 ↑ 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 59 65 96.4 °F 93 92 69.5°F 65 65 85.5 °F 86 86 64.9°F 60
09-02-19 66 90.0 °F 89 89 76.3°F 71 72 83.0 °F 89 88 55.9°F 59 57 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 62 65 96.4 °F 94 89 69.5°F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1
% Succ     33.3     33.3     20.0     20.0     25.0     25.0     66.7     33.3
Ave Error 22.2   3.8 20.0   3.8 21.0   4.0 22.1   3.7 23.0   3.2 19.4   3.4 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4
Net Error -22.2   3.0 20.0   -1.8 -21.0   2.6 22.1   -2.3 -23.0   1.5 19.4   -3.4 -22.5   -0.5 19.6   -4.4
Std Dev 10.9   2.9 9.8   2.4 14.2   2.8 14.1   2.9 20.1   3.0 16.8   3.2 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 80   80 67   64 87   82 70   72 87   92 72   72 89   89 71   72
09-07-19 82 78.7 °F 82 63 63.8°F 65 79   80 65   67 86   83 70   71 87   88 70   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 85.5 °F 94 65 ↑ 63.9°F 67 85 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 64 82   82 64   64 80   79 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 60 93 85.5 °F 94 66 63.9°F 65 87 78.7 °F 86 63 63.8°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 59 92 85.5 °F 93 65 63.9°F 63 86 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 59
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 88 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 89 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 85.5 °F 92 63 63.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 83 69 69.1°F 65 90 83.0 °F 88 74 55.9°F 74 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 5 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 4 2 0 0 2 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 83.3   16.7 20.0   0.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 100.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 4.2   3.6 3.2   5.6 4.8   5.5 4.6   5.7 5.1   4.9 0.7   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4
Net Error 1.8   2.9 2.6   2.4 3.5   4.7 3.7   3.1 2.4   3.9 -0.1   -0.4 1.5   5.8 -4.4   -3.4
Std Dev 3.0   2.9 5.8   5.3 3.9   4.0 3.9   4.9 4.7   4.4 0.6   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   81 63   65 79   78 65   64 86   82 70   70 87   86 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 84 62 ↑ 63.9°F 60 84   81 63   62 80   72 66   61 87   84 68   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 83.0 °F 96 65 ↑ 55.9°F 67 85 85.5 °F 87 62 63.9°F 65 82   82 64   64 80   78 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 83 65 65.5°F 63 93 83.0 °F 93 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 64 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 64 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 60
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 87 72 55.9°F 71 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 88 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 85 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 89 74 55.9°F 73 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 85 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 4 0 2 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 66.7   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.3   3.4 4.7   7.1 4.2   4.9 6.3   6.9 4.0   3.8 2.7   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2
Net Error 1.4   2.9 3.7   4.2 2.6   3.6 5.3   5.1 1.3   2.8 1.9   1.9 0.1   4.4 -1.8   -0.4
Std Dev 3.9   4.5 6.0   5.2 4.4   4.2 5.4   5.3 3.7   3.7 2.5   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   78 63   63 79   80 65   65 86   83 70   70 87   87 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 85 62 ↑ 63.9°F 62 84   81 63   63 80   71 66   62 87   81 68   70
09-05-19 94 83.0 °F 95 65 ↑ 55.9°F 69 85 85.5 °F 88 62 63.9°F 64 82   84 64   66 80   80 65   67
09-04-19 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 82 65 65.5°F 62 93 83.0 °F 94 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 63 83   81 62   64
09-03-19 87 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 56 ↑ 55.9°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 65 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 61
09-02-19 90 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 83.0 °F 88 57 55.9°F 60 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 64
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 82 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 86 74 55.9°F 71 86 83.0 °F 87 56 55.9°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 1 2 0 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   16.7 40.0   0.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.4   5.0 4.6   6.8 4.6   4.8 6.3   6.6 3.5   4.3 2.7   4.7 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8
