SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 17-Aug-2019 12:14 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

115°F at El Centro Naf, CA
115°F at Needles Airport, CA
115°F at Imperial/Co, CA

Low Temp

32°F at West Yellowstone, MT

Precipitation

4.72in at Beaufort/Smith Field, NC

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Friday,
August 16, 2019

High Temp

87°F at Valentine/Miller Fld, NE

Low Temp

50°F at Alliance/Muni, NE

Precipitation

1.24in at Alliance/Muni, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 17-Aug-2019 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Clear

Clear
High: 89°

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Low: 70°

Sunday

Partly Cloudy
High: 81°

Sunday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 60°

Monday

Sunny
High: 87°

Monday
night

Mostly Clear
Low: 69°

Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 95°

Tuesday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 71°

Wednesday

Fog a.m.
High: 80°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 17-Aug-2019 11:30am CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 88 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 66 °F ↑

Sunday

Sunday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Sunny

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Partly Sunny

Hi 86 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 67 °F

Monday

Monday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 90 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 73 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Mostly Sunny

Hi 95 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 68 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 82 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-19 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-17-19	65		69	88		89	69 ↑		71	87		83	69		62	93		87	74		72	94		96
08-16-19	63 ↑	71.7°F	64	85	84.8 °F	86	65		68	88		86	70		68	90		86	72		67	94		92
08-15-19	63	65.6°F	60	80	75.2 °F	75	65	71.7°F	63	85	84.8 °F	81	68		66	89		85	71		70	89		89
08-14-19	61 ↑	62.3°F	68	80	84.7 °F	85	63	65.6°F	64	83	75.2 °F	76	67	71.7°F	66	86	84.8 °F	83	67		68	87		85
08-13-19	65 ↑	69.9°F	70	86	95.8 °F	88	62 ↑	62.3°F	65	81	84.7 °F	83	62	65.6°F	63	82	75.2 °F	81	66	71.7°F	64	86	84.8 °F	85
08-12-19	73	74.1°F	71	86	94.0 °F	87	69	69.9°F	68	87	95.8 °F	87	63	62.3°F	66	81	84.7 °F	83	63	65.6°F	64	84	75.2 °F	83
08-11-19	73 ↑	74.9°F	73	85	88.1 °F	93	73	74.1°F	72	90	94.0 °F	87	68	69.9°F	69	85	95.8 °F	86	62	62.3°F	68	83	84.7 °F	88
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	1		3	3		2	1		2	2		1	1		2	1		1	2		1
% Succ	50.0		33.3	16.7		50.0	60.0		40.0	20.0		40.0	50.0		25.0	25.0		50.0	33.3		33.3	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	3.4		4.0	5.1		3.6	2.3		3.4	4.9		4.4	2.7		3.2	5.6		4.8	2.9		5.0	3.9		3.8
Net Error	-3.4		-2.1	-3.4		-1.4	-2.3		-2.3	-1.7		-4.1	-2.4		-1.4	-1.6		-1.9	-2.9		-1.2	2.8		3.8
Std Dev	3.0		2.9	3.7		3.4	2.6		3.3	4.0		3.5	2.6		3.1	5.4		4.4	2.9		5.0	3.9		3.8

