SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 23-Feb-2020 7:00 AM

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Lancaster Co.

Saunders Co.

Seward Co.

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

99°F at Terrel County Arpt Aso, TX

Low Temp

1°F at Clayton Lake, ME

Precipitation

1.55in at Oceana/Nas Soucek Fld, VA

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Wednesday,
March 25, 2020

High Temp

78°F at Beatrice Municipal, NE

Low Temp

26°F at Sidney/Muni, NE

Precipitation

0.03in at O'neill/Baker Field, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 28-Mar-2020 05:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 44°

Sunday

Sunny
High: 63°

Sunday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 36°

Monday

Partly Cloudy
High: 61°

Monday
night
Cloudy

Cloudy
Low: 46°

Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
High: 64°

Tuesday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 41°

Wednesday

Chance rain
High: 49°

Wednesday
night

Rain likely
Low: 40°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 28-Mar-2020 4:44pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Light Rain Likely

Light Rain Likely

Hi 57 °F ↓

Tonight

Tonight: Light Rain Likely then Mostly Cloudy

Light Rain Likely then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 38 °F ↑

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 62 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 37 °F

Monday

Monday: Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain

Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 63 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Light Rain Likely

Light Rain Likely

Lo 44 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Light Rain Likely

Light Rain Likely

Hi 62 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Light Rain

Chance Light Rain

Lo 43 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Light Rain then Partly Sunny

Chance Light Rain then Partly Sunny

Hi 58 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-28-20 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-28-20	45 ↑		44	59 ↓		58	38		37	61		55	38		35	66		56	43		45	61		59
03-27-20	44	31.0°F	45	54	58.8 °F	55	46		44	60		65	38		42	62		58	39		36	67		57
03-26-20	38	31.0°F	39	49	58.8 °F	51	39	31.0°F	42	51	58.8 °F	53	44		43	55		59	38		37	61		55
03-25-20	46	31.0°F	45	69	58.8 °F	71	37	31.0°F	43	52	58.8 °F	52	40	31.0°F	36	54	58.8 °F	50	38		42	53		52
03-24-20	42	31.0°F	41	57	58.8 °F	58	44	31.0°F	39	67	58.8 °F	65	37	31.0°F	34	52	58.8 °F	47	39	31.0°F	38	55	58.8 °F	51
03-23-20	37	31.0°F	37	55	58.8 °F	63	43 ↑	31.0°F	42	59	58.8 °F	58	42	31.0°F	42	63	58.8 °F	60	36	31.0°F	36	52	58.8 °F	46
03-22-20	32 ↑	31.0°F	36	46	58.8 °F	48	34 ↑	31.0°F	36	57	58.8 °F	61	43	31.0°F	40	60	58.8 °F	56	41	31.0°F	41	66	58.8 °F	66
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	1		1	0		0	2		1	0		0	1		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	16.7		16.7			0.0	40.0		20.0			0.0	25.0		25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	8.8		9.5	7.2		6.6	8.4		9.4	5.0		4.4	9.5		7.0	4.3		6.2	7.7		7.3	5.9		9.3
Net Error	8.8		9.5	-3.8		-1.1	8.4		9.4	-1.6		-1.0	9.5		7.0	-1.6		-5.6	7.7		7.3	-1.1		-4.5
Std Dev	5.0		4.9	4.4		4.5	5.8		6.1	3.8		3.1	8.2		6.1	3.7		5.5	7.7		7.3	5.9		9.3

