SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

86°F

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 23-Sep-2017 11:19 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

103°F at Key West/Nas, FL

Low Temp

22°F at Lakeview (awos), OR

Precipitation

3.33in at Hayward, WI

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Friday,
September 22, 2017

High Temp

99°F at Lexington, NE
99°F at Mccook/Muni, NE

Low Temp

41°F at Chadron/Muni, NE

Precipitation

0.44in at Ainsworth/Muni, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 23-Sep-2017 11:00 am

This
afternoon

Mostly Cloudy
High: 91°

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 72°

Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 88°

Sunday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 70°

Monday

Thunder storm
High: 74°

Monday
night

Rain likely
Low: 67°

Tuesday

Fog a.m.
High: 70°

Tuesday
night

Fog late
Low: 55°

Wednesday

Fog a.m.
High: 71°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 23-Sep-2017 10:35am CDT

Today

Mostly Sunny

Hi 91 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 70 °F ↑

Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 88 °F ↓

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 63 °F

Monday

Monday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 71 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 54 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 68 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy

Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy

Lo 47 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 71 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-23-17 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-23-17	75 ↑		72	91 ↓		91	70		71	87		88	65		68	73		72	55		63	69		67
09-22-17	76 ↑	77.2°F	75	95 ↓	95.9 °F	94	72		73	90		92	70		70	86		88	65		70	76		73
09-21-17	61	80.5°F	64	92	93.0 °F	91	74	77.2°F	74	91	95.9 °F	94	71		74	88		91	68		73	82		88
09-20-17	62 ↑	65.9°F	69	81	85.1 °F	85	60	80.5°F	66	91	93.0 °F	92	73	77.2°F	76	91	95.9 °F	94	70		75	87		92
09-19-17	63	79.7°F	66	90	90.5 °F	86	63 ↑	65.9°F	66	82	85.1 °F	83	61	80.5°F	62	91	93.0 °F	88	72	77.2°F	72	89	95.9 °F	95
09-18-17	60	66.5°F	62	79	76.5 °F	70	62	79.7°F	65	88	90.5 °F	86	63	65.9°F	66	81	85.1 °F	81	61	80.5°F	58	88	93.0 °F	85
09-17-17	50 ↑	62.5°F	53	74	70.3 °F	74	60	66.5°F	55	78	76.5 °F	74	63	79.7°F	62	90	90.5 °F	87	63	65.9°F	68	80	85.1 °F	83
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	3		3	0		1	2		2	0		2	2		1	0		0	0		1
% Succ	16.7		0.0	50.0		50.0			20.0	40.0		40.0			50.0	50.0		25.0			0.0			33.3
Ave Error	10.1		8.3	2.1		3.1	10.2		8.8	2.8		2.4	10.8		9.4	2.9		3.6	9.2		9.9	5.7		3.7
Net Error	-10.1		-7.2	-0.0		-1.9	-10.2		-8.8	-2.2		-2.4	-10.8		-9.3	-2.9		-3.6	-9.2		-8.5	-5.7		-3.7
Std Dev	7.8		6.4	1.5		2.4	9.1		7.7	2.0		1.7	9.9		9.1	2.7		3.3	9.2		9.9	5.7		3.7