Net Error 2.9   3.9 3.8   4.3 4.2   4.8 5.4   4.8 3.3   4.3 2.0   2.0 0.1   4.1 -1.8   0.6
Std Dev 4.0   4.5 6.0   6.0 4.6   4.4 5.4   5.3 3.1   4.2 2.5   4.4 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   64 64   78 79   65 66   81 87   69 70   86 88   72 72   88
09-06-19 84 ↓ 63.9°F 62 61 85.5 °F 81 81   63 62   71 78   62 65   81 87   70 68   85
09-05-19 94 55.9°F 71 65 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 85 63.9°F 65 62 85.5 °F 84 84   66 64   80 81   67 66   84
09-04-19 82 ↓ 65.5°F 62 65 81.3 °F 92 93 55.9°F 65 63 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 63 62 85.5 °F 81 83   64 64   76
09-03-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 60 55 ↑ 83.0 °F 84 80 65.5°F 61 63 81.3 °F 93 93 55.9°F 65 66 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 61 62 85.5 °F 74
09-02-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 72 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 86 ↓ 55.9°F 59 53 83.0 °F 84 81 65.5°F 61 64 81.3 °F 92 91 55.9°F 64 64 83.0 °F 87
09-01-19 82 69.1°F 68 67 84.8 °F 87 89 55.9°F 71 73 83.0 °F 87 87 55.9°F 60 57 83.0 °F 84 78 65.5°F 62 61 81.3 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     33.3     16.7     20.0     40.0     25.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 26.0   7.0 19.4   4.7 27.2   6.6 20.4   4.2 26.5   4.7 21.0   4.8 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4
Net Error 26.0   4.8 -19.4   3.2 27.2   4.8 -20.4   3.6 26.5   2.0 -21.0   2.6 23.2   0.6 -20.9   1.7
Std Dev 13.4   6.4 9.5   3.5 18.8   5.0 13.0   4.5 23.0   4.4 18.2   4.2 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   80 66   66 87   81 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 63.9°F 64 81 85.5 °F 79 62 ↑   63 78   76 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   89
09-05-19 65 ↑ 65.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 90 62 63.9°F 67 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 64 93 83.0 °F 92 63 ↑ 65.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 85 62 63.9°F 62 83 85.5 °F 81 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 56.3°F 61 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 61 93 83.0 °F 94 66 65.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 87 62 63.9°F 61 81 85.5 °F 78
09-02-19 71 ↑ 73.0°F 73 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 89 53 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 65.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 69.1°F 67 89 84.8 °F 87 73 ↑ 73.0°F 71 87 90.0 °F 86 57 56.3°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3     16.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.9   3.7 7.5   5.2 2.9   2.8 7.0   7.0 2.9   2.5 8.5   7.5 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6
Net Error 0.1   3.0 -2.8   -1.5 -0.0   2.0 -3.0   -2.6 2.0   1.0 -4.5   -2.5 0.7   0.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 3.1   3.4 4.3   3.2 2.7   2.4 5.5   5.7 2.6   2.1 7.9   6.7 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   83 66   68 87   83 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 67.2°F 62 81 85.5 °F 81 62 ↑   63 78   75 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   88
09-05-19 65 ↑ 67.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 88 62 67.2°F 65 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 93 63 ↑ 67.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 62 83 85.5 °F 82 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 68.7°F 60 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 95 66 67.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 61 81 85.5 °F 77
09-02-19 71 ↑ 69.4°F 74 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 53 ↑ 68.7°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 67.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 55.9°F 68 89 83.0 °F 88 73 ↑ 69.4°F 71 87 90.0 °F 87 57 68.7°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0     16.7     20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.3   6.9 7.8   5.7 7.1   4.1 7.0   6.8 6.5   5.0 8.5   7.5 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3
Net Error -0.0   2.3 -2.5   -0.7 -2.9   -1.1 -3.0   -2.0 -2.5   -3.5 -4.5   -2.5 -1.1   -1.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 5.1   3.3 4.4   3.9 4.8   3.0 5.5   5.7 5.7   4.4 7.9   6.8 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.