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	64 ↑		80	80		63	67		81	87		72	70		86	87		72	72		89	89		70
09-07-19	60	78.7 °F	82	82	64.7°F	63	63		80	79		63	65		85	86		71	70		88	87		72
09-06-19	65 ↑	85.5 °F	91	84	64.9°F	64	62 ↑	78.7 °F	84	84	64.7°F	65	63		75	80		61	66		85	87		70
09-05-19	65 ↑	96.4 °F	95	94 ↓	69.5°F	66	65 ↑	85.5 °F	87	85	64.9°F	62	62	78.7 °F	84	82	64.7°F	64	64		77	80		64
09-04-19	55 ↑	81.3 °F	84	81	65.5°F	60	65	96.4 °F	93	93	69.5°F	64	66	85.5 °F	86	87	64.9°F	60	63	78.7 °F	79	83	64.7°F	63
09-03-19	71 ↑	83.0 °F	92	87 ↓	55.9°F	62	56 ↑	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	59	65	96.4 °F	93	92	69.5°F	65	65	85.5 °F	86	86	64.9°F	60
09-02-19	66	90.0 °F	89	89	76.3°F	71	72	83.0 °F	89	88	55.9°F	59	57	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	62	65	96.4 °F	94	89	69.5°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1
% Succ			33.3			33.3			20.0			20.0			25.0			25.0			66.7			33.3
Ave Error	22.2		3.8	20.0		3.8	21.0		4.0	22.1		3.7	23.0		3.2	19.4		3.4	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4
Net Error	-22.2		3.0	20.0		-1.8	-21.0		2.6	22.1		-2.3	-23.0		1.5	19.4		-3.4	-22.5		-0.5	19.6		-4.4
Std Dev	10.9		2.9	9.8		2.4	14.2		2.8	14.1		2.9	20.1		3.0	16.8		3.2	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	80		80	67		64	87		82	70		72	87		92	72		72	89		89	71		72
09-07-19	82	78.7 °F	82	63	63.8°F	65	79		80	65		67	86		83	70		71	87		88	70		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	85.5 °F	94	65 ↑	63.9°F	67	85	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	64	82		82	64		64	80		79	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	60	93	85.5 °F	94	66	63.9°F	65	87	78.7 °F	86	63	63.8°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	59	92	85.5 °F	93	65	63.9°F	63	86	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	59
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	88	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	91.1 °F	89	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	85.5 °F	92	63	63.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	83	69	69.1°F	65	90	83.0 °F	88	74	55.9°F	74	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	5		1	1		0	3		2	1		0	4		2	0		0	2		1
% Succ	16.7		33.3	83.3		16.7	20.0		0.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		0.0	100.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	4.2		3.6	3.2		5.6	4.8		5.5	4.6		5.7	5.1		4.9	0.7		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4
Net Error	1.8		2.9	2.6		2.4	3.5		4.7	3.7		3.1	2.4		3.9	-0.1		-0.4	1.5		5.8	-4.4		-3.4
Std Dev	3.0		2.9	5.8		5.3	3.9		4.0	3.9		4.9	4.7		4.4	0.6		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		81	63		65	79		78	65		64	86		82	70		70	87		86	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	84	62 ↑	63.9°F	60	84		81	63		62	80		72	66		61	87		84	68		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	83.0 °F	96	65 ↑	55.9°F	67	85	85.5 °F	87	62	63.9°F	65	82		82	64		64	80		78	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	83	65	65.5°F	63	93	83.0 °F	93	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	64	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	64	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	60
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	87	72	55.9°F	71	88 ↓	91.1 °F	88	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	85	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	89	74	55.9°F	73	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	85	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	4		0	2		1	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7	66.7		0.0	40.0		20.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.3		3.4	4.7		7.1	4.2		4.9	6.3		6.9	4.0		3.8	2.7		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2
Net Error	1.4		2.9	3.7		4.2	2.6		3.6	5.3		5.1	1.3		2.8	1.9		1.9	0.1		4.4	-1.8		-0.4
Std Dev	3.9		4.5	6.0		5.2	4.4		4.2	5.4		5.3	3.7		3.7	2.5		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		78	63		63	79		80	65		65	86		83	70		70	87		87	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	85	62 ↑	63.9°F	62	84		81	63		63	80		71	66		62	87		81	68		70
09-05-19	94	83.0 °F	95	65 ↑	55.9°F	69	85	85.5 °F	88	62	63.9°F	64	82		84	64		66	80		80	65		67
09-04-19	81 ↓	81.3 °F	82	65	65.5°F	62	93	83.0 °F	94	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	63	83		81	62		64
09-03-19	87 ↓	83.0 °F	90	56 ↑	55.9°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	65	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	61
09-02-19	90 ↓	83.0 °F	90	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	83.0 °F	88	57	55.9°F	60	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	64
