Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 20-Apr-2018 05:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 43°
Saturday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 52°
Saturday
night
Overcast
Overcast
Low: 42°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 65°
Sunday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 44°
Monday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 68°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 45°
Tuesday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 55°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 40°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 20-Apr-2018 4:36pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 62 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
Cloudy then Chance Light Rain

Lo 42 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Hi 55 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Lo 41 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Slight Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy

Hi 62 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 43 °F
Monday

Monday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 67 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 45 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Hi 60 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 32   40 60   60 42   42 56   53 39   43 62   67 40   45 67   70
04-19-18 30 43.3°F 33 56 60.9 °F 60 32   35 60   60 41   44 56   58 39   45 64   67
04-18-18 36 36.3°F 35 46 49.5 °F 43 31 43.3°F 26 55 60.9 °F 54 32   32 57   55 41   39 56   51
04-17-18 29 38.8°F 33 54 59.0 °F 58 37 36.3°F 37 53 49.5 °F 46 32 43.3°F 29 57 60.9 °F 53 34   33 55   57
04-16-18 20 36.3°F 28 47 52.5 °F 61 29 38.8°F 33 62 59.0 °F 65 39 36.3°F 46 53 49.5 °F 55 33 43.3°F 35 57 60.9 °F 61
04-15-18 24 30.0°F 24 34 32.7 °F 33 21 36.3°F 19 50 52.5 °F 56 31 38.8°F 30 62 59.0 °F 58 38 36.3°F 37 52 49.5 °F 54
04-14-18 35 ↑ 24.7°F 42 40 ↓ 48.4 °F 45 24 30.0°F 38 36 32.7 °F 42 21 36.3°F 29 52 52.5 °F 60 35 38.8°F 39 67 59.0 °F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 1 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 2
% Succ 16.7   16.7 16.7   50.0 20.0   20.0     0.0     0.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   66.7     66.7
Ave Error 9.3   8.2 4.8   3.4 8.8   9.8 3.6   5.8 9.3   10.0 2.7   5.5 5.3   3.1 4.8   2.2
Net Error -5.9   -2.4 -4.3   -0.5 -8.5   -6.3 0.3   1.7 -7.9   -5.2 0.5   1.0 -4.1   -2.5 2.2   2.2
Std Dev 6.4   4.6 2.5   3.4 6.8   8.3 2.5   3.9 8.1   8.9 2.4   4.9 5.3   3.1 4.8   2.2