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-17-19	65 ↑		89	88		70	66 ↑		83	86		62	67		87	90		71	73		95	95		71
08-16-19	63	100.5 °F	84	82	76.1°F	67	65		86	86		67	68		86	88		66	71		92	94		75
08-15-19	62	100.5 °F	76	81	76.1°F	63	64	100.5 °F	82	86	76.1°F	66	66		86	88		70	69		89	90		72
08-14-19	61 ↑	84.7 °F	84	84	61.2°F	63	64	100.5 °F	76	82	76.1°F	65	66	100.5 °F	81	85	76.1°F	67	68		87	88		69
08-13-19	65 ↑	95.8 °F	88	84	64.4°F	65	62 ↑	84.7 °F	83	79	61.2°F	63	63	100.5 °F	82	83	76.1°F	64	66	100.5 °F	85	82	76.1°F	68
08-12-19	73	94.0 °F	87	84	72.4°F	67	66 ↑	95.8 °F	87	85	64.4°F	66	63	84.7 °F	84	81	61.2°F	63	63	100.5 °F	83	84	76.1°F	65
08-11-19	73 ↑	88.1 °F	91	83	69.1°F	74	73	94.0 °F	87	87	72.4°F	68	69	95.8 °F	86	86	64.4°F	66	62	84.7 °F	85	83	61.2°F	68
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		0
% Succ			16.7			33.3			20.0			40.0			25.0			50.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	27.8		9.9	13.1		5.8	29.3		12.1	13.8		5.8	30.1		12.1	14.3		6.2	31.6		11.1	11.9		8.7
Net Error	-27.8		-8.9	13.1		-3.4	-29.3		-12.1	13.8		-4.4	-30.1		-12.1	14.3		-4.5	-31.6		-10.9	11.9		-4.1
Std Dev	13.2		8.7	8.5		4.9	19.3		10.9	9.7		5.1	26.2		11.1	12.7		5.5	31.6		11.1	11.9		8.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-17-19	88		87	66 ↑		68	86		81	67		60	90		87	73		67	95		97	68		70
08-16-19	82	84.8 °F	81	65	67.8°F	64	86		87	68		69	88		85	71		66	94		88	74		72
08-15-19	81	100.5 °F	76	64	76.1°F	63	86	84.8 °F	82	66	67.8°F	66	88		86	69		70	90		89	72		72
08-14-19	84	100.5 °F	81	64	76.1°F	60	82	100.5 °F	74	66	76.1°F	64	85	84.8 °F	84	68	67.8°F	67	88		86	69		67
08-13-19	84	100.5 °F	88	62 ↑	76.1°F	66	79	100.5 °F	84	63	76.1°F	64	83	100.5 °F	77	66	76.1°F	64	82	84.8 °F	84	67	67.8°F	69
08-12-19	84	100.5 °F	88	66 ↑	76.1°F	66	85	100.5 °F	86	63	76.1°F	67	81	100.5 °F	86	63	76.1°F	63	84	100.5 °F	83	68	76.1°F	66
08-11-19	83	100.5 °F	84	73	76.1°F	72	87	100.5 °F	89	69	76.1°F	70	86	100.5 °F	86	62	76.1°F	66	83	100.5 °F	82	64	76.1°F	64
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	0		0	1		0	1		1	1		1	1		1	0		1	1		1
% Succ			0.0			0.0	20.0		0.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0			33.3	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	14.9		14.9	9.1		9.6	14.0		14.4	9.0		8.2	12.9		13.3	9.4		9.0	12.3		12.3	7.0		7.8
Net Error	-14.9		-14.9	-9.1		-9.6	-13.6		-14.4	-9.0		-8.2	-12.8		-13.3	-9.3		-9.0	-12.3		-12.3	-7.0		-7.0
Std Dev	8.1		8.8	5.3		5.5	11.3		11.8	6.8		6.4	12.9		13.1	9.3		8.8	12.3		12.3	7.0		7.8

