Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 23-Sep-2017 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 91°
Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 72°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 88°
Sunday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 70°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 74°
Monday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Low: 67°
Tuesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 70°
Tuesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 55°
Wednesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 71°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 23-Sep-2017 10:35am CDT

Today

Today: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 91 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 70 °F ↑
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 88 °F ↓
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 63 °F
Monday

Monday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 71 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 54 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 68 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy

Lo 47 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 71 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-23-17 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-23-17 75 ↑   72 91 ↓   91 70   71 87   88 65   68 73   72 55   63 69   67
09-22-17 76 ↑ 77.2°F 75 95 ↓ 95.9 °F 94 72   73 90   92 70   70 86   88 65   70 76   73
09-21-17 61 80.5°F 64 92 93.0 °F 91 74 77.2°F 74 91 95.9 °F 94 71   74 88   91 68   73 82   88
09-20-17 62 ↑ 65.9°F 69 81 85.1 °F 85 60 80.5°F 66 91 93.0 °F 92 73 77.2°F 76 91 95.9 °F 94 70   75 87   92
09-19-17 63 79.7°F 66 90 90.5 °F 86 63 ↑ 65.9°F 66 82 85.1 °F 83 61 80.5°F 62 91 93.0 °F 88 72 77.2°F 72 89 95.9 °F 95
09-18-17 60 66.5°F 62 79 76.5 °F 70 62 79.7°F 65 88 90.5 °F 86 63 65.9°F 66 81 85.1 °F 81 61 80.5°F 58 88 93.0 °F 85
09-17-17 50 ↑ 62.5°F 53 74 70.3 °F 74 60 66.5°F 55 78 76.5 °F 74 63 79.7°F 62 90 90.5 °F 87 63 65.9°F 68 80 85.1 °F 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 3 3 0 1 2 2 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 1
% Succ 16.7   0.0 50.0   50.0     20.0 40.0   40.0     50.0 50.0   25.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 10.1   8.3 2.1   3.1 10.2   8.8 2.8   2.4 10.8   9.4 2.9   3.6 9.2   9.9 5.7   3.7
Net Error -10.1   -7.2 -0.0   -1.9 -10.2   -8.8 -2.2   -2.4 -10.8   -9.3 -2.9   -3.6 -9.2   -8.5 -5.7   -3.7
Std Dev 7.8   6.4 1.5   2.4 9.1   7.7 2.0   1.7 9.9   9.1 2.7   3.3 9.2   9.9 5.7   3.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-23-17 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-23-17 75 ↑   91 91   71 70 ↑   88 88   68 63   72 71   63 54   67 68   55
09-22-17 76 ↑ 95.9 °F 94 95 ↓ 74.4°F 73 74 ↑   91 90   69 71   85 86   68 66   72 76   65
