Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 24-Jun-2018 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 89°
Tonight

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 70°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 76°
Monday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 66°
Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 83°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 64°
Wednesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 87°
Wednesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 72°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Hot!
Mostly Sunny
Hot!
High: 96°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 24-Jun-2018 1:36pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 86 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Lo 67 °F
Monday

Monday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 82 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 66 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 90 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 68 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 94 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 73 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 94 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-24-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-24-18 67   67 85   86 67   68 82   80 66   67 90   87 68   67 94   88
06-23-18 61 71.4°F 58 83 88.7 °F 81 65   64 85   85 67   66 84   78 67   66 90   89
06-22-18 59 60.2°F 62 76 71.2 °F 77 62 71.4°F 61 81 88.7 °F 81 64   64 87   83 67   68 82   78
06-21-18 61 63.1°F 61 70 71.8 °F 74 61 60.2°F 62 77 71.2 °F 77 60 71.4°F 61 81 88.7 °F 79 63   62 83   82
06-20-18 68 62.9°F 60 76 82.0 °F 71 64 63.1°F 61 71 71.8 °F 73 61 60.2°F 61 78 71.2 °F 76 60 71.4°F 62 81 88.7 °F 82
06-19-18 73 65.8°F 70 86 91.9 °F 86 68 62.9°F 69 79 82.0 °F 73 64 63.1°F 63 74 71.8 °F 73 62 60.2°F 62 77 71.2 °F 76
06-18-18 77 72.5°F 72 94 94.8 °F 93 71 65.8°F 72 84 91.9 °F 87 68 62.9°F 69 79 82.0 °F 76 65 63.1°F 68 78 71.8 °F 77
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 0 1 2 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   33.3 33.3   16.7 40.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 50.0   50.0     25.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 5.1   4.2 4.2   5.7 4.3   5.3 5.0   5.7 4.6   4.4 4.9   5.4 5.0   5.4 6.6   5.6
Net Error 0.5   -2.2 -2.6   -3.1 0.5   0.3 -2.7   -2.9 -1.2   -0.9 -0.4   -2.4 -2.6   -0.9 1.4   1.1
Std Dev 3.7   4.4 2.3   3.6 4.2   4.6 3.9   4.2 5.2   4.8 4.5   5.2 5.0   5.4 6.6   5.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-24-18 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-24-18 67   84 85   67 67   79 82   67 66   86 90   66 68   88 94   73
06-23-18 61 88.7 °F 80 82 67.2°F 64 65   82 84   66 66   78 84   66 66   89 90   70
06-22-18 59 71.2 °F 77 76 60.2°F 62 62 88.7 °F 81 81 67.2°F 63 64   83 87   68 67   78 82   69
