SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 19-Feb-2019 4:54 AM

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Lancaster Co.

Cass Co.

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

88°F at Winter Haven, FL

Low Temp

-19°F at Great Falls/Intl, MT
-19°F at Great Falls, MT

Precipitation

1.85in at Oak Ridge (asos), TN

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Sunday,
February 17, 2019

High Temp

26°F at Omaha/Eppley, NE
26°F at Omaha/Offutt Afb, NE
26°F at Falls City/Brenner, NE

Low Temp

-2°F at Alliance/Muni, NE

Precipitation

0.11in at Omaha/Eppley, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 19-Feb-2019 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 7°

Tuesday

Snow
Cold!
High: 23°

Tuesday
night
Snow
Cold!

Snow
Cold!
Low: 16°

Wednesday

Snow
Cold!
High: 26°

Wednesday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 11°

Thursday

Mostly Sunny
High: 33°

Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 19°

Friday

Rain and Snow
High: 40°

Friday
night

Fog late
Low: 36°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 19-Feb-2019 3:35am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Cloudy

Mostly Cloudy

Lo 5 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Cloudy then Light Snow Likely

Mostly Cloudy then Light Snow Likely

Hi 23 °F ↓

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Heavy Snow

Heavy Snow

Lo 17 °F ↑

Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Light Snow then Chance Snow Showers

Chance Light Snow then Chance Snow Showers

Hi 28 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 9 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 31 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Snow

Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Snow

Lo 20 °F

Friday

Friday: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow

Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow

Hi 35 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Rain And Snow

Chance Rain And Snow

Lo 27 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-19-19 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-19-19	5		7	23		23	18 ↑		16	30		26	9		11	31		33	19		19	35		40
02-18-19	8	11.6°F	8	20 ↓	27.0 °F	22	6		8	22		23	15		16	28		25	6		13	27		36
02-17-19	12 ↑	13.5°F	14	24	27.0 °F	22	10	11.6°F	6	22	27.0 °F	23	6		8	19		18	11		14	24		29
02-16-19	0	17.1°F	6	20	19.5 °F	36	13	13.5°F	18	25	27.0 °F	22	10	11.6°F	8	22	27.0 °F	21	7		7	19		13
02-15-19	7	9.1°F	9	15	15.2 °F	16	2	17.1°F	5	21	19.5 °F	30	14	13.5°F	18	25	27.0 °F	20	8	11.6°F	8	20	27.0 °F	18
02-14-19	29	10.2°F	33	34 ↓	41.9 °F	44	8	9.1°F	16	16	15.2 °F	20	6	17.1°F	9	21	19.5 °F	35	14	13.5°F	24	23	27.0 °F	30
02-13-19	13	39.2°F	14	47 ↓	41.1 °F	51	27	10.2°F	32	34	41.9 °F	44	9	9.1°F	17	17	15.2 °F	22	6	17.1°F	12	19	19.5 °F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	2		1	3		0	3		0	3		0	3		0	1		0	1		0
% Succ	16.7		33.3	33.3		16.7	60.0		0.0	60.0		0.0	75.0		0.0	75.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	11.6		10.6	4.1		6.6	7.0		10.2	3.4		5.3	3.3		6.0	2.6		8.8	5.1		6.4	3.8		6.5
Net Error	-5.3		-2.8	-2.0		3.2	-0.3		3.1	-2.5		1.7	-3.1		0.2	-0.9		2.3	-4.7		0.6	-3.8		0.5
Std Dev	8.9		9.3	3.4		5.8	6.9		7.3	2.5		4.1	3.0		5.4	2.5		7.8	5.1		6.4	3.8		6.5

