Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 19-Nov-2017 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 26°
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 52°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 33°
Monday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 62°
Monday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 36°
Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 48°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 23°
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 50°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Low: 28°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 19-Nov-2017 3:35am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Clear
Clear

Lo 25 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 56 °F ↓
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 29 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 60 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 35 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 44 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 20 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 45 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 33 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-19-17 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-17 26   26 55 ↓   52 34   33 61   62 34   36 42   48 19   23 43   50
11-18-17 36 ↑ 29.4°F 37 48 ↓ 52.7 °F 43 25   24 55   48 34   32 58   61 34   36 45   51
11-17-17 44 ↑ 42.9°F 48 64 ↓ 67.1 °F 68 38 29.4°F 37 48 52.7 °F 44 25   25 54   53 35   35 58   66
11-16-17 26 44.7°F 25 53 ↓ 53.5 °F 55 44 ↑ 42.9°F 41 63 67.1 °F 67 38 29.4°F 40 48 52.7 °F 47 25   27 50   56
11-15-17 43 28.3°F 40 57 ↓ 56.9 °F 58 27 44.7°F 30 53 53.5 °F 58 45 42.9°F 39 63 67.1 °F 71 38 29.4°F 37 48 52.7 °F 45
11-14-17 44 ↑ 49.1°F 46 60 ↓ 55.1 °F 60 40 ↑ 28.3°F 40 56 56.9 °F 58 31 44.7°F 31 53 53.5 °F 59 46 42.9°F 51 58 67.1 °F 69
11-13-17 26 ↑ 45.0°F 34 51 ↓ 45.6 °F 59 44 ↑ 49.1°F 41 60 55.1 °F 62 40 28.3°F 40 55 56.9 °F 59 31 44.7°F 33 53 53.5 °F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 3 1 1 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1
% Succ 16.7   0.0 33.3   50.0 20.0   20.0 40.0   40.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 10.9   9.7 3.1   5.3 8.8   8.8 3.0   4.3 9.0   10.0 2.8   4.3 8.5   9.1 4.8   4.7
Net Error -3.4   -1.6 0.4   2.0 -0.3   -1.1 -1.1   0.7 2.2   1.2 -2.8   1.5 -0.7   1.3 -4.8   -0.4
Std Dev 7.5   6.7 2.3   4.0 7.7   6.9 2.4   3.8 7.8   8.6 2.6   3.8 8.5   9.1 4.8   4.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-18-17 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-18-17 36 ↑   45 48 ↓   23 25   50 55   33 32   62 58   36 35   50 45   21
11-17-17 44 ↑ 67.1 °F 66 62 ↓ 39.8°F 38 38   44 48   23 25   47 54   32 35   61 58   34
11-16-17 26 53.5 °F 55 53 ↓ 44.7°F 39 45 ↑ 67.1 °F 69 63 39.8°F 39 39   47 47   26 25   55 51   34
11-15-17 43 56.9 °F 58 53 ↓ 28.1°F 30 29 53.5 °F 57 53 44.7°F 38 44 67.1 °F 70 63 39.8°F 37 38   46 49   24
11-14-17 44 ↑ 55.1 °F 60 57 43.8°F 40 40 ↑ 56.9 °F 55 56 28.1°F 30 29 53.5 °F 52 53 44.7°F 40 46 67.1 °F 66 61 39.8°F 33
11-13-17 29 45.6 °F 60 52 ↓ 45.0°F 42 45 55.1 °F 66 60 43.8°F 41 39 56.9 °F 58 56 28.1°F 33 30 53.5 °F 57 53 44.7°F 43
11-12-17 39 55.8 °F 52 50 ↓ 35.2°F 29 31 ↑ 45.6 °F 53 52 45.0°F 33 44 55.1 °F 58 60 43.8°F 41 40 56.9 °F 58 56 28.1°F 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 1
% Succ     50.0     33.3     40.0     40.0     50.0     0.0     66.7     33.3
Ave Error 18.2   4.5 15.1   3.7 17.6   5.1 16.5   4.8 19.2   2.1 18.9   3.8 20.5   1.9 19.1   4.5
Net Error -18.2   2.8 15.1   -3.1 -17.6   4.4 16.5   -4.1 -19.2   1.4 18.9   -1.4 -20.5   1.2 19.1   -1.2
Std Dev 9.2   5.0 9.0   2.1 11.7   3.9 12.6   3.9 16.7   1.9 16.5   3.3 20.5   1.9 19.1   4.5