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	82	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	86	74	55.9°F	71	86	83.0 °F	87	56	55.9°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		1	2		0	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		0.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.4		5.0	4.6		6.8	4.6		4.8	6.3		6.6	3.5		4.3	2.7		4.7	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8
Net Error	2.9		3.9	3.8		4.3	4.2		4.8	5.4		4.8	3.3		4.3	2.0		2.0	0.1		4.1	-1.8		0.6
Std Dev	4.0		4.5	6.0		6.0	4.6		4.4	5.4		5.3	3.1		4.2	2.5		4.4	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		64	64		78	79		65	66		81	87		69	70		86	88		72	72		88
09-06-19	84 ↓	63.9°F	62	61	85.5 °F	81	81		63	62		71	78		62	65		81	87		70	68		85
09-05-19	94	55.9°F	71	65 ↑	83.0 °F	88	85	63.9°F	65	62	85.5 °F	84	84		66	64		80	81		67	66		84
09-04-19	82 ↓	65.5°F	62	65	81.3 °F	92	93	55.9°F	65	63	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	63	62	85.5 °F	81	83		64	64		76
09-03-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	60	55 ↑	83.0 °F	84	80	65.5°F	61	63	81.3 °F	93	93	55.9°F	65	66	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	61	62	85.5 °F	74
09-02-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	72	71 ↑	83.0 °F	88	86 ↓	55.9°F	59	53	83.0 °F	84	81	65.5°F	61	64	81.3 °F	92	91	55.9°F	64	64	83.0 °F	87
09-01-19	82	69.1°F	68	67	84.8 °F	87	89	55.9°F	71	73	83.0 °F	87	87	55.9°F	60	57	83.0 °F	84	78	65.5°F	62	61	81.3 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			33.3			16.7			20.0			40.0			25.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	26.0		7.0	19.4		4.7	27.2		6.6	20.4		4.2	26.5		4.7	21.0		4.8	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4
Net Error	26.0		4.8	-19.4		3.2	27.2		4.8	-20.4		3.6	26.5		2.0	-21.0		2.6	23.2		0.6	-20.9		1.7
Std Dev	13.4		6.4	9.5		3.5	18.8		5.0	13.0		4.5	23.0		4.4	18.2		4.2	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		80	66		66	87		81	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	63.9°F	64	81	85.5 °F	79	62 ↑		63	78		76	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		89
09-05-19	65 ↑	65.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	90	62	63.9°F	67	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	64	93	83.0 °F	92	63 ↑	65.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	85	62	63.9°F	62	83	85.5 °F	81	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	56.3°F	61	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	61	93	83.0 °F	94	66	65.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	87	62	63.9°F	61	81	85.5 °F	78
09-02-19	71 ↑	73.0°F	73	86 ↓	90.0 °F	89	53 ↑	56.3°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	65.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	69.1°F	67	89	84.8 °F	87	73 ↑	73.0°F	71	87	90.0 °F	86	57	56.3°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	93
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	0		1	2		2	1		1	3		2	0		0	2		0	0		0
% Succ	50.0		33.3			16.7	40.0		40.0	20.0		20.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	2.9		3.7	7.5		5.2	2.9		2.8	7.0		7.0	2.9		2.5	8.5		7.5	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6
Net Error	0.1		3.0	-2.8		-1.5	-0.0		2.0	-3.0		-2.6	2.0		1.0	-4.5		-2.5	0.7		0.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	3.1		3.4	4.3		3.2	2.7		2.4	5.5		5.7	2.6		2.1	7.9		6.7	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		83	66		68	87		83	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	67.2°F	62	81	85.5 °F	81	62 ↑		63	78		75	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		88
09-05-19	65 ↑	67.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	88	62	67.2°F	65	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	93	63 ↑	67.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	62	83	85.5 °F	82	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	68.7°F	60	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	95	66	67.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	61	81	85.5 °F	77
09-02-19	71 ↑	69.4°F	74	86 ↓	90.0 °F	90	53 ↑	68.7°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	67.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	55.9°F	68	89	83.0 °F	88	73 ↑	69.4°F	71	87	90.0 °F	87	57	68.7°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	0		1	0		1	1		1	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0			16.7			20.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	7.3		6.9	7.8		5.7	7.1		4.1	7.0		6.8	6.5		5.0	8.5		7.5	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3
Net Error	-0.0		2.3	-2.5		-0.7	-2.9		-1.1	-3.0		-2.0	-2.5		-3.5	-4.5		-2.5	-1.1		-1.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	5.1		3.3	4.4		3.9	4.8		3.0	5.5		5.7	5.7		4.4	7.9		6.8	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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