SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 19-Aug-2018 2:54 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

113°F at Needles Airport, CA
113°F at Thermal, CA

Low Temp

37°F at Meacham Amos, OR
37°F at Truckee-tahoe, CA

Precipitation

2.96in at Abington, VA

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Saturday,
August 18, 2018

High Temp

92°F at Valentine/Miller Fld, NE

Low Temp

52°F at Alliance/Muni, NE

Precipitation

0.09in at Mccook/Muni, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 19-Aug-2018 02:00 pm

This
afternoon

Rain likely
High: 70°

Tonight

Rain likely
Low: 66°

Monday

Rain likely
High: 70°

Monday
night

Fog late
Low: 61°

Tuesday

Fog a.m.
High: 74°

Tuesday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 57°

Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
High: 76°

Wednesday
night

Mostly Clear
Low: 60°

Thursday

Sunny
High: 77°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 19-Aug-2018 1:59pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Hi 74 °F ↓

Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Lo 65 °F

Monday

Monday: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Hi 76 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Cloudy

Chance Showers And TStorms then Partly Cloudy

Lo 59 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Partly Sunny

Partly Sunny

Hi 79 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 57 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 80 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 61 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 83 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-19-18 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-19-18	67		72	80 ↓		77	65		66	77		68	59		58	79		75	57		59	81		76
08-18-18	65	74.4°F	67	88	92.8 °F	87	67		69	82		78	65		67	78		68	61		55	81		73
08-17-18	65	69.0°F	64	85	89.5 °F	86	64	74.4°F	65	88	92.8 °F	89	67		69	81		78	64		69	79		72
08-16-18	67	66.7°F	67	84	90.7 °F	82	64	69.0°F	66	86	89.5 °F	85	64	74.4°F	65	87	92.8 °F	87	67		70	81		83
08-15-18	65	68.4°F	65	86	84.7 °F	81	64	66.7°F	64	86	90.7 °F	88	64	69.0°F	66	85	89.5 °F	83	64	74.4°F	64	86	92.8 °F	85
08-14-18	68	67.7°F	70	80 ↓	73.9 °F	74	65	68.4°F	67	85	84.7 °F	85	64	66.7°F	66	86	90.7 °F	88	63	69.0°F	69	86	89.5 °F	83
08-13-18	66	72.8°F	69	91 ↓	92.9 °F	88	68	67.7°F	68	81	73.9 °F	72	65	68.4°F	66	84	84.7 °F	80	64	66.7°F	61	86	90.7 °F	82
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	2		1	1		2	1		2	0		1	1		0	0		1	0		0
% Succ	33.3		16.7	33.3		16.7	20.0		40.0	20.0		40.0			25.0	25.0		0.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	4.0		3.7	4.2		4.5	4.4		3.4	4.1		2.6	5.4		3.9	3.9		4.9	6.4		5.4	5.0		7.7
Net Error	-3.8		-2.8	-1.8		-4.4	-4.2		-3.2	-1.1		-2.5	-5.4		-3.9	-3.9		-4.9	-6.4		-5.4	-5.0		-7.7
Std Dev	3.5		2.7	2.5		3.2	3.9		3.5	2.6		1.9	5.3		4.3	3.5		4.3	6.4		5.4	5.0		7.7