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-18-17 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-18-17 48 ↓   43 25   22 55 ↓   50 32   32 58   61 35   36 45   50 19   20
11-17-17 62 ↓ 67.1 °F 66 38 39.3°F 38 48 ↓   44 25   22 54   47 35   33 58   61 33   34
11-16-17 53 ↓ 53.5 °F 54 45 ↑ 44.7°F 36 63 ↓ 67.1 °F 66 39 39.3°F 38 47   46 25   26 51   54 35   34
11-15-17 53 ↓ 56.9 °F 58 29 28.0°F 30 53 ↓ 53.5 °F 57 44 44.7°F 38 63 67.1 °F 70 38 39.3°F 37 49   46 25   24
11-14-17 57 55.1 °F 61 40 ↑ 41.6°F 40 56 ↓ 56.9 °F 56 29 28.0°F 31 53 53.5 °F 53 46 44.7°F 41 61 67.1 °F 66 34 39.3°F 33
11-13-17 52 ↓ 45.6 °F 54 45 45.0°F 38 60 55.1 °F 60 39 41.6°F 38 56 56.9 °F 55 30 28.0°F 32 53 53.5 °F 56 44 44.7°F 45
11-12-17 50 ↓ 55.8 °F 53 31 ↑ 35.2°F 30 52 ↓ 45.6 °F 53 44 45.0°F 34 60 55.1 °F 58 40 41.6°F 41 56 56.9 °F 58 32 28.0°F 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 5 3 2 2 4 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 1 1
% Succ 33.3   50.0 83.3   50.0 40.0   40.0 80.0   20.0 50.0   50.0 100.0   25.0 66.7   66.7 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 3.9   3.3 1.4   4.3 3.4   3.6 1.1   5.1 2.6   2.1 1.6   2.7 2.5   1.6 3.3   3.9
Net Error -1.2   2.0 -1.0   -3.6 1.2   2.8 -0.7   -3.9 -0.1   0.9 0.1   -0.7 -2.5   0.8 -0.7   -0.3
Std Dev 2.5   3.2 0.9   3.3 2.7   2.8 0.8   3.8 2.4   1.8 1.3   2.3 2.5   1.6 3.3   3.9