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-23-17 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-23-17	75 ↑		91	91		71	70 ↑		88	88		68	63		72	71		63	54		67	68		55
09-22-17	76 ↑	95.9 °F	94	95 ↓	74.4°F	73	74 ↑		91	90		69	71		85	86		68	66		72	76		65
09-21-17	61	93.0 °F	92	93	77.9°F	76	73	95.9 °F	95	93	74.4°F	74	73		91	88		73	68		88	84		69
09-20-17	62 ↑	85.1 °F	86	81	65.3°F	65	62	93.0 °F	93	92	77.9°F	76	73	95.9 °F	94	91	74.4°F	74	71		90	88		73
09-19-17	63	90.5 °F	88	90	68.7°F	66	63 ↑	85.1 °F	82	81	65.3°F	62	61	93.0 °F	88	91	77.9°F	73	73	95.9 °F	95	90	74.4°F	72
09-18-17	61	76.5 °F	70	76	66.5°F	65	62	90.5 °F	86	88	68.7°F	65	64	85.1 °F	81	82	65.3°F	58	62	93.0 °F	85	88	77.9°F	72
09-17-17	51	70.3 °F	75	73 ↓	62.5°F	54	61	76.5 °F	75	78	66.5°F	62	62	90.5 °F	87	88	68.7°F	68	63	85.1 °F	83	80	65.3°F	65
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		3	0		4	0		3	0		2	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		1
% Succ			50.0			66.7			60.0			40.0			25.0			50.0			33.3			33.3
Ave Error	22.9		2.9	15.5		2.7	24.0		2.0	15.8		2.8	26.1		3.6	16.4		3.3	25.3		3.7	13.5		2.9
Net Error	-22.9		-1.1	15.5		-2.7	-24.0		-2.0	15.8		-2.8	-26.1		-3.6	16.4		-3.3	-25.3		-3.7	13.5		-2.9
Std Dev	10.7		2.2	7.5		1.7	15.5		1.7	10.1		2.1	22.7		3.3	14.2		3.2	25.3		3.7	13.5		2.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-23-17 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-23-17	91 ↓		91	70 ↑		72	88 ↓		88	63		69	71		75	54		67	68		69	47		55
09-22-17	95 ↓	95.9 °F	94	74 ↑	72.9°F	73	90 ↓		91	71		71	86		85	66		69	76		74	56		66
09-21-17	93	93.0 °F	90	73	76.7°F	74	93	95.9 °F	93	73	72.9°F	75	88		92	68		73	84		88	62		69
09-20-17	81	85.1 °F	83	62	65.3°F	63	92	93.0 °F	92	73	76.7°F	76	91	95.9 °F	93	71	72.9°F	71	88		86	67		68
09-19-17	90	90.5 °F	86	63 ↑	63.9°F	66	81	85.1 °F	82	61	65.3°F	62	91	93.0 °F	88	73	76.7°F	76	90	95.9 °F	95	69	72.9°F	74
09-18-17	76	76.5 °F	71	62	66.5°F	64	88	90.5 °F	86	64	63.9°F	68	82	85.1 °F	82	62	65.3°F	59	88	93.0 °F	89	71	76.7°F	75
09-17-17	73 ↓	70.3 °F	73	61	62.4°F	54	78	76.5 °F	71	62	66.5°F	58	88	90.5 °F	88	63	63.9°F	71	80	85.1 °F	86	58	65.3°F	67
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		1	3		1	2		1	2		1	1		0	2		2	0		2	0		3
% Succ	66.7		16.7	50.0		16.7	40.0		20.0	40.0		20.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		50.0			66.7			100.0
Ave Error	1.5		3.3	2.5		3.0	2.4		3.4	2.5		3.7	3.1		3.4	2.5		4.0	5.3		1.9	5.6		1.5
Net Error	-0.6		-2.4	-2.1		-2.3	-1.8		-3.4	-2.5		-1.3	-3.1		-3.4	-2.5		-0.5	-5.3		-1.3	-5.6		0.4
Std Dev	1.5		1.9	1.7		1.8	1.8		2.4	2.2		2.8	2.8		2.9	2.1		3.6	5.3		1.9	5.6		1.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-17	96 ↓		92	74 ↑		72	90 ↓		90	71		71	86		87	66		70	76		75	56		67
09-21-17	93	93.0 °F	91	73	76.6°F	74	93		94	73		74	88		92	68		73	84		88	62		69
09-20-17	81	85.1 °F	81	62	65.3°F	62	92	93.0 °F	89	73	76.6°F	75	91		93	71		71	88		87	67		68
09-19-17	90	90.5 °F	86	63 ↑	63.9°F	66	81	85.1 °F	82	61	65.3°F	62	91	93.0 °F	88	73	76.6°F	75	90		95	69		74
09-18-17	75	76.5 °F	73	62	66.5°F	63	88	90.5 °F	83	64	63.9°F	71	82	85.1 °F	89	62	65.3°F	67	88	93.0 °F	94	71	76.6°F	75
09-17-17	73 ↓	70.3 °F	72	61	62.4°F	52	78	76.5 °F	74	62	66.5°F	62	88	90.5 °F	88	63	63.9°F	70	80	85.1 °F	85	58	65.3°F	67
09-16-17	79 ↓	75.3 °F	81	50 ↑	50.4°F	56	75	70.3 °F	73	59	62.4°F	59	79	76.5 °F	75	63	66.5°F	64	88	90.5 °F	87	65	63.9°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	3		0	2		0	1		1	1		1	1		2	0		2	1		3
% Succ	50.0		33.3	50.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		50.0			66.7	33.3		100.0
Ave Error	2.1		3.6	2.4		4.6	2.8		4.0	3.2		4.0	2.5		3.2	2.8		3.0	4.2		1.5	4.7		1.4
Net Error	0.1		-1.1	-2.4		-2.0	-0.3		-2.9	-3.1		-1.1	-1.3		-1.3	-2.8		0.9	-4.2		-0.9	-3.9		-0.3
Std Dev	1.6		1.8	1.6		3.4	2.0		3.0	2.5		3.1	2.2		2.9	2.5		2.7	4.2		1.5	4.7		1.4

