SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

63°F

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 18-Sep-2025 8:19 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

107°F at Needles, CA

Low Temp

27°F at Leadville, CO

Precipitation

2.57in at Pierre Regional Ap, SD

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Wednesday,
September 17, 2025

High Temp

81°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

48°F at Bravo (pine Bluffs), NE

Precipitation

1.02in at Oneill Municipal Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Thursday, 18-Sep-2025 08:00 am

Today

Thunder storm
High: 75°

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 54°

Friday

Mostly Sunny
High: 79°

Friday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 62°

Saturday

Thunder storm
High: 82°

Saturday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 63°

Sunday

Fog a.m.
High: 82°

Sunday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 65°

Monday

Partly Cloudy
High: 87°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 18-Sep-2025 7:35am CDT

Today

Chance Rain Showers

Hi 74 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 58 °F

Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 78 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Partly Cloudy then Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 61 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 79 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 63 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 82 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 62 °F

Monday

Monday: Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 83 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-25 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-25	61		61	74		79	58		59	78		77	61		61	79		79	63		65	82		80
09-17-25	65	63.0°F	66	81	79.7 °F	81	63		67	77		81	60		66	79		79	60		63	82		82
09-16-25	66	72.4°F	68	91	93.0 °F	93	65	63.0°F	67	80	79.7 °F	85	64		67	75		79	60		63	75		82
09-15-25	65	75.0°F	65	89	91.5 °F	90	66	72.4°F	68	90	93.0 °F	93	65	63.0°F	68	81	79.7 °F	81	63		68	74		80
09-14-25	69	67.3°F	72	87	89.8 °F	90	66	75.0°F	67	90	91.5 °F	89	67	72.4°F	66	89	93.0 °F	90	64	63.0°F	67	77	79.7 °F	78
09-13-25	72	76.7°F	72	94	96.5 °F	96	72	67.3°F	73	87	89.8 °F	90	66	75.0°F	67	89	91.5 °F	91	67	72.4°F	68	87	93.0 °F	93
09-12-25	70	74.8°F	70	92	94.6 °F	92	71	76.7°F	72	94	96.5 °F	98	73	67.3°F	73	88	89.8 °F	90	65	75.0°F	66	87	91.5 °F	92
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	2		5	1		0	2		3	1		0	2		3	1		0	0		3
% Succ	33.3		0.0	33.3		83.3	20.0		0.0	40.0		60.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		75.0	33.3		0.0			100.0
Ave Error	4.9		5.3	2.3		1.0	5.6		5.4	2.0		1.9	5.5		6.3	2.4		1.3	5.5		5.8	4.4		0.7
Net Error	-3.7		-2.7	-1.9		-0.5	-2.9		-1.5	-1.9		0.9	-1.7		-0.9	-1.8		-0.5	-4.8		-3.1	-4.4		-0.4
Std Dev	3.4		3.1	1.1		0.7	4.2		3.7	1.6		2.1	5.1		5.5	2.2		1.1	5.5		5.8	4.4		0.7