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-18 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 35   61 62 ↓   46 42 ↑   55 55   44 40   66 61   45 40   69 66   46
04-19-18 30 60.9 °F 61 57 38.9°F 37 32   58 61   41 42   56 58   44 38   67 63   40
04-18-18 36 49.5 °F 43 44 31.6°F 27 29 60.9 °F 55 54 38.9°F 32 32   56 59   39 41   51 56   39
04-17-18 30 59.0 °F 59 54 35.2°F 36 36 49.5 °F 46 49 31.6°F 30 31 60.9 °F 53 55 38.9°F 33 33   57 57   40
04-16-18 23 52.5 °F 62 49 32.1°F 34 28 59.0 °F 66 56 35.2°F 46 36 49.5 °F 55 52 31.6°F 35 32 60.9 °F 61 56 38.9°F 38
04-15-18 24 32.7 °F 35 34 29.7°F 22 19 ↑ 52.5 °F 57 50 32.1°F 32 29 59.0 °F 58 60 35.2°F 37 37 49.5 °F 54 51 31.6°F 37
04-14-18 35 ↑ 48.4 °F 42 36 ↓ 23.5°F 29 24 32.7 °F 44 35 29.7°F 30 21 52.5 °F 60 49 32.1°F 39 32 59.0 °F 61 64 35.2°F 37
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 2
% Succ     33.3     50.0     0.0     60.0     25.0     25.0     66.7     66.7
Ave Error 20.8   4.1 13.8   3.7 23.7   6.4 15.3   3.9 26.2   5.5 19.6   4.5 22.8   2.2 21.8   2.7
Net Error -20.8   -0.2 13.8   -1.0 -23.7   2.7 15.3   0.5 -26.2   1.0 19.6   1.6 -22.8   2.2 21.8   2.1
Std Dev 12.1   3.8 7.5   2.8 16.4   4.3 10.0   4.3 22.8   4.9 17.0   4.0 22.8   2.2 21.8   2.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-18 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 62 ↓   59 42 ↑   45 55   57 40   46 61   65 40   46 66   67 44   46
04-19-18 57 60.9 °F 56 32 37.9°F 33 61   53 42   39 58   52 38   38 63   65 41   38
04-18-18 44 49.5 °F 41 29 29.3°F 26 54 60.9 °F 55 32 37.9°F 32 59   54 41   38 56   49 38   41
04-17-18 54 59.0 °F 56 36 34.3°F 36 49 49.5 °F 45 31 29.3°F 31 55 60.9 °F 53 33 37.9°F 33 57   55 40   38
04-16-18 49 52.5 °F 54 28 31.1°F 27 56 59.0 °F 60 36 34.3°F 38 52 49.5 °F 48 32 29.3°F 31 56 60.9 °F 59 35 37.9°F 37
04-15-18 34 32.7 °F 33 19 ↑ 28.0°F 21 50 52.5 °F 58 29 31.1°F 28 60 59.0 °F 60 37 34.3°F 38 51 49.5 °F 54 33 29.3°F 37
04-14-18 >35 48.4 °F 39 <25 23.2°F 21 35 32.7 °F 30 <25 28.0°F 22 >45 52.5 °F 58 <35 31.1°F 30 65 59.0 °F 60 >35 34.3°F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 0 2 1 2 0 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 33.3   16.7 20.0   20.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   50.0     50.0 33.3   66.7     33.3
Ave Error 11.3   4.6 7.2   3.9 3.0   3.9 7.9   4.1 15.5   4.0 10.4   2.9 4.1   2.5 13.6   4.4
Net Error -10.8   -4.0 -6.6   -3.3 -2.1   -1.3 -6.5   -1.9 -13.7   -0.7 -7.7   -0.1 0.9   1.2 -11.2   3.8
Std Dev 8.3   3.3 5.0   2.3 2.8   3.0 6.4   2.9 14.2   4.0 9.4   2.7 4.1   2.5 13.6   4.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-18 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 62 ↓   61 42 ↑   42 55   51 40   41 61   65 40   45 66   66 44   46
04-19-18 58 ↓ 60.9 °F 56 32 37.9°F 33 61   53 42   39 58   52 38   38 63   65 41   38
04-18-18 44 49.5 °F 41 29 29.3°F 27 54 60.9 °F 55 32 37.9°F 33 59   55 41   39 56   49 38   41
04-17-18 58 59.0 °F 55 36 34.2°F 36 49 49.5 °F 46 31 29.3°F 31 55 60.9 °F 53 33 37.9°F 33 57   56 40   38
04-16-18 49 52.5 °F 52 28 31.1°F 25 56 59.0 °F 59 36 34.2°F 38 52 49.5 °F 48 32 29.3°F 31 56 60.9 °F 59 35 37.9°F 37
04-15-18 34 32.7 °F 36 19 ↑ 28.0°F 24 50 52.5 °F 59 29 31.1°F 29 60 59.0 °F 62 37 34.2°F 38 51 49.5 °F 54 33 29.3°F 37
04-14-18 37 ↓ 48.4 °F 40 24 23.2°F 27 35 32.7 °F 34 21 28.0°F 22 49 52.5 °F 58 32 31.1°F 29 64 59.0 °F 60 38 34.2°F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7 50.0   16.7 20.0   40.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   66.7     33.3
Ave Error 4.3   4.9 3.5   3.8 3.0   3.4 3.7   3.7 3.2   4.5 2.8   3.1 3.8   2.5 3.5   4.5
Net Error -3.8   -3.8 -2.6   -2.0 -2.1   -0.3 -2.3   -1.5 -1.5   -0.2 0.4   -0.4 0.5   1.2 1.5   3.9
Std Dev 2.6   3.2 3.2   2.1 2.8   2.9 2.8   2.6 3.1   4.2 2.7   2.8 3.8   2.5 3.5   4.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-18 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 62 ↓   62 42 ↑   43 55   53 40   42 61   65 40   44 66   68 44   45
04-19-18 58 60.9 °F 60 32 37.9°F 37 61   57 42   41 58   51 38   40 63   65 41   38
04-18-18 45 49.5 °F 45 29 29.3°F 32 54 60.9 °F 58 32 37.9°F 35 59   56 41   40 56   49 38   39
04-17-18 58 59.0 °F 54 36 34.2°F 35 49 49.5 °F 43 31 29.3°F 30 55 60.9 °F 53 33 37.9°F 31 57   49 40   37
04-16-18 49 52.5 °F 50 28 31.1°F 29 56 59.0 °F 56 36 34.2°F 40 52 49.5 °F 51 32 29.3°F 34 56 60.9 °F 59 35 37.9°F 36
04-15-18 34 32.7 °F 36 19 ↑ 28.0°F 26 50 52.5 °F 60 29 31.1°F 30 60 59.0 °F 64 37 34.2°F 44 51 49.5 °F 55 33 29.3°F 35
04-14-18 37 ↓ 48.4 °F 36 24 23.2°F 27 35 32.7 °F 34 21 28.0°F 21 49 52.5 °F 59 32 31.1°F 28 64 59.0 °F 57 38 34.2°F 34
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 3 3 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 2
% Succ 33.3   16.7 50.0   50.0 20.0   20.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   66.7     66.7
Ave Error 4.1   4.8 3.5   2.1 3.0   4.2 3.7   3.5 3.2   5.2 2.8   6.1 3.8   3.1 3.5   2.6
Net Error -3.7   -3.7 -2.6   0.4 -2.1   -0.7 -2.3   -0.9 -1.5   1.3 0.4   1.1 0.5   0.5 1.5   1.2
Std Dev 2.5   2.7 3.2   1.1 2.8   3.0 2.8   2.8 3.1   4.7 2.7   5.3 3.8   3.1 3.5   2.6