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-17-19	88		89	66 ↑		70	86		81	67		60	90		87	73		69	95		95	68		71
08-16-19	82	84.8 °F	82	65	67.8°F	65	86		88	68		70	88		85	71		66	94		88	74		73
08-14-19	84	75.2 °F	79	64	65.7°F	59	82	84.8 °F	75	66	67.8°F	65	85		84	68		67	88		85	69		67
08-13-19	87	95.8 °F	89	62 ↑	62.4°F	67	79	75.2 °F	82	63	65.7°F	64	83	84.8 °F	76	66	67.8°F	65	82		83	67		69
08-12-19	84	100.5 °F	89	66 ↑	76.1°F	67	85	95.8 °F	86	63	62.4°F	67	81	75.2 °F	85	63	65.7°F	64	84	84.8 °F	82	68	67.8°F	67
08-11-19	83	100.5 °F	87	73	76.1°F	72	87	100.5 °F	89	69	76.1°F	69	86	95.8 °F	86	62	62.4°F	66	83	75.2 °F	83	64	65.7°F	64
08-10-19	93	91.0 °F	93	70 ↑	71.1°F	74	87	100.5 °F	85	73	76.1°F	71	89	100.5 °F	88	68	76.1°F	69	86	95.8 °F	81	63	62.4°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	3		0	0		0	2		1	1		0	2		1	1		0	3		3
% Succ	16.7		16.7	50.0		0.0			0.0	40.0		20.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	100.0		100.0
Ave Error	9.4		6.7	3.2		5.0	8.9		10.7	3.1		4.3	7.2		10.2	3.3		3.8	6.1		8.5	0.8		1.0
Net Error	-5.8		-4.8	-3.2		-2.5	-7.4		-8.0	-2.8		-2.4	-4.3		-5.3	-3.3		-2.0	-0.9		-3.3	-0.3		-0.6
Std Dev	6.4		4.8	3.4		2.9	6.7		7.0	2.3		3.0	6.8		8.9	2.9		3.3	6.1		8.5	0.8		1.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-16-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-16-19	84		83	65		66	88		87	69		71	87		85	69		65	93		88	74		75
08-15-19	76	75.2 °F	71	64	65.7°F	62	86		83	66		67	88		86	69		70	90		85	72		67
08-14-19	84	84.7 °F	84	64	60.3°F	63	82	75.2 °F	72	66	65.7°F	65	85		83	68		69	88		87	69		69
08-13-19	87	95.8 °F	93	62 ↑	62.4°F	68	79	84.7 °F	83	63	60.3°F	63	83	75.2 °F	80	66	65.7°F	65	82		84	67		68
08-12-19	84	94.0 °F	95	66 ↑	71.4°F	72	85	95.8 °F	88	63	62.4°F	69	81	84.7 °F	84	63	60.3°F	65	84	75.2 °F	84	68	65.7°F	66
08-11-19	83	88.1 °F	90	73	68.7°F	74	87	94.0 °F	87	69	71.4°F	69	86	95.8 °F	85	62	62.4°F	67	83	84.7 °F	83	64	60.3°F	63
08-10-19	93	100.5 °F	91	70 ↑	76.1°F	73	87	88.1 °F	81	73	68.7°F	70	89	94.0 °F	86	68	71.4°F	69	86	95.8 °F	81	63	62.4°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	2		1	1		1	2		2	0		1	2		1	1		1	1		2
% Succ	33.3		50.0	33.3		16.7	20.0		20.0	40.0		40.0			25.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	5.5		3.4	3.6		3.5	6.3		5.4	2.1		2.7	6.6		6.1	1.7		3.1	6.8		8.4	2.2		1.2
Net Error	-5.2		-2.4	-0.9		1.2	-3.6		-5.4	1.1		1.5	-2.7		-3.7	-0.2		1.6	-0.9		-2.6	2.2		1.2
Std Dev	4.2		2.1	2.3		2.2	4.5		4.0	1.7		2.6	5.7		5.3	1.6		2.9	6.8		8.4	2.2		1.2

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-16-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-16-19	84		69	65		88	88		72	69		86	87		66	69		88	93		76	74		96
08-15-19	75 ↓	76.1°F	63	63 ↑	100.5 °F	84	85		67	65		86	88		70	70		86	90		67	72		90
08-14-19	84	60.3°F	62	63	84.7 °F	72	80	76.1°F	65	65	100.5 °F	83	85		69	68		87	89		69	71		88
08-13-19	88 ↓	62.4°F	70	61 ↑	95.8 °F	83	80	60.3°F	64	63	84.7 °F	81	83	76.1°F	65	67	100.5 °F	84	86		68	67		86
08-12-19	90	71.4°F	70	65 ↑	94.0 °F	85	86	62.4°F	67	62	95.8 °F	84	81	60.3°F	65	62	84.7 °F	84	82	76.1°F	66	66	100.5 °F	86
08-11-19	83	68.7°F	73	73	88.1 °F	85	86 ↓	71.4°F	69	69	94.0 °F	85	87	62.4°F	67	63	95.8 °F	83	81	60.3°F	63	63	84.7 °F	79
08-10-19	93	76.1°F	74	71 ↑	100.5 °F	85	85	68.7°F	71	73	88.1 °F	82	90	71.4°F	68	68	94.0 °F	83	85	62.4°F	63	62	95.8 °F	82
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		1	0		1	0		0
% Succ	16.7		33.3			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			25.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	16.7		5.0	27.9		11.6	15.6		4.8	26.2		9.6	17.7		6.0	28.8		10.3	16.4		4.5	30.0		11.3
Net Error	16.3		-0.5	-27.9		-11.6	15.6		-0.6	-26.2		-9.6	17.7		-1.3	-28.8		-10.3	16.4		-2.3	-30.0		-11.3
Std Dev	10.5		4.5	13.7		6.3	11.9		4.2	17.5		7.6	16.3		5.8	25.0		9.4	16.4		4.5	30.0		11.3