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-19-18 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-19-18	67		76	77		66	65		68	76		58	59		75	79		58	57		76	80		63
08-18-18	65	92.8 °F	87	89	71.8°F	70	67		79	80		67	66		69	77		55	60		73	79		58
08-17-18	65	89.5 °F	86	85	66.6°F	64	64	92.8 °F	89	88	71.8°F	69	67		77	82		68	65		71	79		59
08-16-18	67	90.7 °F	82	83	64.6°F	64	63	89.5 °F	85	86	66.6°F	64	64	92.8 °F	88	87	71.8°F	69	67		83	82		70
08-15-18	65	84.7 °F	84	86	67.6°F	65	64	90.7 °F	88	86	64.6°F	67	64	89.5 °F	83	85	66.6°F	64	64	92.8 °F	85	86	71.8°F	68
08-14-18	68	73.9 °F	72	74	67.7°F	65	65	84.7 °F	84	86	67.6°F	64	64	90.7 °F	88	86	64.6°F	69	64	89.5 °F	83	85	66.6°F	63
08-13-18	66 ↑	92.9 °F	89	91 ↓	72.5°F	70	68	73.9 °F	74	81	67.7°F	66	65	84.7 °F	81	84	67.6°F	62	64	90.7 °F	81	86	64.6°F	66
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		1
% Succ			33.3			33.3			40.0			20.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			33.3
Ave Error	21.4		4.1	16.2		2.1	21.5		2.4	17.7		2.6	25.2		4.4	17.9		3.9	27.0		8.0	18.0		2.9
Net Error	-21.4		-4.1	16.2		-2.1	-21.5		-2.3	17.7		-1.7	-25.2		-4.4	17.9		-1.7	-27.0		-8.0	18.0		-2.0
Std Dev	11.2		3.1	7.9		1.1	14.4		1.9	11.4		1.7	21.9		3.8	15.5		3.4	27.0		8.0	18.0		2.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-19-18 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-19-18	77		73	65		65	76		66	59		56	79		74	57		59	80		76	61		60
08-18-18	89	92.8 °F	87	67	70.4°F	68	80		75	66		66	77		74	60		57	79		73	56		57
08-17-18	85	89.5 °F	83	64	65.7°F	63	88	92.8 °F	87	67	70.4°F	69	82		77	65		68	79		72	60		60
08-16-18	83	90.7 °F	82	63	64.0°F	63	86	89.5 °F	85	64	65.7°F	63	87	92.8 °F	86	67	70.4°F	68	82		77	63		66
08-15-18	<85	84.7 °F	81	65	65.8°F	66	85	90.7 °F	82	65	64.0°F	66	85	89.5 °F	83	65	65.7°F	64	85	92.8 °F	84	65	70.4°F	69
08-14-18	74	73.9 °F	73	65	67.2°F	66	86	84.7 °F	82	64	65.8°F	64	86	90.7 °F	87	64	64.0°F	69	85	89.5 °F	81	64	65.7°F	65
08-13-18	91 ↓	92.9 °F	84	68	71.6°F	67	81	73.9 °F	71	65	67.2°F	65	84	84.7 °F	79	64	65.8°F	65	86	90.7 °F	80	65	64.0°F	67
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	3		3	1		0	3		3	1		0	3		2	0		0	2		2
% Succ	33.3		16.7	50.0		50.0	20.0		0.0	60.0		60.0	25.0		0.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	66.7		66.7
Ave Error	17.1		5.8	2.1		2.0	4.5		4.9	2.0		2.0	3.9		5.7	1.5		2.5	5.7		9.3	2.7		1.7
Net Error	-17.1		-5.8	-2.1		-2.0	-1.1		-4.9	-1.6		-1.2	-3.9		-5.7	-1.5		0.0	-5.7		-9.3	-2.0		0.3
Std Dev	30.5		3.4	1.2		1.3	2.9		3.6	1.5		1.3	3.5		4.9	1.6		2.1	5.7		9.3	2.7		1.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-19-18 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-19-18	77		75	65		64	76		66	59		56	79		74	57		59	80		75	61		60
08-18-18	89	92.8 °F	88	67	70.3°F	71	80		75	66		66	77		73	60		58	79		73	56		58
08-17-18	85	89.5 °F	86	64	65.7°F	66	88	92.8 °F	88	67	70.3°F	69	82		77	65		68	79		72	60		60
08-16-18	83	90.7 °F	87	63	64.0°F	67	86	89.5 °F	86	64	65.7°F	65	87	92.8 °F	87	67	70.3°F	69	82		78	63		66
08-15-18	<85	84.7 °F	79	65	65.8°F	65	85	90.7 °F	81	65	64.0°F	66	85	89.5 °F	83	65	65.7°F	65	85	92.8 °F	84	65	70.3°F	69
08-14-18	74	73.9 °F	75	65	67.3°F	68	86	84.7 °F	84	64	65.8°F	66	86	90.7 °F	88	64	64.0°F	69	85	89.5 °F	81	64	65.7°F	65
08-13-18	91 ↓	92.9 °F	89	68	71.6°F	70	81	73.9 °F	73	65	67.3°F	66	84	84.7 °F	80	64	65.8°F	66	86	90.7 °F	80	65	64.0°F	68
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	3		5	1		2	3		5	1		0	3		3	0		0	2		2
% Succ	33.3		16.7	50.0		83.3	20.0		40.0	60.0		100.0	25.0		0.0	75.0		75.0			0.0	66.7		66.7
Ave Error	17.1		3.8	2.1		1.2	4.5		3.9	2.0		1.1	3.9		4.9	1.5		1.8	5.7		9.3	2.7		2.0
Net Error	-17.1		-3.4	-2.1		0.4	-1.1		-3.9	-1.6		-0.2	-3.9		-4.9	-1.5		0.8	-5.7		-9.3	-2.0		0.7
Std Dev	30.5		2.1	1.2		1.0	2.9		3.6	1.5		0.8	3.5		4.3	1.6		1.6	5.7		9.3	2.7		2.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-19-18 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-19-18	74 ↓		70	65		66	76		70	59		61	79		74	57		57	80		76	61		60
08-18-18	89 ↓	92.8 °F	91	67	70.3°F	73	80		80	66		66	77		70	60		56	79		74	56		57
08-17-18	87	89.5 °F	88	64	65.7°F	69	88	92.8 °F	88	67	70.3°F	71	82		76	65		67	79		74	60		61
08-16-18	83	90.7 °F	89	63	64.0°F	69	86	89.5 °F	87	64	65.7°F	67	87	92.8 °F	89	67	70.3°F	69	82		75	63		70
08-15-18	82	84.7 °F	79	65	65.8°F	65	86	90.7 °F	81	65	64.0°F	66	85	89.5 °F	83	64	65.7°F	65	87	92.8 °F	84	66	70.3°F	69
08-14-18	74	73.9 °F	76	65	67.3°F	67	86	84.7 °F	86	64	65.8°F	66	86	90.7 °F	90	64	64.0°F	68	85	89.5 °F	86	64	65.7°F	66
08-13-18	91 ↓	92.9 °F	94	68	71.6°F	70	81	73.9 °F	74	65	67.3°F	69	84	84.7 °F	81	64	65.8°F	65	86	90.7 °F	83	65	64.0°F	67
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	3		3	1		2	3		5	1		1	3		3	0		0	2		2
% Succ	33.3		66.7	50.0		50.0	20.0		40.0	60.0		100.0	25.0		25.0	75.0		75.0			0.0	66.7		66.7
Ave Error	3.1		2.3	2.1		2.3	4.3		3.7	2.0		1.2	3.9		3.7	1.7		1.7	5.0		6.7	2.3		1.5
Net Error	-3.1		-1.3	-2.1		1.4	-0.9		-3.1	-1.6		1.2	-3.9		-3.7	-1.7		0.3	-5.0		-6.7	-1.7		0.7
Std Dev	2.6		1.7	1.2		1.8	2.7		3.6	1.5		0.9	3.5		3.2	1.7		1.5	5.0		6.7	2.3		1.5

