Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 19-Apr-2019 05:00 pm

Tonight

Clear
Clear
Low: 43°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 80°
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 53°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 84°
Sunday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 58°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 63°
Monday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 49°
Tuesday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 61°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 45°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 19-Apr-2019 4:35pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 67 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Clear
Clear

Lo 41 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 80 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 54 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 79 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 54 °F
Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 65 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 45 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 65 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-19 39   40 68   64 42   40 79   78 52   51 76   84 50   54 63   61
04-18-19 42 30.0°F 43 60 44.0 °F 61 38   38 67   63 44   40 77   77 49   48 67   73
04-17-19 60 30.0°F 60 74 ↓ 44.0 °F 73 43 30.0°F 49 61 44.0 °F 59 39   38 67   63 44   40 78   76
04-16-19 48 ↑ 30.0°F 48 75 44.0 °F 78 58 30.0°F 58 71 44.0 °F 74 44 30.0°F 45 60 44.0 °F 55 40   36 67   66
04-15-19 42 30.0°F 43 75 44.0 °F 78 47 30.0°F 47 76 44.0 °F 74 56 30.0°F 56 74 44.0 °F 77 43 30.0°F 46 55 44.0 °F 51
04-14-19 28 47.5°F 31 57 61.2 °F 59 41 30.0°F 43 73 44.0 °F 77 48 30.0°F 47 76 44.0 °F 80 54 30.0°F 55 72 44.0 °F 81
04-13-19 28 ↑ 30.0°F 30 55 44.0 °F 54 30 47.5°F 29 57 61.2 °F 58 39 30.0°F 44 73 44.0 °F 72 47 30.0°F 45 74 44.0 °F 74
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 15.6   15.1 20.5   21.0 17.3   19.1 21.8   22.2 16.8   18.0 26.8   27.0 18.0   18.7 23.0   24.7
Net Error 8.4   9.6 19.1   20.3 10.3   11.7 20.2   21.0 16.8   18.0 26.8   27.0 18.0   18.7 23.0   24.7
Std Dev 9.1   8.8 13.0   14.2 12.1   12.8 14.9   15.2 14.6   15.7 23.8   24.7 18.0   18.7 23.0   24.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-19 38 ↑   65 67   41 40   78 80   51 53   84 78   54 52   61 65   46
04-18-19 42 ↑ 65.0 °F 61 61 42.2°F 39 39   64 66   39 42   77 79   48 51   73 71   50
04-17-19 60 71.3 °F 75 70 ↓ 47.6°F 49 43 65.0 °F 60 61 42.2°F 38 39   63 66   40 44   76 78   49
04-16-19 48 ↑ 44.0 °F 78 76 30.0°F 58 59 71.3 °F 75 70 47.6°F 45 43 65.0 °F 55 61 42.2°F 36 40   66 68   41
04-15-19 42 44.0 °F 80 76 30.0°F 48 47 44.0 °F 74 75 30.0°F 56 57 71.3 °F 77 72 47.6°F 47 44 65.0 °F 51 57 42.2°F 35
04-14-19 28 44.0 °F 59 56 30.0°F 42 40 44.0 °F 76 74 30.0°F 46 48 44.0 °F 80 76 30.0°F 54 56 71.3 °F 81 76 47.6°F 50
04-13-19 28 ↑ 44.0 °F 55 54 30.0°F 31 29 44.0 °F 59 58 30.0°F 41 41 44.0 °F 72 73 30.0°F 46 47 44.0 °F 76 76 30.0°F 59
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0     33.3     0.0     0.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 12.1   17.3 30.5   10.6 11.3   17.1 31.6   12.0 10.8   19.9 33.1   11.7 13.1   18.6 29.7   12.9
Net Error -10.7   16.0 30.5   9.5 -10.1   15.1 31.6   9.2 -8.8   14.9 33.1   8.3 -11.1   9.2 29.7   8.1
Std Dev 8.6   14.7 16.5   10.1 9.4   14.7 22.0   11.2 10.9   18.0 29.5   10.5 13.1   18.6 29.7   12.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-19 67   64 40   41 80   79 53   52 78   84 52   57 65   63 46   47
04-18-19 61 44.0 °F 62 39 30.0°F 38 66   62 42   40 79   77 51   50 71   77 47   50
04-17-19 70 ↓ 71.3 °F 73 43 46.6°F 46 61 ↓ 44.0 °F 64 39 30.0°F 36 66   63 44   38 78   77 51   48
04-16-19 76 78.9 °F 76 59 63.4°F 57 70 ↓ 71.3 °F 70 43 46.6°F 47 61 44.0 °F 57 40 30.0°F 39 68   63 44   41
04-15-19 76 78.7 °F 76 47 46.2°F 46 75 78.9 °F 73 57 63.4°F 56 72 71.3 °F 77 44 46.6°F 44 57 44.0 °F 46 41 30.0°F 30
04-14-19 56 61.2 °F 58 40 44.1°F 41 74 78.7 °F 75 48 46.2°F 46 76 78.9 °F 80 56 63.4°F 56 76 71.3 °F 83 44 46.6°F 51
04-13-19 54 54.9 °F 54 29 30.0°F 32 58 61.2 °F 58 41 44.1°F 42 73 78.7 °F 74 47 46.2°F 47 76 78.9 °F 76 53 63.4°F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   33.3 33.3   50.0 20.0   20.0 20.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 5.0   4.9 3.8   3.4 6.0   6.8 4.8   3.2 6.6   6.1 5.2   5.0 6.9   5.5 8.0   3.9
Net Error 0.7   1.7 -0.6   -0.1 0.8   1.2 -0.5   -0.7 2.3   3.8 0.2   -0.1 4.9   3.6 -0.7   -1.0
Std Dev 5.7   6.0 2.9   3.2 6.6   7.7 3.7   3.3 7.7   6.3 5.1   4.7 6.9   5.5 8.0   3.9