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-18-17 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-18-17 48 ↓   49 25   23 55 ↓   49 32   34 58   63 35   34 45   50 19   22
11-17-17 61 ↓ 67.1 °F 66 38 39.3°F 38 48 ↓   44 25   23 54   51 35   33 58   62 33   36
11-16-17 53 ↓ 53.5 °F 51 45 ↑ 44.7°F 36 63 ↓ 67.1 °F 66 39 39.3°F 38 47   45 25   26 51   53 35   37
11-15-17 53 ↓ 56.9 °F 54 29 28.0°F 27 53 ↓ 53.5 °F 56 44 44.7°F 40 63 67.1 °F 67 38 39.3°F 38 49   45 25   22
11-14-17 57 55.1 °F 59 40 ↑ 41.6°F 40 56 ↓ 56.9 °F 55 29 28.0°F 29 53 53.5 °F 52 46 44.7°F 39 61 67.1 °F 65 34 39.3°F 34
11-13-17 49 45.6 °F 53 45 45.0°F 38 60 55.1 °F 61 39 41.6°F 38 56 56.9 °F 58 30 28.0°F 33 53 53.5 °F 58 44 44.7°F 47
11-12-17 50 ↓ 55.8 °F 53 31 ↑ 35.2°F 28 52 ↓ 45.6 °F 53 44 45.0°F 34 60 55.1 °F 61 40 41.6°F 41 56 56.9 °F 59 32 28.0°F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 5 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 4 2 2 0 1 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7 83.3   50.0 40.0   40.0 80.0   40.0 50.0   75.0 100.0   50.0 66.7   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.6   3.4 1.4   4.5 3.4   3.8 1.1   4.3 2.6   2.2 1.6   3.2 2.5   2.9 3.3   5.2
Net Error -1.8   0.3 -1.0   -4.5 1.2   2.6 -0.7   -3.9 -0.1   1.4 0.1   -0.7 -2.5   1.5 -0.7   1.7
Std Dev 2.3   2.4 0.9   3.5 2.7   2.8 0.8   3.4 2.4   2.1 1.3   2.9 2.5   2.9 3.3   5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-18-17 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-18-17 48 ↓   52 25   23 55 ↓   49 32   34 58   63 35   34 45   49 19   22
11-17-17 64 ↓ 67.1 °F 68 38 39.3°F 39 48 ↓   44 25   23 54   47 35   33 58   62 33   37
11-16-17 53 ↓ 53.5 °F 51 44 ↑ 44.7°F 35 64 ↓ 67.1 °F 66 38 39.3°F 38 48   45 25   26 54   53 35   37
11-15-17 52 ↓ 56.9 °F 57 29 28.0°F 27 53 ↓ 53.5 °F 56 44 44.7°F 41 63 67.1 °F 67 38 39.3°F 38 49   45 25   22
11-14-17 57 55.1 °F 58 40 ↑ 41.6°F 41 57 ↓ 56.9 °F 57 27 28.0°F 29 53 53.5 °F 54 45 44.7°F 40 63 67.1 °F 66 38 39.3°F 35
11-13-17 49 ↓ 45.6 °F 47 45 45.0°F 37 60 55.1 °F 61 39 41.6°F 38 56 56.9 °F 58 30 28.0°F 33 53 53.5 °F 58 44 44.7°F 47
11-12-17 50 ↓ 55.8 °F 55 31 ↑ 35.2°F 29 52 ↓ 45.6 °F 54 44 45.0°F 35 60 55.1 °F 61 40 41.6°F 42 56 56.9 °F 59 32 28.0°F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 5 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 4 2 2 1 2 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 83.3   50.0 40.0   40.0 80.0   40.0 50.0   75.0 100.0   50.0 66.7   33.3 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 3.3   1.4 1.5   4.3 3.0   3.6 1.3   3.9 2.6   1.9 1.3   2.9 1.8   2.6 2.0   4.9
Net Error -1.5   0.3 -1.1   -4.3 1.6   3.2 -1.3   -3.5 -0.1   1.9 -0.2   -0.2 -1.8   1.8 0.7   2.0
Std Dev 2.0   1.1 0.9   4.1 2.6   3.0 0.9   3.0 2.4   1.9 1.1   2.6 1.8   2.6 2.0   4.9

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-18-17 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-18-17 50 ↓   24 26   50 55 ↓   35 34   63 61   38 34   50 42   22 19   49
11-17-17 64 ↓ 39.3°F 39 36 67.1 °F 45 48 ↓   23 25   47 55   34 34   61 58   35 34   51
11-16-17 53 ↓ 44.7°F 39 44 ↑ 53.5 °F 67 64 ↓ 39.3°F 36 38 67.1 °F 42 48   25 25   51 54   34 35   63
11-15-17 52 ↓ 28.0°F 28 29 56.9 °F 54 53 ↓ 44.7°F 36 44 53.5 °F 64 63 39.3°F 38 38 67.1 °F 45 49   24 25   52
11-14-17 57 41.6°F 41 40 ↑ 55.1 °F 54 57 ↓ 28.0°F 30 27 56.9 °F 52 53 44.7°F 38 45 53.5 °F 68 63 39.3°F 37 38 67.1 °F 45
11-13-17 49 ↓ 45.0°F 38 45 45.6 °F 58 60 ↓ 41.6°F 39 40 55.1 °F 57 56 28.0°F 32 31 56.9 °F 57 53 44.7°F 45 46 53.5 °F 65
11-12-17 51 ↓ 35.2°F 30 31 55.8 °F 60 51 ↓ 45.0°F 42 44 45.6 °F 64 60 41.6°F 42 40 55.1 °F 60 55 28.0°F 33 31 56.9 °F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ     50.0 16.7   16.7     20.0 20.0   20.0     50.0     25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 15.4   3.1 18.2   9.4 17.3   3.9 17.0   12.2 19.6   3.1 19.7   10.4 19.7   2.5 20.8   12.2
Net Error 15.4   -3.1 -18.2   0.7 17.3   -3.1 -17.0   0.2 19.6   -0.9 -19.7   -0.6 19.7   1.0 -20.8   -2.5
Std Dev 9.8   3.0 12.8   8.0 13.2   3.4 13.8   10.2 17.1   2.8 17.7   10.7 19.7   2.5 20.8   12.2

