Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 04-Feb-2025 08:00 pm

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 18°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 41°
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 26°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 46°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 19°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 42°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 29°
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 39°
Saturday
night
Cloudy
Cold!
Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 21°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 04-Feb-2025 6:36pm CST

Tonight

Tonight: Cloudy
Cloudy

Lo 21 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Slight Chance Freezing Drizzle
Slight Chance Freezing Drizzle

Hi 33 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 25 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 44 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 22 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 43 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 26 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny
Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny

Hi 39 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 15 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-04-25 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-04-25 18   13 33   34 23   23 37   37 24   25 42   44 20   19 43   41
02-03-25 36 16.1°F 41 45 52.3 °F 56 20   25 37   40 25   28 35   39 20   24 39   45
02-02-25 33 46.7°F 37 59 64.1 °F 64 38 16.1°F 42 48 52.3 °F 59 20   26 36   36 21   25 36   38
02-01-25 29 40.8°F 34 50 45.0 °F 54 35 46.7°F 39 60 64.1 °F 61 30 16.1°F 33 47 52.3 °F 51 19   27 36   41
01-31-25 32 31.0°F 34 51 53.7 °F 48 30 40.8°F 29 53 45.0 °F 56 35 46.7°F 38 59 64.1 °F 57 27 16.1°F 27 43 52.3 °F 43
01-30-25 28 43.8°F 31 49 47.7 °F 63 32 31.0°F 38 51 53.7 °F 51 30 40.8°F 28 55 45.0 °F 57 37 46.7°F 34 60 64.1 °F 55
01-29-25 28 33.4°F 34 54 59.7 °F 68 30 43.8°F 47 49 47.7 °F 66 32 31.0°F 43 47 53.7 °F 50 31 40.8°F 30 56 45.0 °F 57
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 16.7   16.7 20.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 11.3   9.6 4.5   7.0 11.8   11.1 4.1   8.4 9.4   12.6 6.8   6.0 10.1   11.5 8.1   10.1
Net Error -4.3   -0.1 -2.4   5.1 -2.7   3.3 -0.4   6.0 -1.9   1.9 -1.8   -0.0 -2.9   -4.2 -0.8   -2.1
Std Dev 7.5   8.0 2.7   5.5 8.7   9.8 3.1   6.0 8.4   11.1 5.9   5.7 10.1   11.5 8.1   10.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 64 ↑   80 80   63 67   81 87   72 70   86 87   72 72   89 89   70
09-07-19 60 78.7 °F 82 82 64.7°F 63 63   80 79   63 65   85 86   71 70   88 87   72
09-06-19 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 91 84 64.9°F 64 62 ↑ 78.7 °F 84 84 64.7°F 65 63   75 80   61 66   85 87   70
09-05-19 65 ↑ 96.4 °F 95 94 ↓ 69.5°F 66 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 87 85 64.9°F 62 62 78.7 °F 84 82 64.7°F 64 64   77 80   64
09-04-19 55 ↑ 81.3 °F 84 81 65.5°F 60 65 96.4 °F 93 93 69.5°F 64 66 85.5 °F 86 87 64.9°F 60 63 78.7 °F 79 83 64.7°F 63
09-03-19 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 92 87 ↓ 55.9°F 62 56 ↑ 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 59 65 96.4 °F 93 92 69.5°F 65 65 85.5 °F 86 86 64.9°F 60
09-02-19 66 90.0 °F 89 89 76.3°F 71 72 83.0 °F 89 88 55.9°F 59 57 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 62 65 96.4 °F 94 89 69.5°F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1
% Succ     33.3     33.3     20.0     20.0     25.0     25.0     66.7     33.3
Ave Error 22.2   3.8 20.0   3.8 21.0   4.0 22.1   3.7 23.0   3.2 19.4   3.4 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4
Net Error -22.2   3.0 20.0   -1.8 -21.0   2.6 22.1   -2.3 -23.0   1.5 19.4   -3.4 -22.5   -0.5 19.6   -4.4
Std Dev 10.9   2.9 9.8   2.4 14.2   2.8 14.1   2.9 20.1   3.0 16.8   3.2 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 80   80 67   64 87   82 70   72 87   92 72   72 89   89 71   72
09-07-19 82 78.7 °F 82 63 63.8°F 65 79   80 65   67 86   83 70   71 87   88 70   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 85.5 °F 94 65 ↑ 63.9°F 67 85 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 64 82   82 64   64 80   79 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 60 93 85.5 °F 94 66 63.9°F 65 87 78.7 °F 86 63 63.8°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 59 92 85.5 °F 93 65 63.9°F 63 86 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 59
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 88 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 89 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 85.5 °F 92 63 63.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 83 69 69.1°F 65 90 83.0 °F 88 74 55.9°F 74 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 5 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 4 2 0 0 2 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 83.3   16.7 20.0   0.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 100.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 4.2   3.6 3.2   5.6 4.8   5.5 4.6   5.7 5.1   4.9 0.7   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4
Net Error 1.8   2.9 2.6   2.4 3.5   4.7 3.7   3.1 2.4   3.9 -0.1   -0.4 1.5   5.8 -4.4   -3.4
Std Dev 3.0   2.9 5.8   5.3 3.9   4.0 3.9   4.9 4.7   4.4 0.6   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   81 63   65 79   78 65   64 86   82 70   70 87   86 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 84 62 ↑ 63.9°F 60 84   81 63   62 80   72 66   61 87   84 68   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 83.0 °F 96 65 ↑ 55.9°F 67 85 85.5 °F 87 62 63.9°F 65 82   82 64   64 80   78 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 83 65 65.5°F 63 93 83.0 °F 93 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 64 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 64 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 60