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-19 67   65 40   42 80   79 53   53 78   84 52   57 65   63 46   47
04-18-19 61 44.0 °F 62 39 30.0°F 38 66   61 42   39 79   76 51   50 71   76 47   50
04-17-19 68 ↓ 71.3 °F 72 43 46.6°F 46 61 ↓ 44.0 °F 63 39 30.0°F 37 66   63 44   39 78   77 51   49
04-16-19 76 78.9 °F 77 59 63.4°F 58 70 ↓ 71.3 °F 70 43 46.6°F 44 61 44.0 °F 53 40 30.0°F 38 68   63 44   40
04-15-19 76 44.0 °F 77 47 30.0°F 47 75 78.9 °F 73 57 63.4°F 56 72 71.3 °F 77 44 46.6°F 44 57 44.0 °F 46 41 30.0°F 30
04-14-19 56 44.0 °F 56 40 30.0°F 41 74 44.0 °F 74 48 30.0°F 45 76 78.9 °F 80 56 63.4°F 56 76 71.3 °F 82 44 46.6°F 51
04-13-19 54 54.9 °F 54 29 30.0°F 30 58 44.0 °F 58 41 30.0°F 42 73 44.0 °F 73 47 30.0°F 47 76 78.9 °F 76 53 63.4°F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1
% Succ 16.7   50.0 16.7   33.3 20.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 11.4   11.1 7.5   7.0 13.2   14.0 9.6   8.8 12.4   11.2 9.3   8.8 6.9   5.2 8.0   3.9
Net Error 9.0   10.2 4.5   5.0 11.2   11.2 5.6   4.8 11.0   11.2 4.3   3.8 4.9   3.3 -0.7   -1.0
Std Dev 11.0   11.9 5.5   5.9 10.9   11.4 6.8   6.3 11.0   9.8 8.0   7.6 6.9   5.2 8.0   3.9

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-19 67   67 40   43 80   80 53   54 78   84 52   58 65   63 46   49
04-18-19 61 44.0 °F 65 39 30.0°F 42 66   64 42   41 79   77 51   49 71   81 47   48
04-17-19 68 ↓ 71.3 °F 72 43 46.6°F 47 61 ↓ 44.0 °F 63 39 30.0°F 39 66   65 44   41 78   77 51   48
04-16-19 76 78.9 °F 78 59 63.4°F 58 70 ↓ 71.3 °F 73 43 46.6°F 46 61 44.0 °F 59 40 30.0°F 39 68   63 44   42
04-15-19 76 44.0 °F 78 47 30.0°F 48 75 78.9 °F 77 57 63.4°F 57 72 71.3 °F 78 44 46.6°F 48 57 44.0 °F 51 41 30.0°F 37
04-14-19 56 44.0 °F 57 40 30.0°F 42 74 44.0 °F 75 48 30.0°F 47 76 78.9 °F 79 56 63.4°F 58 76 71.3 °F 79 44 46.6°F 43
04-13-19 54 54.9 °F 54 29 30.0°F 32 58 44.0 °F 59 41 30.0°F 43 73 44.0 °F 76 47 30.0°F 45 76 78.9 °F 77 53 63.4°F 57
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 1 2 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   50.0 16.7   33.3 20.0   40.0     20.0 25.0   25.0     25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 11.4   11.8 7.5   8.3 13.2   13.7 9.6   9.2 12.4   13.5 9.3   7.7 6.9   5.5 8.0   5.7
Net Error 9.0   11.2 4.5   6.5 11.2   13.0 5.6   6.4 11.0   13.5 4.3   5.0 4.9   4.3 -0.7   -1.0
Std Dev 11.0   12.6 5.5   6.6 10.9   11.7 6.8   7.1 11.0   11.7 8.0   6.7 6.9   5.5 8.0   5.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-19 67 ↓   43 41   80 80   53 54   84 79   58 54   63 65   49 45   61
04-18-19 62 40.1°F 42 39 65.0 °F 64 68   41 42   77 79   49 52   81 76   48 50   49
04-17-19 68 ↓ 30.0°F 47 41 44.0 °F 63 60 40.1°F 39 38 65.0 °F 65 67   41 44   77 77   48 49   69
04-16-19 77 63.4°F 59 60 78.9 °F 73 74 ↓ 30.0°F 46 43 44.0 °F 59 61 40.1°F 39 39 65.0 °F 63 67   41 44   75
04-15-19 78 ↓ 46.2°F 50 48 78.7 °F 77 75 63.4°F 57 58 78.9 °F 77 71 30.0°F 48 44 44.0 °F 51 60 40.1°F 37 40 65.0 °F 66
04-14-19 57 30.0°F 42 42 44.0 °F 75 75 46.2°F 47 47 78.7 °F 78 76 63.4°F 58 56 78.9 °F 79 74 30.0°F 43 43 44.0 °F 45
04-13-19 54 ↓ 30.0°F 30 28 44.0 °F 58 57 30.0°F 43 41 44.0 °F 75 73 46.2°F 45 48 78.7 °F 76 76 63.4°F 57 54 78.9 °F 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 1 2 0 2 1 3 0 2 1 2 0 0 1 2
% Succ     33.3 16.7   33.3     40.0 20.0   60.0     50.0 25.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 26.1   6.5 16.1   12.1 26.3   7.5 16.7   9.7 25.3   6.4 19.9   3.0 25.5   7.5 17.0   2.0
Net Error 26.1   5.1 -16.1   9.2 26.3   4.5 -16.7   8.7 25.3   2.6 -19.9   0.6 25.5   1.2 -17.0   2.0
Std Dev 13.1   6.0 12.6   11.7 19.7   6.7 13.6   8.6 22.0   6.2 17.5   2.6 25.5   7.5 17.0   2.0