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-18-17 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-18-17 26   26 55 ↓   52 34   35 61   64 34   38 42   51 19   22 43   49
11-17-17 36 39.3°F 40 48 ↓ 67.1 °F 47 25   26 55   48 34   34 58   62 34   35 45   52
11-16-17 44 ↑ 44.8°F 43 64 ↓ 53.5 °F 68 38 39.3°F 38 48 67.1 °F 44 25   26 54   52 35   34 58   63
11-15-17 29 28.0°F 27 53 ↓ 56.9 °F 52 44 ↑ 44.8°F 35 63 53.5 °F 64 38 39.3°F 38 49 67.1 °F 45 25   24 52   52
11-14-17 40 ↑ 41.6°F 42 57 ↓ 55.1 °F 53 27 28.0°F 29 53 56.9 °F 51 45 44.8°F 37 63 53.5 °F 68 38 39.3°F 36 48 67.1 °F 45
11-13-17 44 ↑ 45.0°F 41 60 ↓ 45.6 °F 58 40 ↑ 41.6°F 39 56 55.1 °F 56 31 28.0°F 32 53 56.9 °F 57 46 44.8°F 45 58 53.5 °F 65
11-12-17 31 35.2°F 28 51 ↓ 55.8 °F 58 44 ↑ 45.0°F 41 60 45.6 °F 63 40 41.6°F 41 55 55.1 °F 60 31 28.0°F 33 53 56.9 °F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 4 1 0 5 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 1 0 0
% Succ 66.7   66.7 16.7   0.0 100.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   50.0 25.0   25.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.5 9.1   9.4 1.1   3.7 9.6   11.6 1.5   3.4 7.9   10.4 1.8   2.8 9.2   12.2
Net Error -1.7   -2.2 -0.2   0.3 -1.1   -3.3 0.4   -0.0 0.1   -1.4 -3.2   -0.6 1.0   0.6 -6.2   -2.5
Std Dev 1.2   1.8 7.0   7.2 0.7   4.0 7.8   9.3 1.3   3.2 8.5   10.7 1.8   2.8 9.2   12.2

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-18-17 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-18-17 26   26 55 ↓   52 34   32 61   61 34   36 42   48 19   23 43   50
11-17-17 36 ↑ 32.1°F 37 48 ↓ 67.1 °F 43 25   24 55   48 34   32 58   62 34   37 45   51
11-16-17 44 ↑ 47.0°F 44 64 ↓ 53.5 °F 68 38 32.1°F 38 48 67.1 °F 45 25   25 54   53 35   36 58   67
11-15-17 26 44.7°F 26 53 ↓ 56.9 °F 55 44 ↑ 47.0°F 41 63 53.5 °F 67 38 32.1°F 40 48 67.1 °F 47 25   27 50   56
11-14-17 40 ↑ 31.7°F 42 57 ↓ 55.1 °F 53 27 44.7°F 29 53 56.9 °F 52 45 47.0°F 36 63 53.5 °F 69 38 32.1°F 36 48 67.1 °F 43
11-13-17 44 ↑ 53.0°F 44 60 ↓ 45.6 °F 60 40 ↑ 31.7°F 40 56 55.1 °F 57 31 44.7°F 31 53 56.9 °F 59 46 47.0°F 51 58 53.5 °F 68
11-12-17 26 ↑ 45.0°F 33 51 ↓ 55.8 °F 59 44 ↑ 53.0°F 41 60 45.6 °F 60 40 31.7°F 39 55 55.1 °F 59 31 44.7°F 32 53 56.9 °F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1
% Succ     0.0 16.7   16.7     0.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 10.3   9.7 9.1   10.0 8.8   9.6 9.6   11.4 7.5   10.0 8.2   10.4 6.9   6.9 9.2   13.2
Net Error -6.3   -4.6 -0.2   0.7 -3.1   -3.9 0.4   0.6 -0.4   -2.4 -3.4   0.4 -2.9   -1.6 -6.2   -2.8
Std Dev 6.8   6.4 7.0   8.8 7.4   7.0 7.8   9.2 6.5   8.7 8.9   10.2 6.9   6.9 9.2   13.2

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.