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-18-19	8 ↑		22	22 ↓		7	7		24	21		19	18		25	28		13	8		36	28		26
02-17-19	14	27.0 °F	22	24 ↓	11.6°F	8	11		25	21		8	6		18	20		13	13		29	25		13
02-16-19	0 ↑	19.5 °F	32	20	17.1°F	16	13 ↑	27.0 °F	23	24	11.6°F	10	11		20	21		7	6		12	17		9
02-15-19	7	15.2 °F	16	12	7.8°F	4	6	19.5 °F	31	20	17.1°F	17	13	27.0 °F	20	24	11.6°F	7	10		22	20		6
02-14-19	32 ↑	41.9 °F	44	32 ↓	9.2°F	16	8	15.2 °F	20	15	7.8°F	12	4	19.5 °F	27	20	17.1°F	20	13	27.0 °F	23	23	11.6°F	8
02-13-19	13	41.1 °F	49	45 ↓	32.8°F	29	27	41.9 °F	46	34	9.2°F	18	9	15.2 °F	21	17	7.8°F	8	6	19.5 °F	31	19	17.1°F	18
02-12-19	19 ↑	34.7 °F	39	33 ↓	15.1°F	16	14	41.1 °F	54	53	32.8°F	32	24	41.9 °F	38	33	9.2°F	13	10	15.2 °F	21	19	7.8°F	15
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	0		2	0		0	0		3	0		0	0		1	0		0	1		1
% Succ			16.7			33.3			0.0			60.0			0.0			25.0			0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	15.7		5.4	12.1		3.3	15.3		7.5	13.5		3.1	13.4		6.1	12.1		2.9	10.9		7.1	8.2		3.9
Net Error	-15.7		3.8	12.1		-0.8	-15.3		5.9	13.5		2.1	-13.4		0.6	12.1		0.6	-10.9		4.4	8.2		1.5
Std Dev	9.2		4.4	8.2		2.2	10.4		5.4	10.2		2.5	11.6		5.3	10.5		2.6	10.9		7.1	8.2		3.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-18-19	22 ↓		22	7		8	21		22	18		16	28		25	8		11	28		36	19		25
02-17-19	24 ↓	27.0 °F	22	11	11.6°F	8	21 ↓		25	6		8	20		18	13		13	25		29	9		13
02-16-19	20	19.5 °F	33	13 ↑	17.1°F	16	24	27.0 °F	23	11	11.6°F	9	21		19	6		7	17		12	11		9
02-15-19	12	15.2 °F	17	6	5.9°F	4	20 ↓	19.5 °F	33	13	17.1°F	18	24	27.0 °F	21	10	11.6°F	8	20		24	5		7
02-14-19	32 ↓	41.9 °F	47	8	9.1°F	21	15	15.2 °F	24	4	5.9°F	13	20	19.5 °F	27	13	17.1°F	19	23	27.0 °F	22	9	11.6°F	8
02-13-19	45 ↓	41.1 °F	46	27	29.7°F	30	34 ↓	41.9 °F	46	9	9.1°F	18	17	15.2 °F	21	6	5.9°F	8	19	19.5 °F	30	14	17.1°F	18
02-12-19	33 ↓	34.7 °F	39	14	15.1°F	16	53 ↓	41.1 °F	54	24	29.7°F	32	33	41.9 °F	38	10	9.1°F	13	19	15.2 °F	21	6	5.9°F	15
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	4		4	2		0	3		1	2		0	3		1	1		0	1		1
% Succ	33.3		16.7	66.7		66.7	40.0		0.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		0.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	3.7		5.8	1.6		3.3	4.7		8.7	2.5		4.4	3.6		5.8	1.7		2.9	2.8		7.1	1.9		4.5
Net Error	-2.2		4.1	-1.6		1.1	0.3		7.1	-2.5		3.3	-2.4		0.9	-1.2		1.1	-0.2		3.8	-1.9		2.1
Std Dev	3.2		4.3	1.5		4.1	4.1		6.2	1.9		3.5	3.1		5.0	1.5		2.5	2.8		7.1	1.9		4.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-18-19	22 ↓		21	7		7	21		22	18		16	28		24	8		13	28		36	19		22
02-17-19	24 ↓	27.0 °F	25	11	11.7°F	8	21 ↓		20	6		5	20		19	13		15	25		25	9		7
02-16-19	20	19.5 °F	28	13 ↑	17.1°F	15	24	27.0 °F	21	11	11.7°F	9	21		24	6		7	17		16	11		13
02-15-19	12	15.2 °F	15	6	5.9°F	4	20 ↓	19.5 °F	32	13	17.1°F	17	24	27.0 °F	21	10	11.7°F	9	20		24	5		9
02-14-19	35 ↓	41.9 °F	36	8	9.1°F	13	15	15.2 °F	16	4	5.9°F	7	20	19.5 °F	30	13	17.1°F	17	23	27.0 °F	21	9	11.7°F	8
02-13-19	45 ↓	41.1 °F	46	27	29.7°F	32	34 ↓	41.9 °F	46	9	9.1°F	16	17	15.2 °F	19	6	5.9°F	9	19	19.5 °F	24	14	17.1°F	16
02-12-19	33 ↓	34.7 °F	30	14	15.1°F	13	53 ↓	41.1 °F	54	24	29.7°F	35	33	41.9 °F	45	10	9.1°F	14	19	15.2 °F	25	6	5.9°F	14
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		1	2		1	3		2	2		0	3		1	1		0	1		1
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		20.0	60.0		40.0	50.0		0.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	3.2		4.4	1.6		2.7	4.7		7.3	2.5		3.2	3.6		5.9	1.7		2.7	2.8		6.8	2.0		4.3
Net Error	-1.7		0.1	-1.6		-0.6	0.3		4.9	-2.5		2.1	-2.4		2.9	-1.2		1.3	-0.2		2.8	-1.9		1.1
Std Dev	2.3		3.2	1.5		1.3	4.1		5.9	1.9		2.7	3.1		5.1	1.5		2.3	2.8		6.8	2.0		4.3