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-18-19 39   38 68   63 42   39 79   77 52   49 76   83 50   55 63   66
04-17-19 40 ↑ 30.0°F 44 60 44.0 °F 62 38   41 67   65 44   43 77   79 49   51 67   71
04-16-19 60 30.0°F 61 74 ↓ 44.0 °F 75 43 30.0°F 46 61 44.0 °F 54 39   36 67   64 44   39 78   75
04-15-19 48 46.2°F 52 75 78.7 °F 80 58 30.0°F 58 71 44.0 °F 77 44 30.0°F 49 60 44.0 °F 54 40   37 67   63
04-14-19 42 44.1°F 41 75 61.2 °F 76 47 46.2°F 47 76 78.7 °F 76 56 30.0°F 57 74 44.0 °F 80 43 30.0°F 46 55 44.0 °F 47
04-13-19 28 30.0°F 32 57 44.0 °F 59 41 44.1°F 42 73 61.2 °F 76 48 46.2°F 48 76 78.7 °F 79 54 30.0°F 56 72 44.0 °F 83
04-12-19 28 30.0°F 28 55 44.0 °F 52 30 30.0°F 28 57 44.0 °F 58 39 44.1°F 43 73 61.2 °F 72 47 46.2°F 45 74 78.7 °F 74
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 0 1 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3     16.7 40.0   40.0     0.0 25.0   50.0     25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 8.0   9.7 14.6   14.7 9.0   9.8 14.3   14.9 11.7   12.2 15.1   14.3 12.6   14.4 14.6   15.6
Net Error 6.0   8.0 13.4   14.7 7.7   8.1 13.2   13.8 9.2   11.7 13.8   14.3 12.6   13.6 11.4   12.4
Std Dev 10.5   10.7 9.8   10.6 11.0   11.3 11.9   13.7 10.2   11.1 13.1   12.5 12.6   14.4 14.6   15.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-18-19 39   39 68   64 42   40 79   77 52   50 76   83 50   56 63   66
04-17-19 40 ↑ 46.5°F 44 60 71.3 °F 62 38   40 67   65 44   42 77   79 49   51 67   71
04-16-19 60 30.0°F 60 74 ↓ 44.0 °F 75 43 46.5°F 49 61 71.3 °F 56 39   39 67   64 44   40 78   74
04-15-19 48 68.7°F 52 75 78.7 °F 80 58 30.0°F 58 71 44.0 °F 77 44 46.5°F 47 60 71.3 °F 49 40   36 67   63
04-14-19 42 30.0°F 42 75 44.0 °F 76 47 68.7°F 48 76 78.7 °F 78 56 30.0°F 58 74 44.0 °F 80 43 46.5°F 46 55 71.3 °F 48
04-13-19 28 48.8°F 33 57 54.9 °F 60 41 30.0°F 43 73 44.0 °F 77 48 68.7°F 48 76 78.7 °F 81 54 30.0°F 56 72 44.0 °F 84
04-12-19 29 41.5°F 30 55 44.7 °F 54 30 48.8°F 29 57 54.9 °F 58 39 30.0°F 44 73 44.0 °F 72 47 68.7°F 45 74 78.7 °F 74
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ     0.0     16.7     0.0     20.0     25.0     0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 17.1   14.8 14.7   14.7 16.6   16.8 14.2   17.0 14.6   15.8 18.3   22.2 16.4   16.7 16.3   22.7
Net Error -3.1   -0.8 9.7   11.6 -1.0   0.6 9.0   10.6 3.0   5.5 11.3   11.0 -0.4   0.6 2.3   4.0
Std Dev 10.2   10.1 13.0   13.4 13.3   13.5 12.0   14.9 14.0   15.7 16.2   19.2 16.4   16.7 16.3   22.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.