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-17	96 ↓		94	73		72	90		89	70		72	87		88	65		70	73		73	55		59
09-21-17	93	93.0 °F	92	73	76.6°F	73	93		93	73		73	88		91	68		74	84		89	62		70
09-20-17	81	85.1 °F	83	62	65.3°F	62	92	93.0 °F	91	73	76.6°F	76	91		96	71		74	88		89	67		73
09-19-17	90	90.5 °F	89	63 ↑	63.9°F	66	81	85.1 °F	83	61	65.3°F	64	91	93.0 °F	88	73	76.6°F	75	90		94	69		74
09-18-17	76	76.5 °F	76	62	66.5°F	64	88	90.5 °F	88	64	63.9°F	66	82	85.1 °F	85	62	65.3°F	61	88	93.0 °F	92	71	76.6°F	74
09-17-17	71	70.3 °F	69	61	62.4°F	54	78	76.5 °F	73	62	66.5°F	64	88	90.5 °F	87	63	63.9°F	69	80	85.1 °F	86	58	65.3°F	70
09-16-17	72 ↓	75.3 °F	65	50 ↑	50.4°F	55	75	70.3 °F	73	59	62.4°F	57	79	76.5 °F	79	63	66.5°F	64	88	90.5 °F	85	65	63.9°F	68
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		4	3		0	2		1	1		2	1		1	1		1	0		2	1		0
% Succ	66.7		66.7	50.0		0.0	40.0		20.0	20.0		40.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0			66.7	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	1.5		2.8	2.4		4.1	2.8		2.6	3.2		2.4	2.5		2.8	2.8		3.4	4.2		2.5	4.7		3.8
Net Error	-1.3		-2.8	-2.4		-1.9	-0.3		-1.5	-3.1		-1.5	-1.3		-1.5	-2.8		-0.8	-4.2		-1.9	-3.9		2.1
Std Dev	1.5		1.8	1.6		2.7	2.0		1.7	2.5		1.8	2.2		2.6	2.5		3.1	4.2		2.5	4.7		3.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-17	96 ↓		73	73		91	90		73	70		89	87		70	65		72	73		59	55		65
09-21-17	93	76.6°F	75	76	93.0 °F	91	95 ↓		72	72		90	90		73	70		88	86		69	65		74
09-20-17	76	65.3°F	61	61	85.1 °F	91	92	76.6°F	76	74	93.0 °F	96	91		74	71		89	88		73	68		80
09-19-17	90	63.9°F	67	62 ↑	90.5 °F	83	81	65.3°F	63	60	85.1 °F	89	91	76.6°F	76	73	93.0 °F	94	91		74	70		94
09-18-17	76 ↓	66.5°F	66	63	76.5 °F	88	90	63.9°F	66	63	90.5 °F	85	82	65.3°F	62	61	85.1 °F	92	91	76.6°F	73	72	93.0 °F	101
09-17-17	71 ↓	62.4°F	56	60	70.3 °F	72	79	66.5°F	65	62	76.5 °F	87	88	63.9°F	69	63	90.5 °F	86	81	65.3°F	70	61	85.1 °F	92
09-16-17	72 ↓	50.4°F	53	50 ↑	75.3 °F	72	74	62.4°F	57	60	70.3 °F	77	78	66.5°F	64	63	76.5 °F	85	90	63.9°F	68	63	90.5 °F	79
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		2	0		2	0		0	0		1	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			33.3			33.3			40.0			0.0			25.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	15.5		3.1	19.8		5.3	16.3		2.4	19.3		5.9	16.7		2.9	21.3		5.2	18.7		4.1	24.2		8.8
Net Error	15.5		-1.2	-19.8		1.1	16.3		-1.5	-19.3		3.7	16.7		-0.3	-21.3		3.0	18.7		1.7	-24.2		1.1
Std Dev	8.7		2.3	10.2		4.0	11.2		1.7	13.0		4.1	14.5		2.7	18.4		5.0	18.7		4.1	24.2		8.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-17	73		72	90		90	70		71	87		87	65		70	73		74	55		63	69		65