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	64 ↑		80	80		63	67		81	87		72	70		86	87		72	72		89	89		70
09-07-19	60	78.7 °F	82	82	64.7°F	63	63		80	79		63	65		85	86		71	70		88	87		72
09-06-19	65 ↑	85.5 °F	91	84	64.9°F	64	62 ↑	78.7 °F	84	84	64.7°F	65	63		75	80		61	66		85	87		70
09-05-19	65 ↑	96.4 °F	95	94 ↓	69.5°F	66	65 ↑	85.5 °F	87	85	64.9°F	62	62	78.7 °F	84	82	64.7°F	64	64		77	80		64
09-04-19	55 ↑	81.3 °F	84	81	65.5°F	60	65	96.4 °F	93	93	69.5°F	64	66	85.5 °F	86	87	64.9°F	60	63	78.7 °F	79	83	64.7°F	63
09-03-19	71 ↑	83.0 °F	92	87 ↓	55.9°F	62	56 ↑	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	59	65	96.4 °F	93	92	69.5°F	65	65	85.5 °F	86	86	64.9°F	60
09-02-19	66	90.0 °F	89	89	76.3°F	71	72	83.0 °F	89	88	55.9°F	59	57	81.3 °F	85	81	65.5°F	62	65	96.4 °F	94	89	69.5°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1
% Succ			33.3			33.3			20.0			20.0			25.0			25.0			66.7			33.3
Ave Error	22.2		3.8	20.0		3.8	21.0		4.0	22.1		3.7	23.0		3.2	19.4		3.4	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4
Net Error	-22.2		3.0	20.0		-1.8	-21.0		2.6	22.1		-2.3	-23.0		1.5	19.4		-3.4	-22.5		-0.5	19.6		-4.4
Std Dev	10.9		2.9	9.8		2.4	14.2		2.8	14.1		2.9	20.1		3.0	16.8		3.2	22.5		1.1	19.6		4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-08-19	80		80	67		64	87		82	70		72	87		92	72		72	89		89	71		72
09-07-19	82	78.7 °F	82	63	63.8°F	65	79		80	65		67	86		83	70		71	87		88	70		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	85.5 °F	94	65 ↑	63.9°F	67	85	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	64	82		82	64		64	80		79	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	60	93	85.5 °F	94	66	63.9°F	65	87	78.7 °F	86	63	63.8°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	59	92	85.5 °F	93	65	63.9°F	63	86	78.7 °F	87	62	63.8°F	59
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	88	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	91.1 °F	89	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	85.5 °F	92	63	63.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	83	69	69.1°F	65	90	83.0 °F	88	74	55.9°F	74	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	5		1	1		0	3		2	1		0	4		2	0		0	2		1
% Succ	16.7		33.3	83.3		16.7	20.0		0.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		0.0	100.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	4.2		3.6	3.2		5.6	4.8		5.5	4.6		5.7	5.1		4.9	0.7		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4
Net Error	1.8		2.9	2.6		2.4	3.5		4.7	3.7		3.1	2.4		3.9	-0.1		-0.4	1.5		5.8	-4.4		-3.4
Std Dev	3.0		2.9	5.8		5.3	3.9		4.0	3.9		4.9	4.7		4.4	0.6		2.3	5.7		5.8	4.4		3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		81	63		65	79		78	65		64	86		82	70		70	87		86	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	84	62 ↑	63.9°F	60	84		81	63		62	80		72	66		61	87		84	68		72
09-05-19	94 ↓	83.0 °F	96	65 ↑	55.9°F	67	85	85.5 °F	87	62	63.9°F	65	82		82	64		64	80		78	65		64
09-04-19	81	81.3 °F	83	65	65.5°F	63	93	83.0 °F	93	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	64	83		83	62		66
09-03-19	87 ↓	91.1 °F	91	56 ↑	56.3°F	64	81 ↓	81.3 °F	85	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	64	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	60
09-02-19	89	83.0 °F	87	72	55.9°F	71	88 ↓	91.1 °F	88	57	56.3°F	59	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	63
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	85	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	89	74	55.9°F	73	86	91.1 °F	89	56	56.3°F	60	75	81.3 °F	85	55	65.5°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	4		0	2		1	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7	66.7		0.0	40.0		20.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.3		3.4	4.7		7.1	4.2		4.9	6.3		6.9	4.0		3.8	2.7		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2
Net Error	1.4		2.9	3.7		4.2	2.6		3.6	5.3		5.1	1.3		2.8	1.9		1.9	0.1		4.4	-1.8		-0.4
Std Dev	3.9		4.5	6.0		5.2	4.4		4.2	5.4		5.3	3.7		3.7	2.5		4.1	4.3		4.4	6.5		5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		78	63		63	79		80	65		65	86		83	70		70	87		87	70		73
09-06-19	84	85.5 °F	85	62 ↑	63.9°F	62	84		81	63		63	80		71	66		62	87		81	68		70
09-05-19	94	83.0 °F	95	65 ↑	55.9°F	69	85	85.5 °F	88	62	63.9°F	64	82		84	64		66	80		80	65		67
09-04-19	81 ↓	81.3 °F	82	65	65.5°F	62	93	83.0 °F	94	66	55.9°F	65	87	85.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	63	83		81	62		64
09-03-19	87 ↓	83.0 °F	90	56 ↑	55.9°F	60	81 ↓	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	92	83.0 °F	93	65	55.9°F	65	86	85.5 °F	86	62	63.9°F	61
09-02-19	90 ↓	83.0 °F	90	72	55.9°F	72	88 ↓	83.0 °F	88	57	55.9°F	60	81	81.3 °F	84	65	65.5°F	61	89	83.0 °F	92	63	55.9°F	64