09-21-17 61 93.0 °F 92 93 77.9°F 76 73 95.9 °F 95 93 74.4°F 74 73   91 88   73 68   88 84   69
09-20-17 62 ↑ 85.1 °F 86 81 65.3°F 65 62 93.0 °F 93 92 77.9°F 76 73 95.9 °F 94 91 74.4°F 74 71   90 88   73
09-19-17 63 90.5 °F 88 90 68.7°F 66 63 ↑ 85.1 °F 82 81 65.3°F 62 61 93.0 °F 88 91 77.9°F 73 73 95.9 °F 95 90 74.4°F 72
09-18-17 61 76.5 °F 70 76 66.5°F 65 62 90.5 °F 86 88 68.7°F 65 64 85.1 °F 81 82 65.3°F 58 62 93.0 °F 85 88 77.9°F 72
09-17-17 51 70.3 °F 75 73 ↓ 62.5°F 54 61 76.5 °F 75 78 66.5°F 62 62 90.5 °F 87 88 68.7°F 68 63 85.1 °F 83 80 65.3°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1
% Succ     50.0     66.7     60.0     40.0     25.0     50.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 22.9   2.9 15.5   2.7 24.0   2.0 15.8   2.8 26.1   3.6 16.4   3.3 25.3   3.7 13.5   2.9
Net Error -22.9   -1.1 15.5   -2.7 -24.0   -2.0 15.8   -2.8 -26.1   -3.6 16.4   -3.3 -25.3   -3.7 13.5   -2.9
Std Dev 10.7   2.2 7.5   1.7 15.5   1.7 10.1   2.1 22.7   3.3 14.2   3.2 25.3   3.7 13.5   2.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-23-17 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-23-17 91 ↓   91 70 ↑   72 88 ↓   88 63   69 71   75 54   67 68   69 47   55
09-22-17 95 ↓ 95.9 °F 94 74 ↑ 72.9°F 73 90 ↓   91 71   71 86   85 66   69 76   74 56   66
09-21-17 93 93.0 °F 90 73 76.7°F 74 93 95.9 °F 93 73 72.9°F 75 88   92 68   73 84   88 62   69
09-20-17 81 85.1 °F 83 62 65.3°F 63 92 93.0 °F 92 73 76.7°F 76 91 95.9 °F 93 71 72.9°F 71 88   86 67   68
09-19-17 90 90.5 °F 86 63 ↑ 63.9°F 66 81 85.1 °F 82 61 65.3°F 62 91 93.0 °F 88 73 76.7°F 76 90 95.9 °F 95 69 72.9°F 74
09-18-17 76 76.5 °F 71 62 66.5°F 64 88 90.5 °F 86 64 63.9°F 68 82 85.1 °F 82 62 65.3°F 59 88 93.0 °F 89 71 76.7°F 75
09-17-17 73 ↓ 70.3 °F 73 61 62.4°F 54 78 76.5 °F 71 62 66.5°F 58 88 90.5 °F 88 63 63.9°F 71 80 85.1 °F 86 58 65.3°F 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 1 0 2 2 0 2 0 3
% Succ 66.7   16.7 50.0   16.7 40.0   20.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   50.0     66.7     100.0
Ave Error 1.5   3.3 2.5   3.0 2.4   3.4 2.5   3.7 3.1   3.4 2.5   4.0 5.3   1.9 5.6   1.5
Net Error -0.6   -2.4 -2.1   -2.3 -1.8   -3.4 -2.5   -1.3 -3.1   -3.4 -2.5   -0.5 -5.3   -1.3 -5.6   0.4
Std Dev 1.5   1.9 1.7   1.8 1.8   2.4 2.2   2.8 2.8   2.9 2.1   3.6 5.3   1.9 5.6   1.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-22-17 96 ↓   92 74 ↑   72 90 ↓   90 71   71 86   87 66   70 76   75 56   67
09-21-17 93 93.0 °F 91 73 76.6°F 74 93   94 73   74 88   92 68   73 84   88 62   69
09-20-17 81 85.1 °F 81 62 65.3°F 62 92 93.0 °F 89 73 76.6°F 75 91   93 71   71 88   87 67   68
09-19-17 90 90.5 °F 86 63 ↑ 63.9°F 66 81 85.1 °F 82 61 65.3°F 62 91 93.0 °F 88 73 76.6°F 75 90   95 69   74
09-18-17 75 76.5 °F 73 62 66.5°F 63 88 90.5 °F 83 64 63.9°F 71 82 85.1 °F 89 62 65.3°F 67 88 93.0 °F 94 71 76.6°F 75
09-17-17 73 ↓ 70.3 °F 72 61 62.4°F 52 78 76.5 °F 74 62 66.5°F 62 88 90.5 °F 88 63 63.9°F 70 80 85.1 °F 85 58 65.3°F 67