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-18 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 62 ↓   43 42   52 55   42 41   65 62   44 43   68 67   45 45   55
04-19-18 58 37.9°F 42 32 60.9 °F 61 60   47 42   55 56   42 39   65 62   39 40   69
04-18-18 44 29.3°F 29 31 49.5 °F 57 56 37.9°F 34 32 60.9 °F 55 60   39 41   48 56   39 39   63
04-17-18 58 34.2°F 36 38 59.0 °F 42 46 29.3°F 29 31 49.5 °F 53 55 37.9°F 31 32 60.9 °F 49 57   36 41   48
04-16-18 49 ↓ 31.1°F 33 29 52.5 °F 57 54 34.2°F 41 37 59.0 °F 52 53 29.3°F 34 32 49.5 °F 59 57 37.9°F 36 34 60.9 °F 53
04-15-18 33 28.0°F 26 20 32.7 °F 60 47 31.1°F 30 29 52.5 °F 64 62 34.2°F 44 39 59.0 °F 55 53 29.3°F 35 33 49.5 °F 61
04-14-18 37 ↓ 23.2°F 31 25 48.4 °F 37 34 28.0°F 24 21 32.7 °F 59 50 31.1°F 29 31 52.5 °F 57 62 34.2°F 34 38 59.0 °F 55
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 4 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
% Succ     66.7     16.7     40.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     66.7     0.0
Ave Error 15.9   3.0 21.3   11.3 15.3   3.2 20.9   10.8 21.9   5.9 22.0   7.5 23.5   2.6 21.5   7.8
Net Error 15.9   2.2 -21.3   1.8 15.3   -0.5 -20.9   5.7 21.9   1.4 -22.0   -0.5 23.5   1.2 -21.5   -0.1
Std Dev 8.7   1.9 10.0   10.0 10.0   2.9 13.8   8.1 19.1   5.1 19.3   6.8 23.5   2.6 21.5   7.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-18 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-18 32   43 60   62 42   43 56   51 39   40 62   64 40   38 67   69
04-18-18 31 29.3°F 32 56 49.5 °F 58 32   35 60   54 41   39 56   49 39   41 64   64
04-17-18 38 34.2°F 38 46 59.0 °F 44 31 29.3°F 29 55 49.5 °F 53 32   33 57   54 41   38 56   48
04-16-18 29 31.1°F 35 54 52.5 °F 63 37 34.2°F 42 53 59.0 °F 52 32 29.3°F 33 57 49.5 °F 57 34   37 55   55
04-15-18 20 28.0°F 25 47 32.7 °F 58 29 31.1°F 29 62 52.5 °F 63 39 34.2°F 49 53 59.0 °F 59 33 29.3°F 41 57 49.5 °F 62
04-14-18 25 23.2°F 27 34 48.4 °F 37 21 28.0°F 24 50 32.7 °F 58 31 31.1°F 29 62 52.5 °F 58 38 34.2°F 39 52 59.0 °F 51
04-13-18 39 ↑ 36.9°F 40 40 ↓ 80.5 °F 42 24 23.2°F 37 36 48.4 °F 45 21 28.0°F 30 52 32.7 °F 57 35 31.1°F 36 67 52.5 °F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 16.7   0.0 40.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 3.3   3.4 15.0   18.2 2.9   5.6 10.1   9.9 3.7   5.7 10.6   9.3 3.8   7.1 9.7   8.0
Net Error -0.1   2.4 -7.6   -3.4 -0.8   3.0 2.8   5.8 0.1   4.6 7.6   9.3 3.8   7.1 5.0   2.7
Std Dev 2.6   1.5 9.0   9.9 1.9   4.6 7.0   7.0 3.2   5.0 9.3   8.1 3.8   7.1 9.7   8.0

