Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 19-Jan-2022 11:00 pm

Rest of
tonight
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 0°
Thursday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 25°
Thursday
night
Clear
Cold!
Clear
Cold!
Low: 7°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 34°
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 21°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 41°
Saturday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 24°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 49°
Sunday
night
Clear
Cold!
Clear
Cold!
Low: 28°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 20-Jan-2022 12:35am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Clear
Clear

Lo 0 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 17 °F ↓
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 5 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 31 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 22 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 35 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 20 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 42 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 26 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-19-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-19-22 13   19 18   25 0   4 18   24 4   7 30   32 20   16 35   33
01-18-22 28 ↑ 23.5°F 29 59 ↓ 61.9 °F 61 13 ↑   23 20   27 2   5 19   27 5   12 31   33
01-17-22 22 ↑ 35.1°F 23 51 ↓ 51.5 °F 52 27 ↑ 23.5°F 29 56 61.9 °F 60 12   22 21   27 1   3 18   24
01-16-22 9 ↑ 29.3°F 9 46 ↓ 50.0 °F 45 21 ↑ 35.1°F 24 47 51.5 °F 50 27 23.5°F 27 53 61.9 °F 57 14   15 23   25
01-15-22 13 8.9°F 12 25 21.5 °F 24 11 29.3°F 11 45 50.0 °F 47 <25 35.1°F 23 45 51.5 °F 51 >25 23.5°F 25 <55 61.9 °F 57
01-14-22 <35 17.1°F 37 <45 42.5 °F 50 15 8.9°F 19 <25 21.5 °F 26 8 29.3°F 15 40 50.0 °F 44 <25 35.1°F 22 <45 51.5 °F 49
01-12-22 >25 34.9°F 27 55 58.4 °F 58 30 17.1°F 34 >45 42.5 °F 55 >25 8.9°F 34 >35 21.5 °F 45 16 29.3°F 21 25 50.0 °F 23
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   50.0     0.0     40.0     0.0     25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 15.7   11.5 9.5   2.8 11.0   12.4 15.9   4.7 17.2   13.8 11.7   8.7 24.0   7.6 46.1   11.5
Net Error -12.8   -2.0 -8.3   0.7 -2.0   0.6 -15.9   2.1 -15.5   0.6 -11.7   3.0 -24.0   -6.6 -46.1   -11.5
Std Dev 9.4   8.0 15.1   2.7 8.5   8.8 13.1   3.6 16.4   13.0 10.3   7.8 24.0   7.6 46.1   11.5