09-16-17 79 ↓ 75.3 °F 81 50 ↑ 50.4°F 56 75 70.3 °F 73 59 62.4°F 59 79 76.5 °F 75 63 66.5°F 64 88 90.5 °F 87 65 63.9°F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 3 0 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 2 1 3
% Succ 50.0   33.3 50.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   50.0     66.7 33.3   100.0
Ave Error 2.1   3.6 2.4   4.6 2.8   4.0 3.2   4.0 2.5   3.2 2.8   3.0 4.2   1.5 4.7   1.4
Net Error 0.1   -1.1 -2.4   -2.0 -0.3   -2.9 -3.1   -1.1 -1.3   -1.3 -2.8   0.9 -4.2   -0.9 -3.9   -0.3
Std Dev 1.6   1.8 1.6   3.4 2.0   3.0 2.5   3.1 2.2   2.9 2.5   2.7 4.2   1.5 4.7   1.4

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-22-17 96 ↓   94 73   72 90   89 70   72 87   88 65   70 73   73 55   59
09-21-17 93 93.0 °F 92 73 76.6°F 73 93   93 73   73 88   91 68   74 84   89 62   70
09-20-17 81 85.1 °F 83 62 65.3°F 62 92 93.0 °F 91 73 76.6°F 76 91   96 71   74 88   89 67   73
09-19-17 90 90.5 °F 89 63 ↑ 63.9°F 66 81 85.1 °F 83 61 65.3°F 64 91 93.0 °F 88 73 76.6°F 75 90   94 69   74
09-18-17 76 76.5 °F 76 62 66.5°F 64 88 90.5 °F 88 64 63.9°F 66 82 85.1 °F 85 62 65.3°F 61 88 93.0 °F 92 71 76.6°F 74
09-17-17 71 70.3 °F 69 61 62.4°F 54 78 76.5 °F 73 62 66.5°F 64 88 90.5 °F 87 63 63.9°F 69 80 85.1 °F 86 58 65.3°F 70
09-16-17 72 ↓ 75.3 °F 65 50 ↑ 50.4°F 55 75 70.3 °F 73 59 62.4°F 57 79 76.5 °F 79 63 66.5°F 64 88 90.5 °F 85 65 63.9°F 68
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 4 3 0 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 0
% Succ 66.7   66.7 50.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 20.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0     66.7 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 1.5   2.8 2.4   4.1 2.8   2.6 3.2   2.4 2.5   2.8 2.8   3.4 4.2   2.5 4.7   3.8
Net Error -1.3   -2.8 -2.4   -1.9 -0.3   -1.5 -3.1   -1.5 -1.3   -1.5 -2.8   -0.8 -4.2   -1.9 -3.9   2.1
Std Dev 1.5   1.8 1.6   2.7 2.0   1.7 2.5   1.8 2.2   2.6 2.5   3.1 4.2   2.5 4.7   3.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-22-17 96 ↓   73 73   91 90   73 70   89 87   70 65   72 73   59 55   65
09-21-17 93 76.6°F 75 76 93.0 °F 91 95 ↓   72 72   90 90   73 70   88 86   69 65   74
09-20-17 76 65.3°F 61 61 85.1 °F 91 92 76.6°F 76 74 93.0 °F 96 91   74 71   89 88   73 68   80
09-19-17 90 63.9°F 67 62 ↑ 90.5 °F 83 81 65.3°F 63 60 85.1 °F 89 91 76.6°F 76 73 93.0 °F 94 91   74 70   94
09-18-17 76 ↓ 66.5°F 66 63 76.5 °F 88 90 63.9°F 66 63 90.5 °F 85 82 65.3°F 62 61 85.1 °F 92 91 76.6°F 73 72 93.0 °F 101
09-17-17 71 ↓ 62.4°F 56 60 70.3 °F 72 79 66.5°F 65 62 76.5 °F 87 88 63.9°F 69 63 90.5 °F 86 81 65.3°F 70 61 85.1 °F 92
09-16-17 72 ↓ 50.4°F 53 50 ↑ 75.3 °F 72 74 62.4°F 57 60 70.3 °F 77 78 66.5°F 64 63 76.5 °F 85 90 63.9°F 68 63 90.5 °F 79