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-16-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-16-19	65		68	88		89	69 ↑		69	87		84	69		63	93		88	74		72	94		95
08-15-19	63 ↑	76.1°F	64	85	100.5 °F	84	65		67	88		88	70		71	90		87	72		67	94		91
08-14-19	63	60.3°F	62	80	84.7 °F	73	65	76.1°F	65	85	100.5 °F	83	68		68	89		87	71		69	89		85
08-13-19	61 ↑	76.1°F	67	80	100.5 °F	83	63	60.3°F	63	83	84.7 °F	76	67	76.1°F	66	86	100.5 °F	83	67		68	87		85
08-12-19	65 ↑	76.1°F	71	86	100.5 °F	88	62 ↑	76.1°F	68	81	100.5 °F	83	62	60.3°F	63	82	84.7 °F	84	66	76.1°F	65	86	100.5 °F	86
08-11-19	73	68.7°F	71	86	88.1 °F	84	69	76.1°F	68	87	100.5 °F	86	63	76.1°F	68	81	100.5 °F	84	63	60.3°F	64	84	84.7 °F	83
08-10-19	73 ↑	71.1°F	75	85	91.0 °F	88	73	68.7°F	72	90	88.1 °F	77	68	76.1°F	68	85	100.5 °F	84	62	76.1°F	63	83	100.5 °F	80
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	0		0	0		0	2		0	1		0	0		1	0		0	1		1
% Succ	16.7		16.7			0.0			0.0	40.0		0.0	25.0		0.0			25.0			0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	8.0		5.7	10.6		10.9	7.9		6.7	10.4		13.9	8.0		7.3	13.1		12.8	9.0		9.3	10.9		12.2
Net Error	-5.1		-3.1	-10.6		-10.9	-5.1		-4.3	-9.7		-13.9	-7.2		-5.9	-13.1		-12.8	-7.2		-6.8	-10.9		-12.2
Std Dev	5.7		4.3	7.7		6.4	6.3		5.0	9.0		9.4	7.0		6.4	11.3		11.3	9.0		9.3	10.9		12.2

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-16-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-16-19	65		68	88		89	69 ↑		69	87		83	69		62	93		88	74		72	94		95
08-15-19	63 ↑	73.3°F	64	85	75.2 °F	85	65		67	88		87	70		70	90		87	72		66	94		91
08-14-19	63	76.1°F	62	80	100.5 °F	73	65	73.3°F	64	85	75.2 °F	82	68		67	89		87	71		68	89		85
08-13-19	61 ↑	66.9°F	68	80	95.8 °F	85	63	76.1°F	64	83	100.5 °F	76	67	73.3°F	66	86	75.2 °F	83	67		68	87		85
08-12-19	65 ↑	75.4°F	70	86	94.0 °F	88	62 ↑	66.9°F	68	81	95.8 °F	84	62	76.1°F	62	82	100.5 °F	83	66	73.3°F	65	86	75.2 °F	85
08-11-19	73	76.5°F	71	86	88.1 °F	88	69	75.4°F	69	87	94.0 °F	86	63	66.9°F	69	81	95.8 °F	84	63	76.1°F	64	84	100.5 °F	84
08-10-19	73 ↑	75.6°F	78	85	91.0 °F	84	73	76.5°F	75	90	88.1 °F	90	68	75.4°F	73	85	94.0 °F	85	62	66.9°F	67	83	95.8 °F	84
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	0		1	0		2	1		1	0		0	0		0	0		1	0		0
% Succ			16.7			16.7			40.0	20.0		20.0			0.0			0.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	7.6		6.3	10.4		10.2	7.2		6.1	10.2		10.6	7.9		6.5	13.3		11.5	8.4		6.8	13.4		12.7
Net Error	-7.6		-5.1	-7.1		-6.9	-7.2		-5.6	-5.5		-7.1	-7.9		-5.4	-7.9		-7.6	-8.4		-6.8	-6.2		-6.2
Std Dev	4.5		4.8	7.2		9.3	5.4		5.4	7.5		9.3	6.9		5.6	11.6		10.2	8.4		6.8	13.4		12.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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