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-18 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-18 32   40 60   61 42   44 56   54 39   42 62   65 40   39 67   69
04-18-18 31 45.6°F 35 56 49.5 °F 59 32   36 60   57 41   40 56   51 39   42 64   64
04-17-18 38 40.2°F 39 46 59.0 °F 45 31 45.6°F 31 55 49.5 °F 54 32   34 57   55 41   38 56   48
04-16-18 29 50.1°F 33 54 52.5 °F 56 37 40.2°F 37 53 59.0 °F 52 32 45.6°F 31 57 49.5 °F 57 34   37 55   55
04-15-18 20 40.6°F 27 47 32.7 °F 60 29 50.1°F 33 62 52.5 °F 65 39 40.2°F 43 53 59.0 °F 52 33 45.6°F 34 57 49.5 °F 60
04-14-18 24 30.0°F 26 34 48.4 °F 34 21 40.6°F 20 50 32.7 °F 57 31 50.1°F 29 62 52.5 °F 58 38 40.2°F 38 52 59.0 °F 51
04-13-18 39 ↑ 26.1°F 37 40 ↓ 80.5 °F 40 24 30.0°F 21 36 48.4 °F 31 21 40.6°F 23 52 32.7 °F 54 35 50.1°F 34 67 52.5 °F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7 16.7   0.0     0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 12.9   9.6 15.0   18.2 12.9   12.9 10.1   13.1 13.4   14.0 10.6   10.3 10.0   10.0 9.7   8.0
Net Error -8.6   -5.9 -7.6   -4.8 -12.9   -12.9 2.8   3.4 -13.4   -12.6 7.6   6.8 -10.0   -10.0 5.0   2.7
Std Dev 8.7   6.7 9.0   11.1 10.0   9.5 7.0   9.6 11.6   12.1 9.3   9.1 10.0   10.0 9.7   8.0

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.