09-21-17	76	76.6°F	75	95 ↓	93.0 °F	94	72		75	90		89	70		72	86		89	65		69	76		74
09-20-17	61	65.3°F	65	92	85.1 °F	92	74	76.6°F	75	91	93.0 °F	96	71		75	88		92	68		72	82		90
09-19-17	62 ↑	63.9°F	67	81	90.5 °F	83	60	65.3°F	62	91	85.1 °F	90	73	76.6°F	74	91	93.0 °F	94	70		74	87		89
09-18-17	63	66.5°F	66	90	76.5 °F	88	63 ↑	63.9°F	67	82	90.5 °F	84	61	65.3°F	61	91	85.1 °F	90	72	76.6°F	75	89	93.0 °F	102
09-17-17	60	62.4°F	56	79	70.3 °F	73	62	66.5°F	65	88	76.5 °F	86	63	63.9°F	69	81	90.5 °F	83	61	65.3°F	65	88	85.1 °F	87
09-16-17	50 ↑	50.4°F	53	74	75.3 °F	73	60	62.4°F	57	78	70.3 °F	77	63	66.5°F	60	90	76.5 °F	85	63	63.9°F	67	80	90.5 °F	83
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		3	2		1	1		2	1		0	1		0	1		1	1		2	0		1
% Succ	50.0		50.0	33.3		16.7	20.0		40.0	20.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		66.7			33.3
Ave Error	2.2		2.4	7.0		5.3	3.1		3.0	7.1		6.1	3.1		4.6	7.7		5.5	3.3		1.7	5.8		6.1
Net Error	-2.2		-0.5	3.4		2.1	-3.1		-1.7	2.9		3.5	-3.1		-2.1	2.0		1.7	-3.3		0.4	-3.9		1.1
Std Dev	1.5		2.3	4.6		4.1	2.4		2.0	5.1		4.2	2.7		4.1	7.3		5.2	3.3		1.7	5.8		6.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-17 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-17	72 ↑		72	91 ↓		90	70		70	87		86	65		68	73		72	55		62	69		64
09-21-17	76	79.8°F	75	95 ↓	93.0 °F	93	72		74	90		89	70		71	86		88	65		68	76		73
09-20-17	61	83.0°F	63	92	85.1 °F	92	74	79.8°F	75	91	93.0 °F	97	71		75	88		91	68		72	82		90
09-19-17	62 ↑	66.5°F	67	81	90.5 °F	83	60	83.0°F	63	91	85.1 °F	90	73	79.8°F	74	91	93.0 °F	94	70		74	87		89
09-18-17	63	80.6°F	66	90	76.5 °F	87	63 ↑	66.5°F	66	82	90.5 °F	83	61	83.0°F	62	91	85.1 °F	90	72	79.8°F	75	89	93.0 °F	102
09-17-17	60	69.1°F	59	79	70.3 °F	72	62	80.6°F	66	88	76.5 °F	85	63	66.5°F	68	81	90.5 °F	83	61	83.0°F	65	88	85.1 °F	87
09-16-17	50 ↑	64.6°F	54	74	75.3 °F	73	60	69.1°F	57	78	70.3 °F	75	63	80.6°F	62	90	76.5 °F	84	63	66.5°F	68	80	90.5 °F	82
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	2		2	0		1	1		0	0		1	1		1	0		1	0		1
% Succ			16.7	33.3		33.3			20.0	20.0		0.0			25.0	25.0		25.0			33.3			33.3
Ave Error	11.9		10.1	7.0		4.8	12.0		10.4	7.1		5.9	12.5		11.7	7.7		5.2	11.1		8.1	5.8		6.5
Net Error	-11.9		-9.9	3.4		1.6	-12.0		-10.4	2.9		2.9	-12.5		-11.0	2.0		1.5	-11.1		-7.1	-3.9		0.8
Std Dev	8.2		7.5	4.6		4.1	10.2		9.4	5.1		3.9	11.2		10.6	7.3		5.0	11.1		8.1	5.8		6.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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