09-01-19	82	84.8 °F	82	69	69.1°F	67	90	83.0 °F	86	74	55.9°F	71	86	83.0 °F	87	56	55.9°F	60	75	81.3 °F	84	55	65.5°F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		1	2		0	3		1	2		1	3		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		0.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	75.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.4		5.0	4.6		6.8	4.6		4.8	6.3		6.6	3.5		4.3	2.7		4.7	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8
Net Error	2.9		3.9	3.8		4.3	4.2		4.8	5.4		4.8	3.3		4.3	2.0		2.0	0.1		4.1	-1.8		0.6
Std Dev	4.0		4.5	6.0		6.0	4.6		4.4	5.4		5.3	3.1		4.2	2.5		4.4	4.3		4.1	6.5		4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	82		64	64		78	79		65	66		81	87		69	70		86	88		72	72		88
09-06-19	84 ↓	63.9°F	62	61	85.5 °F	81	81		63	62		71	78		62	65		81	87		70	68		85
09-05-19	94	55.9°F	71	65 ↑	83.0 °F	88	85	63.9°F	65	62	85.5 °F	84	84		66	64		80	81		67	66		84
09-04-19	82 ↓	65.5°F	62	65	81.3 °F	92	93	55.9°F	65	63	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	63	62	85.5 °F	81	83		64	64		76
09-03-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	60	55 ↑	83.0 °F	84	80	65.5°F	61	63	81.3 °F	93	93	55.9°F	65	66	83.0 °F	86	86	63.9°F	61	62	85.5 °F	74
09-02-19	90 ↓	55.9°F	72	71 ↑	83.0 °F	88	86 ↓	55.9°F	59	53	83.0 °F	84	81	65.5°F	61	64	81.3 °F	92	91	55.9°F	64	64	83.0 °F	87
09-01-19	82	69.1°F	68	67	84.8 °F	87	89	55.9°F	71	73	83.0 °F	87	87	55.9°F	60	57	83.0 °F	84	78	65.5°F	62	61	81.3 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			33.3			16.7			20.0			40.0			25.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	26.0		7.0	19.4		4.7	27.2		6.6	20.4		4.2	26.5		4.7	21.0		4.8	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4
Net Error	26.0		4.8	-19.4		3.2	27.2		4.8	-20.4		3.6	26.5		2.0	-21.0		2.6	23.2		0.6	-20.9		1.7
Std Dev	13.4		6.4	9.5		3.5	18.8		5.0	13.0		4.5	23.0		4.4	18.2		4.2	23.2		4.8	20.9		9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		80	66		66	87		81	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	63.9°F	64	81	85.5 °F	79	62 ↑		63	78		76	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		89
09-05-19	65 ↑	65.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	90	62	63.9°F	67	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	64	93	83.0 °F	92	63 ↑	65.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	85	62	63.9°F	62	83	85.5 °F	81	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	56.3°F	61	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	61	93	83.0 °F	94	66	65.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	87	62	63.9°F	61	81	85.5 °F	78
09-02-19	71 ↑	73.0°F	73	86 ↓	90.0 °F	89	53 ↑	56.3°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	65.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	69.1°F	67	89	84.8 °F	87	73 ↑	73.0°F	71	87	90.0 °F	86	57	56.3°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	93
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	0		1	2		2	1		1	3		2	0		0	2		0	0		0
% Succ	50.0		33.3			16.7	40.0		40.0	20.0		20.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	2.9		3.7	7.5		5.2	2.9		2.8	7.0		7.0	2.9		2.5	8.5		7.5	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6
Net Error	0.1		3.0	-2.8		-1.5	-0.0		2.0	-3.0		-2.6	2.0		1.0	-4.5		-2.5	0.7		0.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	3.1		3.4	4.3		3.2	2.7		2.4	5.5		5.7	2.6		2.1	7.9		6.7	2.7		3.7	7.3		8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-07-19	64		64	79		83	66		68	87		83	70		70	88		87	72		72	89		89
09-06-19	61	67.2°F	62	81	85.5 °F	81	62 ↑		63	78		75	65		63	87		84	68		71	86		88
09-05-19	65 ↑	67.1°F	72	85	96.4 °F	88	62	67.2°F	65	84	85.5 °F	84	64		65	81		75	66		63	87		80
09-04-19	65	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	93	63 ↑	67.1°F	65	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	62	83	85.5 °F	82	64		65	78		77
09-03-19	55 ↑	68.7°F	60	80	91.1 °F	85	63	55.9°F	62	93	83.0 °F	95	66	67.1°F	64	86	96.4 °F	86	62	67.2°F	61	81	85.5 °F	77
09-02-19	71 ↑	69.4°F	74	86 ↓	90.0 °F	90	53 ↑	68.7°F	60	81	91.1 °F	84	64	55.9°F	59	91	83.0 °F	93	64	67.1°F	63	83	96.4 °F	88
09-01-19	67	55.9°F	68	89	83.0 °F	88	73 ↑	69.4°F	71	87	90.0 °F	87	57	68.7°F	60	78	91.1 °F	85	61	55.9°F	62	87	83.0 °F	94
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	0		1	0		1	1		1	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0			16.7			20.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	7.3		6.9	7.8		5.7	7.1		4.1	7.0		6.8	6.5		5.0	8.5		7.5	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3
Net Error	-0.0		2.3	-2.5		-0.7	-2.9		-1.1	-3.0		-2.0	-2.5		-3.5	-4.5		-2.5	-1.1		-1.4	-4.6		-2.0
Std Dev	5.1		3.3	4.4		3.9	4.8		3.0	5.5		5.7	5.7		4.4	7.9		6.8	4.5		5.5	7.3		9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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