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-18-18 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-18-18	89		74	67		78	80 ↓		66	65		68	77		56	59		74	79		57	57		76
08-17-18	87	65.7°F	67	65	89.5 °F	88	88		69	67		78	82		66	65		74	78		61	61		76
08-16-18	85	64.0°F	69	65	90.7 °F	88	85	65.7°F	68	64	89.5 °F	89	88		69	67		75	81		70	64		78
08-15-18	82 ↓	65.8°F	68	67	84.7 °F	82	84	64.0°F	66	64	90.7 °F	85	86	65.7°F	65	64	89.5 °F	86	87		69	67		76
08-14-18	74	67.3°F	67	65	73.9 °F	86	86	65.8°F	66	64	84.7 °F	88	86	64.0°F	69	64	90.7 °F	85	85	65.7°F	65	64	89.5 °F	84
08-13-18	91 ↓	71.6°F	68	68	92.9 °F	72	80 ↓	67.3°F	68	65	73.9 °F	81	85	65.8°F	65	64	84.7 °F	83	86	64.0°F	67	63	90.7 °F	81
08-12-18	92 ↓	68.9°F	71	66	92.9 °F	89	89	71.6°F	70	68	92.9 °F	75	81	67.3°F	65	65	73.9 °F	83	85	65.8°F	64	64	84.7 °F	85
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		1	0		4	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		2	0		1
% Succ			33.3			16.7			80.0			20.0			50.0			25.0			66.7			33.3
Ave Error	18.0		2.4	21.4		7.3	17.9		1.4	21.3		6.9	18.8		2.2	20.5		5.0	20.2		1.8	24.6		5.2
Net Error	18.0		1.1	-21.4		-3.3	17.9		0.7	-21.3		-2.7	18.8		0.3	-20.5		-0.5	20.2		0.2	-24.6		-5.0
Std Dev	8.9		1.8	10.6		7.5	11.4		1.1	13.8		5.5	16.3		2.0	17.9		4.4	20.2		1.8	24.6		5.2