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 87 72 55.9°F 71 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 88 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 85 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 89 74 55.9°F 73 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 85 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 4 0 2 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 66.7   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.3   3.4 4.7   7.1 4.2   4.9 6.3   6.9 4.0   3.8 2.7   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2
Net Error 1.4   2.9 3.7   4.2 2.6   3.6 5.3   5.1 1.3   2.8 1.9   1.9 0.1   4.4 -1.8   -0.4
Std Dev 3.9   4.5 6.0   5.2 4.4   4.2 5.4   5.3 3.7   3.7 2.5   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   78 63   63 79   80 65   65 86   83 70   70 87   87 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 85 62 ↑ 63.9°F 62 84   81 63   63 80   71 66   62 87   81 68   70
09-05-19 94 83.0 °F 95 65 ↑ 55.9°F 69 85 85.5 °F 88 62 63.9°F 64 82   84 64   66 80   80 65   67
09-04-19 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 82 65 65.5°F 62 93 83.0 °F 94 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 63 83   81 62   64
09-03-19 87 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 56 ↑ 55.9°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 65 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 61
09-02-19 90 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 83.0 °F 88 57 55.9°F 60 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 64
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 82 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 86 74 55.9°F 71 86 83.0 °F 87 56 55.9°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 1 2 0 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   16.7 40.0   0.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.4   5.0 4.6   6.8 4.6   4.8 6.3   6.6 3.5   4.3 2.7   4.7 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8
Net Error 2.9   3.9 3.8   4.3 4.2   4.8 5.4   4.8 3.3   4.3 2.0   2.0 0.1   4.1 -1.8   0.6
Std Dev 4.0   4.5 6.0   6.0 4.6   4.4 5.4   5.3 3.1   4.2 2.5   4.4 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   64 64   78 79   65 66   81 87   69 70   86 88   72 72   88
09-06-19 84 ↓ 63.9°F 62 61 85.5 °F 81 81   63 62   71 78   62 65   81 87   70 68   85
09-05-19 94 55.9°F 71 65 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 85 63.9°F 65 62 85.5 °F 84 84   66 64   80 81   67 66   84
09-04-19 82 ↓ 65.5°F 62 65 81.3 °F 92 93 55.9°F 65 63 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 63 62 85.5 °F 81 83   64 64   76
09-03-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 60 55 ↑ 83.0 °F 84 80 65.5°F 61 63 81.3 °F 93 93 55.9°F 65 66 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 61 62 85.5 °F 74
09-02-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 72 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 86 ↓ 55.9°F 59 53 83.0 °F 84 81 65.5°F 61 64 81.3 °F 92 91 55.9°F 64 64 83.0 °F 87
09-01-19 82 69.1°F 68 67 84.8 °F 87 89 55.9°F 71 73 83.0 °F 87 87 55.9°F 60 57 83.0 °F 84 78 65.5°F 62 61 81.3 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     33.3     16.7     20.0     40.0     25.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 26.0   7.0 19.4   4.7 27.2   6.6 20.4   4.2 26.5   4.7 21.0   4.8 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4
Net Error 26.0   4.8 -19.4   3.2 27.2   4.8 -20.4   3.6 26.5   2.0 -21.0   2.6 23.2   0.6 -20.9   1.7
Std Dev 13.4   6.4 9.5   3.5 18.8   5.0 13.0   4.5 23.0   4.4 18.2   4.2 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   80 66   66 87   81 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 63.9°F 64 81 85.5 °F 79 62 ↑   63 78   76 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   89
09-05-19 65 ↑ 65.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 90 62 63.9°F 67 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 64 93 83.0 °F 92 63 ↑ 65.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 85 62 63.9°F 62 83 85.5 °F 81 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 56.3°F 61 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 61 93 83.0 °F 94 66 65.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 87 62 63.9°F 61 81 85.5 °F 78
09-02-19 71 ↑ 73.0°F 73 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 89 53 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 65.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 69.1°F 67 89 84.8 °F 87 73 ↑ 73.0°F 71 87 90.0 °F 86 57 56.3°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3     16.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.9   3.7 7.5   5.2 2.9   2.8 7.0   7.0 2.9   2.5 8.5   7.5 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6
Net Error 0.1   3.0 -2.8   -1.5 -0.0   2.0 -3.0   -2.6 2.0   1.0 -4.5   -2.5 0.7   0.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 3.1   3.4 4.3   3.2 2.7   2.4 5.5   5.7 2.6   2.1 7.9   6.7 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   83 66   68 87   83 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 67.2°F 62 81 85.5 °F 81 62 ↑   63 78   75 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   88
09-05-19 65 ↑ 67.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 88 62 67.2°F 65 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 93 63 ↑ 67.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 62 83 85.5 °F 82 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 68.7°F 60 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 95 66 67.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 61 81 85.5 °F 77
09-02-19 71 ↑ 69.4°F 74 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 53 ↑ 68.7°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 67.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 55.9°F 68 89 83.0 °F 88 73 ↑ 69.4°F 71 87 90.0 °F 87 57 68.7°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0     16.7     20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.3   6.9 7.8   5.7 7.1   4.1 7.0   6.8 6.5   5.0 8.5   7.5 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3
Net Error -0.0   2.3 -2.5   -0.7 -2.9   -1.1 -3.0   -2.0 -2.5   -3.5 -4.5   -2.5 -1.1   -1.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 5.1   3.3 4.4   3.9 4.8   3.0 5.5   5.7 5.7   4.4 7.9   6.8 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.