06-21-18 61 71.8 °F 74 70 61.5°F 64 59 ↑ 71.2 °F 77 78 60.2°F 62 61 88.7 °F 79 80 67.2°F 62 63   82 84   62
06-20-18 66 82.0 °F 68 76 60.8°F 59 62 71.8 °F 72 74 61.5°F 60 61 71.2 °F 75 79 60.2°F 61 62 88.7 °F 82 83 67.2°F 65
06-19-18 72 91.9 °F 86 89 ↓ 65.7°F 69 68 82.0 °F 73 79 60.8°F 63 64 71.8 °F 73 74 61.5°F 62 62 71.2 °F 76 77 60.2°F 61
06-18-18 77 ↑ 94.8 °F 96 92 ↓ 72.4°F 74 71 91.9 °F 87 87 65.7°F 70 68 82.0 °F 76 78 60.8°F 69 64 71.8 °F 78 77 61.5°F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1
% Succ     16.7     50.0     20.0     40.0     25.0     50.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 17.4   6.3 16.2   2.4 16.7   5.5 16.7   2.8 14.9   5.2 15.3   3.7 14.6   5.9 16.0   2.5
Net Error -17.4   -3.2 16.2   0.7 -16.7   -3.1 16.7   0.5 -14.9   -2.7 15.3   1.1 -14.6   1.4 16.0   1.0
Std Dev 9.0   4.5 7.9   1.1 12.1   4.3 10.8   2.0 14.4   5.0 13.3   3.3 14.6   5.9 16.0   2.5

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-24-18 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-24-18 86   86 67   66 82   73 66   66 90   81 68   64 94   88 73   72
06-23-18 82 88.7 °F 79 65 67.3°F 62 84 ↓   80 66   66 84   75 66   66 90   85 69   69
06-22-18 76 ↓ 71.2 °F 75 62 60.2°F 59 81 88.7 °F 81 64 67.3°F 62 87   83 67   65 82   77 67   66
06-21-18 70 71.8 °F 72 59 ↑ 61.4°F 63 78 71.2 °F 77 61 60.2°F 60 80 88.7 °F 81 63 67.3°F 65 84   81 66   64
06-20-18 76 82.0 °F 72 62 60.8°F 60 74 71.8 °F 72 61 61.4°F 61 79 71.2 °F 75 62 60.2°F 60 83 88.7 °F 72 63 67.3°F 63
06-19-18 89 ↓ 91.9 °F 85 68 65.7°F 68 79 82.0 °F 72 64 60.8°F 61 74 71.8 °F 71 62 61.4°F 64 77 71.2 °F 77 61 60.2°F 65
06-18-18 92 ↓ 94.8 °F 92 71 72.0°F 72 87 ↓ 91.9 °F 84 68 65.7°F 70 78 82.0 °F 76 64 60.8°F 65 77 71.8 °F 81 63 61.4°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 4 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   66.7     20.0 40.0   60.0     25.0 50.0   25.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 4.2   5.6 1.8   1.9 4.9   6.3 2.0   2.1 5.7   4.6 2.5   2.3 5.6   10.6 2.2   4.2
Net Error -2.6   -4.2 -0.1   -0.6 -1.3   -3.9 0.5   -0.3 -0.7   -2.7 0.3   1.1 1.8   -0.6 -0.6   1.4
Std Dev 2.4   4.1 0.9   1.7 3.7   4.9 1.7   2.3 5.1   4.3 2.3   2.0 5.6   10.6 2.2   4.2

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-24-18 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-24-18 86   87 67   66 82   73 66   66 90   81 68   64 94   88 73   72
06-23-18 82 88.7 °F 82 65 67.3°F 63 84 ↓   80 66   67 84   75 66   66 90   85 69   69
06-22-18 76 ↓ 71.2 °F 75 62 60.2°F 58 81 88.7 °F 82 64 67.3°F 63 87   84 67   66 82   77 67   66
06-21-18 70 71.8 °F 75 59 ↑ 61.4°F 63 78 71.2 °F 79 61 60.2°F 60 80 88.7 °F 83 63 67.3°F 65 84   82 66   64
06-20-18 76 82.0 °F 76 62 60.8°F 62 74 71.8 °F 74 61 61.4°F 64 79 71.2 °F 77 62 60.2°F 61 83 88.7 °F 73 63 67.3°F 64
06-19-18 88 91.9 °F 84 68 65.7°F 66 79 82.0 °F 70 64 60.8°F 61 74 71.8 °F 71 62 61.4°F 62 77 71.2 °F 75 61 60.2°F 63