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-18-18 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-18-18	67		72	80 ↓		77	65		65	77		69	59		58	79		76	57		58	81		78
08-17-18	65	65.7°F	70	88	89.5 °F	89	67		70	82		81	65		69	78		72	61		59	81		75
08-16-18	65	64.0°F	67	85	90.7 °F	87	64	65.7°F	66	88	89.5 °F	86	67		69	81		79	64		68	79		73
08-15-18	67	65.8°F	69	84	84.7 °F	83	64	64.0°F	67	86	90.7 °F	85	64	65.7°F	67	87	89.5 °F	86	67		70	81		82
08-14-18	65	67.3°F	67	86	73.9 °F	85	64	65.8°F	64	86	84.7 °F	87	64	64.0°F	69	85	90.7 °F	86	64	65.7°F	66	86	89.5 °F	85
08-13-18	68	71.6°F	69	80 ↓	92.9 °F	72	65	67.3°F	67	85	73.9 °F	81	64	65.8°F	65	86	84.7 °F	85	63	64.0°F	70	86	90.7 °F	83
08-12-18	66	68.9°F	71	89	92.9 °F	89	68	71.6°F	69	81	92.9 °F	73	65	67.3°F	67	85	73.9 °F	83	64	65.8°F	68	86	84.7 °F	85
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		1	2		2	3		3	2		0	3		3	1		1	3		1	1		1
% Succ	50.0		16.7	33.3		33.3	60.0		60.0	40.0		0.0	75.0		75.0	25.0		25.0	100.0		33.3	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	2.0		2.6	6.1		7.0	1.9		1.6	6.1		7.7	1.5		1.9	5.2		4.4	1.5		2.8	3.2		4.2
Net Error	-1.2		1.6	-2.1		-3.3	-1.9		-0.3	-1.1		-3.9	-1.5		1.3	1.1		0.3	-1.5		2.8	-2.3		-4.0
Std Dev	1.3		1.6	5.3		7.5	1.5		1.3	4.9		5.8	1.3		1.6	4.7		3.8	1.5		2.8	3.2		4.2

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-18-18 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
08-18-18	67		71	80 ↓		77	65		65	77		68	59		58	79		75	57		59	81		77
08-17-18	65	75.8°F	68	88	89.5 °F	88	67		70	82		81	65		68	78		72	61		59	81		75
08-16-18	65	72.8°F	68	85	90.7 °F	87	64	75.8°F	67	88	89.5 °F	86	67		70	81		79	64		68	79		73
08-15-18	67	72.2°F	68	84	84.7 °F	82	64	72.8°F	66	86	90.7 °F	84	64	75.8°F	66	87	89.5 °F	86	67		70	81		82
08-14-18	65	70.7°F	67	86	73.9 °F	84	64	72.2°F	66	86	84.7 °F	88	64	72.8°F	69	85	90.7 °F	85	64	75.8°F	66	86	89.5 °F	85
08-13-18	68	69.8°F	69	80 ↓	92.9 °F	73	65	70.7°F	68	85	73.9 °F	82	64	72.2°F	65	86	84.7 °F	85	63	72.8°F	70	86	90.7 °F	84
08-12-18	66	74.3°F	69	89	92.9 °F	90	68	69.8°F	68	81	92.9 °F	72	65	70.7°F	67	85	73.9 °F	83	64	72.2°F	68	86	84.7 °F	85
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	2		1	1		1	2		0	0		0	1		1	0		0	1		1
% Succ	16.7		16.7	33.3		16.7	20.0		20.0	40.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	6.6		4.4	6.1		6.8	7.3		5.3	6.1		8.5	8.6		6.1	5.2		4.7	9.9		5.6	3.2		3.8
Net Error	-6.6		-4.4	-2.1		-3.4	-7.3		-5.3	-1.1		-3.9	-8.6		-6.1	1.1		0.0	-9.9		-5.6	-2.3		-3.6
Std Dev	3.8		2.7	5.3		6.9	5.1		3.8	4.9		6.3	7.6		5.6	4.7		4.1	9.9		5.6	3.2		3.8

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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