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-18-19	22 ↓		28	7		9	21		23	18		18	28		24	8		13	28		36	19		22
02-17-19	24 ↓	27.0 °F	27	11	11.7°F	8	21 ↓		22	6		5	20		20	13		18	25		26	9		8
02-16-19	20	19.5 °F	21	13 ↑	17.1°F	13	24	27.0 °F	20	10	11.7°F	9	22		25	6		7	19		17	11		14
02-15-19	12	15.2 °F	17	6	5.9°F	6	20 ↓	19.5 °F	36	13	17.1°F	19	24	27.0 °F	22	10	11.7°F	9	20		26	5		10
02-14-19	35 ↓	41.9 °F	30	8	9.1°F	14	15	15.2 °F	17	4	5.9°F	7	20	19.5 °F	32	13	17.1°F	19	23	27.0 °F	21	9	11.7°F	8
02-13-19	43 ↓	41.1 °F	45	27	29.7°F	32	34 ↓	41.9 °F	46	9	9.1°F	16	17	15.2 °F	19	6	5.9°F	9	19	19.5 °F	24	14	17.1°F	17
02-12-19	33 ↓	34.7 °F	33	14	15.1°F	13	53 ↓	41.1 °F	54	24	29.7°F	35	33	41.9 °F	46	10	9.1°F	14	19	15.2 °F	25	6	5.9°F	14
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		4	4		1	2		1	3		2	2		0	3		1	1		0	1		1
% Succ	50.0		66.7	66.7		16.7	40.0		20.0	60.0		40.0	50.0		0.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	2.9		3.5	1.6		2.9	4.7		8.5	2.7		3.6	3.6		6.4	1.7		3.2	2.8		6.8	2.0		4.0
Net Error	-2.1		-1.1	-1.6		-0.4	0.3		5.7	-2.7		2.5	-2.4		3.9	-1.2		1.8	-0.2		2.8	-1.9		1.4
Std Dev	2.3		4.1	1.5		1.9	4.1		7.1	1.9		2.7	3.1		5.5	1.5		2.7	2.8		6.8	2.0		4.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-18-19	22 ↓		7	4		23	23		18	18		25	30		12	9		36	31		23	19		39
02-17-19	24 ↓	11.7°F	27	9	27.0 °F	8	20 ↓		22	6		5	22		20	15		18	28		26	6		8
02-16-19	20	19.5 °F	13	12 ↑	17.1°F	21	24	11.7°F	11	10	27.0 °F	23	22		7	6		18	19		14	11		28
02-15-19	12	5.9°F	19	0	15.2 °F	8	20	19.5 °F	33	13	17.1°F	17	25	11.7°F	23	10	27.0 °F	10	22		22	7		10
02-14-19	35 ↓	41.9 °F	11	7	9.1°F	15	15	5.9°F	5	2	15.2 °F	28	21	19.5 °F	16	14	17.1°F	19	25	11.7°F	8	8	27.0 °F	18
02-13-19	42	29.7°F	31	29	41.1 °F	47	34 ↓	41.9 °F	18	8	9.1°F	20	16	5.9°F	12	6	15.2 °F	25	21	19.5 °F	17	14	17.1°F	20
02-12-19	31 ↓	15.1°F	16	13	34.7 °F	50	48 ↓	29.7°F	34	28	41.1 °F	47	35	41.9 °F	16	9	9.1°F	24	19	5.9°F	13	6	15.2 °F	21
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	0		0	1		2	1		1	1		0	1		1	1		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		33.3			0.0	20.0		40.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	9.0		11.3	12.4		9.5	9.6		8.7	9.7		6.7	8.0		11.7	7.4		10.9	9.3		4.4	10.4		5.9
Net Error	6.7		-1.1	-12.4		0.8	6.5		-1.5	-9.7		5.1	4.5		-3.0	-7.4		2.4	9.3		0.3	-10.4		-0.1
Std Dev	5.6		10.4	7.6		6.4	7.4		7.7	7.6		6.0	7.4		10.1	8.0		9.9	9.3		4.4	10.4		5.9