06-18-18 92 ↓ 94.8 °F 94 71 72.0°F 72 87 ↓ 91.9 °F 85 68 65.7°F 71 78 82.0 °F 76 64 60.8°F 64 77 71.8 °F 82 63 61.4°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 4 0 0 2 2 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   66.7     0.0 40.0   40.0     25.0 50.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 4.3   4.7 1.8   1.6 4.9   7.1 2.0   2.5 5.7   4.6 2.5   1.7 5.6   9.9 2.2   3.2
Net Error -2.7   -2.4 -0.1   -0.6 -1.3   -3.1 0.5   0.7 -0.7   -1.7 0.3   0.6 1.8   -0.6 -0.6   1.0
Std Dev 2.4   2.6 0.9   1.4 3.7   5.0 1.7   2.1 5.1   4.0 2.3   1.5 5.6   9.9 2.2   3.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-24-18 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-24-18 86   89 67   70 82   76 66   66 90   83 68   64 94   87 73   72
06-23-18 82 88.7 °F 86 65 67.3°F 69 84 ↓   83 66   67 84   78 66   66 90   85 69   65
06-22-18 74 71.2 °F 72 61 60.2°F 57 81 88.7 °F 81 64 67.3°F 63 87   80 67   68 82   81 67   68
06-21-18 68 71.8 °F 75 59 61.4°F 63 75 71.2 °F 78 61 60.2°F 62 81 88.7 °F 78 63 67.3°F 62 85   80 67   68
06-20-18 75 82.0 °F 79 62 60.8°F 64 74 71.8 °F 77 61 61.4°F 65 79 71.2 °F 75 62 60.2°F 60 83 88.7 °F 76 63 67.3°F 61
06-19-18 88 91.9 °F 87 68 65.7°F 68 79 82.0 °F 72 64 60.8°F 61 74 71.8 °F 66 62 61.4°F 61 77 71.2 °F 79 61 60.2°F 63
06-18-18 92 ↓ 94.8 °F 94 71 72.0°F 74 87 ↓ 91.9 °F 83 68 65.7°F 72 78 82.0 °F 79 64 60.8°F 69 77 71.8 °F 73 63 61.4°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 3 3 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 1 2 0
% Succ     33.3 50.0   50.0     0.0 40.0   40.0     0.0 50.0   50.0     33.3 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 4.5   2.6 1.7   2.3 4.3   7.7 2.0   3.2 5.4   5.8 2.5   3.5 5.6   7.2 2.2   4.2
Net Error -3.6   -1.2 -0.2   1.3 -1.9   -2.9 0.5   1.5 -0.4   -3.9 0.3   0.6 1.8   -1.2 -0.6   0.0
Std Dev 2.4   1.6 0.9   1.1 3.3   5.0 1.7   2.2 4.8   5.6 2.3   3.2 5.6   7.2 2.2   4.2

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-23-18 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-23-18 82   71 67   83 82 ↓   68 66   78 83   66 66   86 90   65 68   89
06-22-18 72 ↓ 60.3°F 59 61 71.2 °F 81 83   63 65   80 85   68 67   81 84   68 67   86
06-21-18 69 ↓ 61.4°F 64 59 71.8 °F 79 75 60.3°F 64 61 71.2 °F 79 81   62 63   80 85   68 67   74
06-20-18 76 ↓ 60.8°F 66 61 82.0 °F 78 70 61.4°F 62 61 71.8 °F 73 77 60.3°F 59 60 71.2 °F 76 81   61 63   85
06-19-18 88 ↓ 65.7°F 69 69 91.9 °F 72 76 60.8°F 62 64 82.0 °F 67 71 61.4°F 61 61 71.8 °F 78 78 60.3°F 64 60 71.2 °F 78
06-18-18 92 ↓ 72.0°F 70 73 94.8 °F 83 86 65.7°F 72 68 91.9 °F 79 79 60.8°F 69 64 82.0 °F 73 74 61.4°F 65 62 71.8 °F 77
06-17-18 95 ↓ 75.9°F 73 76 ↑ 93.3 °F 95 94 72.0°F 72 71 94.8 °F 87 84 65.7°F 70 68 91.9 °F 83 79 60.8°F 71 65 82.0 °F 84
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ     33.3     16.7     60.0     20.0     50.0     0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 16.0   2.9 17.7   9.1 16.2   2.4 17.3   8.9 15.7   3.6 16.0   7.2 16.2   5.8 12.7   4.7