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 64 ↑   80 80   63 67   81 87   72 70   86 87   72 72   89 89   70
09-07-19 60 78.7 °F 82 82 64.7°F 63 63   80 79   63 65   85 86   71 70   88 87   72
09-06-19 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 91 84 64.9°F 64 62 ↑ 78.7 °F 84 84 64.7°F 65 63   75 80   61 66   85 87   70
09-05-19 65 ↑ 96.4 °F 95 94 ↓ 69.5°F 66 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 87 85 64.9°F 62 62 78.7 °F 84 82 64.7°F 64 64   77 80   64
09-04-19 55 ↑ 81.3 °F 84 81 65.5°F 60 65 96.4 °F 93 93 69.5°F 64 66 85.5 °F 86 87 64.9°F 60 63 78.7 °F 79 83 64.7°F 63
09-03-19 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 92 87 ↓ 55.9°F 62 56 ↑ 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 59 65 96.4 °F 93 92 69.5°F 65 65 85.5 °F 86 86 64.9°F 60
09-02-19 66 90.0 °F 89 89 76.3°F 71 72 83.0 °F 89 88 55.9°F 59 57 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 62 65 96.4 °F 94 89 69.5°F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1
% Succ     33.3     33.3     20.0     20.0     25.0     25.0     66.7     33.3
Ave Error 22.2   3.8 20.0   3.8 21.0   4.0 22.1   3.7 23.0   3.2 19.4   3.4 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4
Net Error -22.2   3.0 20.0   -1.8 -21.0   2.6 22.1   -2.3 -23.0   1.5 19.4   -3.4 -22.5   -0.5 19.6   -4.4
Std Dev 10.9   2.9 9.8   2.4 14.2   2.8 14.1   2.9 20.1   3.0 16.8   3.2 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 80   80 67   64 87   82 70   72 87   92 72   72 89   89 71   72
09-07-19 82 78.7 °F 82 63 63.8°F 65 79   80 65   67 86   83 70   71 87   88 70   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 85.5 °F 94 65 ↑ 63.9°F 67 85 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 64 82   82 64   64 80   79 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 60 93 85.5 °F 94 66 63.9°F 65 87 78.7 °F 86 63 63.8°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 59 92 85.5 °F 93 65 63.9°F 63 86 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 59
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 88 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 89 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 85.5 °F 92 63 63.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 83 69 69.1°F 65 90 83.0 °F 88 74 55.9°F 74 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 5 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 4 2 0 0 2 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 83.3   16.7 20.0   0.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 100.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 4.2   3.6 3.2   5.6 4.8   5.5 4.6   5.7 5.1   4.9 0.7   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4
Net Error 1.8   2.9 2.6   2.4 3.5   4.7 3.7   3.1 2.4   3.9 -0.1   -0.4 1.5   5.8 -4.4   -3.4
Std Dev 3.0   2.9 5.8   5.3 3.9   4.0 3.9   4.9 4.7   4.4 0.6   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   81 63   65 79   78 65   64 86   82 70   70 87   86 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 84 62 ↑ 63.9°F 60 84   81 63   62 80   72 66   61 87   84 68   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 83.0 °F 96 65 ↑ 55.9°F 67 85 85.5 °F 87 62 63.9°F 65 82   82 64   64 80   78 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 83 65 65.5°F 63 93 83.0 °F 93 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 64 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 64 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 60
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 87 72 55.9°F 71 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 88 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 85 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 89 74 55.9°F 73 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 85 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 4 0 2 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 66.7   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.3   3.4 4.7   7.1 4.2   4.9 6.3   6.9 4.0   3.8 2.7   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2
Net Error 1.4   2.9 3.7   4.2 2.6   3.6 5.3   5.1 1.3   2.8 1.9   1.9 0.1   4.4 -1.8   -0.4
Std Dev 3.9   4.5 6.0   5.2 4.4   4.2 5.4   5.3 3.7   3.7 2.5   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   78 63   63 79   80 65   65 86   83 70   70 87   87 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 85 62 ↑ 63.9°F 62 84   81 63   63 80   71 66   62 87   81 68   70
09-05-19 94 83.0 °F 95 65 ↑ 55.9°F 69 85 85.5 °F 88 62 63.9°F 64 82   84 64   66 80   80 65   67
09-04-19 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 82 65 65.5°F 62 93 83.0 °F 94 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 63 83   81 62   64
09-03-19 87 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 56 ↑ 55.9°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 65 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 61
09-02-19 90 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 83.0 °F 88 57 55.9°F 60 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 64
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 82 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 86 74 55.9°F 71 86 83.0 °F 87 56 55.9°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 1 2 0 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   16.7 40.0   0.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.4   5.0 4.6   6.8 4.6   4.8 6.3   6.6 3.5   4.3 2.7   4.7 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8
Net Error 2.9   3.9 3.8   4.3 4.2   4.8 5.4   4.8 3.3   4.3 2.0   2.0 0.1   4.1 -1.8   0.6
Std Dev 4.0   4.5 6.0   6.0 4.6   4.4 5.4   5.3 3.1   4.2 2.5   4.4 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   64 64   78 79   65 66   81 87   69 70   86 88   72 72   88
09-06-19 84 ↓ 63.9°F 62 61 85.5 °F 81 81   63 62   71 78   62 65   81 87   70 68   85
09-05-19 94 55.9°F 71 65 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 85 63.9°F 65 62 85.5 °F 84 84   66 64   80 81   67 66   84
09-04-19 82 ↓ 65.5°F 62 65 81.3 °F 92 93 55.9°F 65 63 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 63 62 85.5 °F 81 83   64 64   76
09-03-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 60 55 ↑ 83.0 °F 84 80 65.5°F 61 63 81.3 °F 93 93 55.9°F 65 66 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 61 62 85.5 °F 74
09-02-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 72 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 86 ↓ 55.9°F 59 53 83.0 °F 84 81 65.5°F 61 64 81.3 °F 92 91 55.9°F 64 64 83.0 °F 87
09-01-19 82 69.1°F 68 67 84.8 °F 87 89 55.9°F 71 73 83.0 °F 87 87 55.9°F 60 57 83.0 °F 84 78 65.5°F 62 61 81.3 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     33.3     16.7     20.0     40.0     25.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 26.0   7.0 19.4   4.7 27.2   6.6 20.4   4.2 26.5   4.7 21.0   4.8 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4
Net Error 26.0   4.8 -19.4   3.2 27.2   4.8 -20.4   3.6 26.5   2.0 -21.0   2.6 23.2   0.6 -20.9   1.7
Std Dev 13.4   6.4 9.5   3.5 18.8   5.0 13.0   4.5 23.0   4.4 18.2   4.2 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   80 66   66 87   81 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 63.9°F 64 81 85.5 °F 79 62 ↑   63 78   76 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   89
09-05-19 65 ↑ 65.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 90 62 63.9°F 67 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 64 93 83.0 °F 92 63 ↑ 65.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 85 62 63.9°F 62 83 85.5 °F 81 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 56.3°F 61 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 61 93 83.0 °F 94 66 65.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 87 62 63.9°F 61 81 85.5 °F 78
09-02-19 71 ↑ 73.0°F 73 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 89 53 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 65.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 69.1°F 67 89 84.8 °F 87 73 ↑ 73.0°F 71 87 90.0 °F 86 57 56.3°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3     16.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.9   3.7 7.5   5.2 2.9   2.8 7.0   7.0 2.9   2.5 8.5   7.5 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6
Net Error 0.1   3.0 -2.8   -1.5 -0.0   2.0 -3.0   -2.6 2.0   1.0 -4.5   -2.5 0.7   0.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 3.1   3.4 4.3   3.2 2.7   2.4 5.5   5.7 2.6   2.1 7.9   6.7 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   83 66   68 87   83 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 67.2°F 62 81 85.5 °F 81 62 ↑   63 78   75 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   88
09-05-19 65 ↑ 67.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 88 62 67.2°F 65 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 93 63 ↑ 67.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 62 83 85.5 °F 82 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 68.7°F 60 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 95 66 67.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 61 81 85.5 °F 77
09-02-19 71 ↑ 69.4°F 74 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 53 ↑ 68.7°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 67.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 55.9°F 68 89 83.0 °F 88 73 ↑ 69.4°F 71 87 90.0 °F 87 57 68.7°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0     16.7     20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.3   6.9 7.8   5.7 7.1   4.1 7.0   6.8 6.5   5.0 8.5   7.5 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3
Net Error -0.0   2.3 -2.5   -0.7 -2.9   -1.1 -3.0   -2.0 -2.5   -3.5 -4.5   -2.5 -1.1   -1.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 5.1   3.3 4.4   3.9 4.8   3.0 5.5   5.7 5.7   4.4 7.9   6.8 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.