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-18-19	4		6	23		23	18 ↑		16	30		25	9		12	31		36	19		23	35		39
02-17-19	9	11.6°F	9	20 ↓	27.0 °F	22	6		6	22		21	15		15	28		23	6		9	27		37
02-16-19	12 ↑	17.1°F	14	24	19.5 °F	23	10	11.6°F	12	22	27.0 °F	25	6		8	19		19	11		15	24		30
02-15-19	0	5.9°F	6	20	15.2 °F	36	13	17.1°F	19	25	19.5 °F	22	10	11.6°F	9	22	27.0 °F	25	7		8	19		12
02-14-19	7	9.1°F	12	15	41.9 °F	16	2	5.9°F	6	21	15.2 °F	30	14	17.1°F	18	25	19.5 °F	20	8	11.6°F	8	20	27.0 °F	19
02-13-19	29	29.7°F	30	34 ↓	41.1 °F	46	8	9.1°F	18	16	41.9 °F	20	6	5.9°F	13	21	15.2 °F	26	14	17.1°F	17	23	19.5 °F	21
02-12-19	13	15.1°F	17	48 ↓	34.7 °F	51	28	29.7°F	34	35	41.1 °F	47	9	9.1°F	16	19	41.9 °F	24	6	5.9°F	13	19	15.2 °F	21
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		3	0		0	3		3	0		1	3		1	0		2	1		1	0		1
% Succ	16.7		50.0			0.0	60.0		60.0			20.0	75.0		25.0			50.0	33.3		33.3			33.3
Ave Error	3.1		1.8	10.6		12.7	2.5		3.1	9.7		9.4	1.2		4.4	9.8		7.8	2.3		3.6	4.8		5.1
Net Error	-3.1		-0.1	-3.1		2.4	-2.5		3.1	-5.1		-0.1	-1.2		3.1	-4.2		-2.2	-2.2		1.1	0.1		-0.2
Std Dev	2.2		1.4	8.9		10.1	1.9		2.7	6.9		7.9	1.1		3.9	8.8		7.4	2.3		3.6	4.8		5.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-18-19	4		7	23		22	18 ↑		16	30		26	9		10	31		33	19		19	35		40
02-17-19	8	11.6°F	7	20 ↓	27.0 °F	21	6		7	22		22	15		16	28		25	6		13	27		36
02-16-19	12 ↑	16.0°F	14	24	19.5 °F	24	10	11.6°F	13	22	27.0 °F	27	6		11	19		17	11		13	24		29
02-15-19	0	17.1°F	7	20	15.2 °F	34	13	16.0°F	18	25	19.5 °F	22	10	11.6°F	9	22	27.0 °F	22	7		8	19		13
02-14-19	7	11.7°F	9	15	41.9 °F	15	2	17.1°F	4	21	15.2 °F	28	14	16.0°F	16	25	19.5 °F	20	8	11.6°F	10	20	27.0 °F	20
02-13-19	29	11.7°F	32	34 ↓	41.1 °F	44	8	11.7°F	16	16	41.9 °F	19	6	17.1°F	9	21	15.2 °F	34	14	16.0°F	23	23	19.5 °F	29
02-12-19	13	39.2°F	17	48 ↓	34.7 °F	52	28	11.7°F	32	35	41.1 °F	44	9	11.7°F	16	19	41.9 °F	21	6	17.1°F	12	19	15.2 °F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	0		0	1		2	0		1	2		1	0		1	1		1	0		0
% Succ			16.7			0.0	20.0		40.0			20.0	50.0		25.0			25.0	33.3		33.3			0.0
Ave Error	12.2		10.3	10.6		12.7	7.9		8.2	9.7		8.2	4.4		3.8	9.8		11.3	5.6		4.6	4.8		9.4
Net Error	-6.4		-3.6	-3.1		1.8	-1.4		3.0	-5.1		-0.9	-4.4		-1.6	-4.2		-1.7	-5.6		0.1	0.1		4.8
Std Dev	8.1		7.8	8.9		10.1	7.0		7.0	6.9		7.2	4.0		3.3	8.8		10.3	5.6		4.6	4.8		9.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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