Net Error 16.0   0.8 -17.7   -2.8 16.2   2.4 -17.3   -5.3 15.7   2.7 -16.0   -1.7 16.2   5.8 -12.7   4.7
Std Dev 8.2   1.7 8.6   6.3 10.8   1.9 11.8   7.2 13.6   3.3 14.0   6.4 16.2   5.8 12.7   4.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-23-18 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-23-18 67   72 82 ↓   85 66   70 83   78 66   66 90   86 68   66 94   88
06-22-18 61 60.3°F 61 83 71.2 °F 84 65   64 85   80 67   67 84   83 67   69 90   89
06-21-18 59 61.4°F 62 75 71.8 °F 76 61 60.3°F 61 81 71.2 °F 83 63   63 85   88 67   70 82   76
06-20-18 61 60.8°F 61 70 82.0 °F 73 61 61.4°F 61 77 71.8 °F 76 60 60.3°F 60 81 71.2 °F 73 63   61 83   80
06-19-18 69 65.7°F 62 76 91.9 °F 72 64 60.8°F 62 71 82.0 °F 67 61 61.4°F 61 78 71.8 °F 76 60 60.3°F 61 81 71.2 °F 80
06-18-18 73 72.0°F 68 86 94.8 °F 87 68 65.7°F 70 79 91.9 °F 76 64 60.8°F 63 74 82.0 °F 79 62 61.4°F 65 77 71.8 °F 77
06-17-18 76 ↑ 75.9°F 74 94 93.3 °F 95 71 72.0°F 72 84 94.8 °F 81 68 65.7°F 72 79 91.9 °F 77 65 60.8°F 70 78 82.0 °F 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 4 1 1 3 4 0 0 2 2 0 1 2 1 0 1
% Succ 66.7   66.7 16.7   16.7 60.0   80.0     0.0 50.0   50.0     25.0 66.7   33.3     33.3
Ave Error 1.3   1.9 8.7   9.2 1.5   1.3 9.9   12.1 1.6   2.3 9.2   6.0 1.7   4.5 6.3   5.0
Net Error 0.5   -1.4 -3.5   -3.0 1.0   1.2 -3.9   -5.7 1.2   2.0 -1.2   -3.0 1.5   4.5 3.7   5.0
Std Dev 1.2   1.7 5.5   6.3 1.4   1.0 6.7   8.6 1.5   2.2 8.0   5.6 1.7   4.5 6.3   5.0

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-23-18 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-23-18 67   70 82 ↓   84 66   68 83   79 66   66 90   85 68   66 94   87
06-22-18 61 75.5°F 60 83 71.2 °F 83 65   64 85   80 67   67 84   82 67   68 90   89
06-21-18 59 62.7°F 62 75 71.8 °F 76 61 75.5°F 60 81 71.2 °F 83 63   63 85   88 67   70 82   77
06-20-18 61 65.2°F 60 70 82.0 °F 73 61 62.7°F 61 77 71.8 °F 76 60 75.5°F 60 81 71.2 °F 73 63   61 83   80
06-19-18 68 65.6°F 62 76 91.9 °F 73 64 65.2°F 62 71 82.0 °F 72 61 62.7°F 62 78 71.8 °F 77 60 75.5°F 62 81 71.2 °F 81
06-18-18 73 68.4°F 69 86 94.8 °F 90 68 65.6°F 72 79 91.9 °F 78 64 65.2°F 63 74 82.0 °F 79 62 62.7°F 65 77 71.8 °F 77
06-17-18 76 ↑ 75.3°F 74 94 93.3 °F 94 71 68.4°F 72 84 94.8 °F 83 68 65.6°F 71 79 91.9 °F 76 65 65.2°F 70 78 82.0 °F 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 1 1 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 1
% Succ 16.7   50.0 16.7   16.7 40.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   25.0     25.0 66.7   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 5.0   4.5 8.7   8.2 4.5   6.1 9.9   10.3 5.2   6.0 9.2   6.5 5.5   6.9 6.3   5.3
Net Error -2.5   -4.3 -3.5   -2.7 -2.5   -2.1 -3.9   -3.9 -4.0   -3.3 -1.2   -3.0 -5.5   -2.1 3.7   5.3
Std Dev 4.6   5.4 5.5   6.1 5.6   6.2 6.7   7.1 6.8   7.0 8.0   6.1 5.5   6.9 6.3   5.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.