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     33.3     33.3     40.0     0.0     25.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 15.5   3.1 19.8   5.3 16.3   2.4 19.3   5.9 16.7   2.9 21.3   5.2 18.7   4.1 24.2   8.8
Net Error 15.5   -1.2 -19.8   1.1 16.3   -1.5 -19.3   3.7 16.7   -0.3 -21.3   3.0 18.7   1.7 -24.2   1.1
Std Dev 8.7   2.3 10.2   4.0 11.2   1.7 13.0   4.1 14.5   2.7 18.4   5.0 18.7   4.1 24.2   8.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-22-17 73   72 90   90 70   71 87   87 65   70 73   74 55   63 69   65
09-21-17 76 76.6°F 75 95 ↓ 93.0 °F 94 72   75 90   89 70   72 86   89 65   69 76   74
09-20-17 61 65.3°F 65 92 85.1 °F 92 74 76.6°F 75 91 93.0 °F 96 71   75 88   92 68   72 82   90
09-19-17 62 ↑ 63.9°F 67 81 90.5 °F 83 60 65.3°F 62 91 85.1 °F 90 73 76.6°F 74 91 93.0 °F 94 70   74 87   89
09-18-17 63 66.5°F 66 90 76.5 °F 88 63 ↑ 63.9°F 67 82 90.5 °F 84 61 65.3°F 61 91 85.1 °F 90 72 76.6°F 75 89 93.0 °F 102
09-17-17 60 62.4°F 56 79 70.3 °F 73 62 66.5°F 65 88 76.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 69 81 90.5 °F 83 61 65.3°F 65 88 85.1 °F 87
09-16-17 50 ↑ 50.4°F 53 74 75.3 °F 73 60 62.4°F 57 78 70.3 °F 77 63 66.5°F 60 90 76.5 °F 85 63 63.9°F 67 80 90.5 °F 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 2 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1
% Succ 50.0   50.0 33.3   16.7 20.0   40.0 20.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   66.7     33.3
Ave Error 2.2   2.4 7.0   5.3 3.1   3.0 7.1   6.1 3.1   4.6 7.7   5.5 3.3   1.7 5.8   6.1
Net Error -2.2   -0.5 3.4   2.1 -3.1   -1.7 2.9   3.5 -3.1   -2.1 2.0   1.7 -3.3   0.4 -3.9   1.1
Std Dev 1.5   2.3 4.6   4.1 2.4   2.0 5.1   4.2 2.7   4.1 7.3   5.2 3.3   1.7 5.8   6.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-22-17 72 ↑   72 91 ↓   90 70   70 87   86 65   68 73   72 55   62 69   64
09-21-17 76 79.8°F 75 95 ↓ 93.0 °F 93 72   74 90   89 70   71 86   88 65   68 76   73
09-20-17 61 83.0°F 63 92 85.1 °F 92 74 79.8°F 75 91 93.0 °F 97 71   75 88   91 68   72 82   90
09-19-17 62 ↑ 66.5°F 67 81 90.5 °F 83 60 83.0°F 63 91 85.1 °F 90 73 79.8°F 74 91 93.0 °F 94 70   74 87   89
09-18-17 63 80.6°F 66 90 76.5 °F 87 63 ↑ 66.5°F 66 82 90.5 °F 83 61 83.0°F 62 91 85.1 °F 90 72 79.8°F 75 89 93.0 °F 102
09-17-17 60 69.1°F 59 79 70.3 °F 72 62 80.6°F 66 88 76.5 °F 85 63 66.5°F 68 81 90.5 °F 83 61 83.0°F 65 88 85.1 °F 87
09-16-17 50 ↑ 64.6°F 54 74 75.3 °F 73 60 69.1°F 57 78 70.3 °F 75 63 80.6°F 62 90 76.5 °F 84 63 66.5°F 68 80 90.5 °F 82
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1
% Succ     16.7 33.3   33.3     20.0 20.0   0.0     25.0 25.0   25.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 11.9   10.1 7.0   4.8 12.0   10.4 7.1   5.9 12.5   11.7 7.7   5.2 11.1   8.1 5.8   6.5
Net Error -11.9   -9.9 3.4   1.6 -12.0   -10.4 2.9   2.9 -12.5   -11.0 2.0   1.5 -11.1   -7.1 -3.9   0.8
Std Dev 8.2   7.5 4.6   4.1 10.2   9.4 5.1   3.9 11.2   10.6 7.3   5.0 11.1   8.1 5.8   6.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.